POST-MORTEM OF NIE 11-6-54, "SOVIET CAPABILITIES AND PROBABLE PROGRAMS IN GUIDED MISSILES"

• Document Type: FOIA
• Keywords: ICBM
• Keywords: DNI
• Keywords: SPUTNIK
• Collection: Intelligence Warning of the 1957 Launch of Sputnik
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005922737
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: September 22, 2017
• Document Release Date: October 4, 2017
• Case Number: SC-2017-00012
• Publication Date: October 4, 1954

Ii j/1)... 0, I
tlilApproved for Release: 2017/09/07 C05922737t
MP MOM
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
OFFIDE OF NATIONAL EsTniairm
h October 1994
SUBJEaTs Post.ilortem of RE Alswiet Capabilities and
Probable Prove= in %Med
?
Di SIO
1, The preparation of NIE 111.9 during the course of which
an intensive. effart,was male to exploit mazy possible scum of
ovidenceo revealed a fDeritrle gap iE 013r intelligence in this Welly
portent field? Although We han had available nconclusivi) evidence
of the great postwar SovdEit interest in guided missiles and meow;
'`Azaicatiolm that the USSR has a large and Etetiya WeSatir eh end develop.
rant prows% we have ripractkally eurient 112telligencen on
particulsir missiles the USSR is presently davelogng may now be
producing? In view of otm estimate in FM n.644 that the US and
its allies will face a growl,ng Soviet guided missile threata including
eventually grave threat from intercontinental bellestic =Undies,
this lack a up-to.date intelligence is of critizal ageSicalloo to
the fmtelligence c =amity?
EO 13526 3.3(b)(1)>25Yrs
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2017/09/07 005922737
EO 13526 3.3(b)(1)>25Yrs
EO 13526 3.3(b)(1)>25Yrs
Approved for Release: 2017/09/07 005922737
Approved for Release: 2017/09/07 005922737
EO 13526 3.3(b)(1)>25Yrs
Approved for Release: 2017/09/07 005922737
Approved for Release: 2017/09/07 005922737
Cfproved for Release: 2017/09/07 CO59227370
TOP swan
EO 13526 3.3(b)(1)>25Yrs
RECOMEDATIONS
.8.0 That the Soviet guided missile program be specifically dei
elgseted as a highest priority National Intelligence Objective
,on the same plane as the Soviet nuclear program.
B. That a national intelligence estimate on guided missiles be
scheduled as an annual =Waft to provide an authoritative estimate
of Soviet progress in guided missiles and the degree of threat to US
serembity-intereste,
Co That, pending the initiation or the next =In this oarless
a special ad hoc interiiiagency comaxiltee be eat vi? under the ILO to
eximine those fields in which a greatly intensified intelligence effort
would have the greatest papioff and naive the necessary' recommendations
to the ILO. Subsequently this oommittee moult be responsible for
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preparing coordinated requirements for laving on the apprwiate
intelligence 8g61725.030In VIM' of the critical importance of this
emeraisea the cosmittee 4Iu14 be sufficiently high lesei to command
the necossexy pricritr attention to its needso
D, That the IPC and other bodies or agencies then be directed
to assign appropriately hi
11
ex. pricritSes to the collection d analysis
of guided sile tab:enigmas*
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Approved for Release: 2017/09/07 005922737