Alberts, David S, John J. Garstka, Frederick P. Stein. Network Centric Warfare: Developing and Leveraging Information Superiority. Washington DC: C4ISR Cooperative Research Program, 1999.
Allen, Charles. “Comments of the Associate Director of Central Intelligence” for Collection at a Public Seminar on Intelligence at Harvard University, spring 2000. (<http://pirp.Harvard.edu/pdf-blurb.asp?id+518>.)
Andrus, Calvin, “Toward a Complex Adaptive Intelligence Community: The Wiki and the Blog.” Studies in Intelligence 49, no. 3 (2005).
Armstrong, Fulton. “Ways to Make Analysis Relevant but Not Prescriptive.” Studies in Intelligence 46, no. 3 (2002).
Barger, Deborah. “It Is Time to Transform, Not Reform, US Intelligence,” SAIS Review of International Affairs 24, no. 1 (Winter-Spring 2004).
Berkowitz, Bruce. “Intelligence for the Homeland.” SAIS Review of International Affairs 24, no. 1 (Winter-Spring 2004).
Bodnar, John. Warning Analysis for the Information Age: Rethinking the Intelligence Process. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, July 2004.
Black, Cofer. “Testimony by Ambassador Cofer Black, Coordinator for Counterterrorism, Before the House International Relations Committee ‘9/11 Commission Report Recommendations,’” Washington, DC, 19 August 2004. http/wwwc.house.gov/international-relations/108/bla081904.htm.
Center for the Study of Intelligence. Intelligence and Policy: The Evolving Relationship. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, June 2004.
Center for the Study of Intelligence. Intelligence for a New Era in American Foreign Policy. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, January 2004.
Center for the Study of Intelligence. Intelligence Lessons Learned Conference. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, May 2005.
Clift, A. Denis. “Intelligence in the Internet Era.” Studies in Intelligence 47, no.3 (2003).
Congress of the United States, Public Law 108-458 (17 December 2004), “Intelligence Reform and Terrorism Prevention Act (IRTPA).”
Cooper, Jeffrey R. “Intelligence and Warning: Analytic Pathologies” (Powerpoint Briefing). SAIC, McLean, VA. November 2003.
———. “Sensemaking: Focusing on the Last Six Inches.” Paper prepared for the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Information and Command and Control Technical Committee, August 2002.
Cooper, Jeffrey R. and John Seely Brown. “Intelligence: We’ve Lost Our Edge.” Washington Post, 10 May 2005.
Davis, Jack. Improving CIA Analytic Performance: DI Analytic Priorities. Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis, Occasional Papers, v.1, no. 3. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, September 2002.
———. Improving CIA Analytic Performance: Strategic Warning. Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis, Occasional Papers, v.1, no.1. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, September 2002.
———. “Paul Wolfowitz on Intelligence-Policy Relations,” Studies in Intelligence 39, no. 1. (1995).
———. Strategic Warning: If Surprise is Inevitable, What Role for Analysis? Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis, Occasional Papers, v. 2, no.1. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, January 2003.
———. ”The Kent-Kendall Debate of 1949.” Studies in Intelligence. 35, no. 2 (1995).
Feschbach, Murray. Russia’s Health and Demographic Crises: Policy Implications and Consequences. Chemical and Biological Arms Control Institute (Health and National Security Series), April 2003.
———. “Russia’s Demographic and Health Meltdown.” Congress of the United States, Joint Economic Committee, Russia’s Uncertain Economic Future, 107th Congress, 1st Session. Washington, DC. Government Printing Office, December 2001.
Feinstein, Alvan R. Clinical Judgment. Baltimore, MD: Williams & Wilkins, 1967.
Fishbein, Warren, and Gregory Treverton. Rethinking “Alternatives Analysis” to Address Transnational Threats. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, The Sherman Kent Center for Intelligence Analysis, Occasional Papers, v. 3, no. 2, October 2004.
Goldhamer, Herbert. The Adviser. New York: Elsevier, 1978.
Goleman, Daniel, “Answer to 2005 Edge Question?” The Edge. http://edge.org/q2005/q05 print.html.Hardin, Garrett. “The Tragedy of the Commons.” Science 162 (1968): 1243–48.
Hayden, Michael V. (Lt. Gen., USAF). Statement Before the Joint Inquiry of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence and the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, 17 October 2002.
Heuer, Richards J., Jr. The Psychology of Intelligence Analysis. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, 1999.
Hughes, Frank J., Preparing for the Future of Intelligence Analysis. Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, January 2003.
Hughes, Frank J. and David Schum. “Evidence Marshalling and Argument Construction.” Washington, DC: Joint Military Intelligence College, Student Course Notes.
Jeremiah, David (Admiral, USN, ret.). Press Conference, CIA Headquarters, 2 June 1998.
———. The Intelligence Community’s Performance on the Indian Nuclear Tests (1998).
Jervis, Robert. “What’s Wrong with the Intelligence Process?” International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 1, no. 2 (Spring 1986).
Johnson, Loch. “The Aspin-Brown Intelligence Inquiry: Behind the Closed Doors of a Blue Ribbon Commission,” Studies in Intelligence 48, no. 3 (2004).
Johnston, Rob. Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community: an Ethnographic Study. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, 2005
Kahneman, Daniel. Maps of Bounded Rationality: A Perspective on Intuitive Judgment and Choice. (Nobel) Prize Lecture, 8 December 2002. Princeton University, Department of Psychology.
———. Interview with author, October 2000.
Kahneman, Daniel, Paul Slovic, Amos Tversky, eds. Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1982.
Kent, Sherman, Strategic Intelligence for American World Policy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1951, revised edition 1966.
Kerbel, Josh. “Thinking Straight: Cognitive Bias in the US Debate on China,” Studies in Intelligence 48, no. 3 (2004).
Kerr, Richard, Thomas Wolfe, Rebecca Donegan, and Aris Pappas. “Issues for the US Intelligence Community,” Studies in Intelligence 49, no. 3 (2005).
———. Interview, MSNBC, 14 July 2003
Kissinger, Henry A. “America’s Assignment,” Newsweek, 8 November 2004.
———. “Better Intelligence Reform,” Washington Post, 16 August 2004.
Klein, Gary. Intuition at Work: Why Developing Your Gut Instinct Will Make You Better at What You Do. New York: Doubleday, 2002.
Loomis, Carol. “Dinosaurs?” Fortune, 3 May 1993.
Marrin, Stephen. Review of William E. Odom, Fixing Intelligence For a More Secure America, Political Science Quarterly 119, no. 2 (Summer 2004).
———. “Preventing Intelligence Failures by Learning from the Past,” International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence, 17, No. 4 (Oct–Dec 2004).
MacEachin, Douglas. CIA Assessments of the Soviet Union: The Record Versus the Charges. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, Center for the Study of Intelligence, 1996.
McCarthy, Mary. “The National Warning System: Striving for an Elusive Goal,” Defense Intelligence Journal 3, no. 1 (Spring 1994).
Mears, Michael. “The Intelligence Community Genome: RIA Paper #3.” Unpublished manuscript, spring 2004.
Medawar, Peter. “Is the Scientific Paper Fraudulent? Yes; It Misrepresents Scientific Thought,” The Saturday Review, 47, 1 August 1964.
Medina, Carmen. “What To Do When Traditional Models Fail,” Studies in Intelligence 46, no. 3 (2002).
National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States (The 9/11 Commission). The 9/11 Commission Report: Final Report of the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States. Washington, DC: Government Printing Office, 2004.
National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). Dictionary of Algorithms and Data Structures. http://www.nist.gov/dads.
Odom, William E. Fixing Intelligence: for a More Secure America. New Haven: Yale University Press, 2003.
Pappas, Aris A. and James M. Simon, Jr. “The Intelligence Community: 2001–2015,” Studies in Intelligence 46, no.1 (2002).
Perrow, Charles. Normal Accidents: Living with High-Risk Technologies. New York: Basic Books, 1984.
Pfeffer, Jeffrey, with Charles A. O’Reilly. Hidden Value: How Great Companies Achieve Extraordinary Results with Ordinary People. Boston: Harvard Business School Press, 2000.
Pfeffer, Jeffrey, with G. R. Salancik. The External Control of Organizations: A Resource Dependence Perspective. New York: Harper and Row, 1978. (Republished by Stanford University Press, 2003.)
Principia Cybernetica Web. “Feedback.” http://pespmc1.vub.ac.be/FEEDBACK.html (accessed 31 Aug 2005).
Rozak, David, Alexander Lee, James B. Petro, and Lisa Lechler. “Redefining the First Customer: Transforming Intelligence Analysis through Peer-Reviewed Publications” in 2004 Galileo Papers. Washington, DC: Central Intelligence Agency, 2005.
Rumsfeld, Donald. “Sideletter to Report of the Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States,” 18 March 1991. http://www.house.gov/hasc/testimony/106thcongress/
S2845: An Act to Reform the Intelligence Community and the Intelligence and Intelligence-related Activities of the United States Government and for other purposes. (Short title: National Intelligence Reform Act of 2004.) 6 October 2004.
Sabel, Charles F. “Theory of a Real Time Revolution,” forthcoming in Organizational Studies (2005). Forthcoming in Charles Heckscher, Paul Adler, eds., Collaborative Community. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press, 2005.
Sageman, Mark. “Understanding Terror Networks,” Foreign Policy Research Institute, E-Note, 1 November 2004. Available at http://www.fpri.org/enotes/20041101.middleeast.
Senate Select Committee on Intelligence of the 108th U.S. Congress. Report on the US Intelligence Community’s Prewar Intelligence Assessments. Washington, DC: July 2004: 14. Available at: <http://www.realcities.com/multimedia/nationalchannel/news/
Senge, Peter M. The Fifth Discipline: The Art & Practice of the Learning Organization. New York: Doubleday/Currency, 1990.
Shirky, Clay. “A Group Is Its Own Worst Enemy” (June 2003). “Networks, Economics, and Culture Mailing List.” Available at http://www.shirky.com.
Simon, Herbert. Administrative Behavior. New York: The Free Press, 1997.
Six Sigma: <http://www.isixsigma.com/>
Stefik, Mark and Barbara Stefik. Breakthrough: Stories and Strategies of Radical Innovation. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2004.
Stokes, Donald E. Pasteur’s Quadrant: Basic Science and Technology Innovation. Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution, 1997.
Swenson, Russell and Susana C. Lemozy. “Politicization and Persuasion: Balancing Evolution and Devolution in Strategic Intelligence,” unpublished manuscript (date?)
Travers, Russ. “The Coming Intelligence Failure,” Studies in Intelligence 40, no. 2 (1996).
Warner, Michael. “Transformation and Intelligence Liaison,” SAIS Review of International Affairs 24, no. 1 (Winter–Spring 2004).
Weick, Karl E. Sensemaking in Organizations. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications, 1995.
Weick, Karl E. and Kathleen M. Sutcliffe. Managing the Unexpected: Assuring High Performance in an Age of Complexity. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass, 2001.