Psychology of Intelligence Analysis
by Richards J. Heuer, Jr.
Table of Contents
- Author's Preface
- Foreword by Douglas MacEachin
- Introduction by Jack Davis
- PART I--OUR MENTAL MACHINERY
- Chapter 1: Thinking About Thinking
- Chapter 2: Perception: Why Can't We See What Is There to Be Seen?
- Chapter 3: Memory: How Do We Remember What We Know?
- PART II--TOOLS FOR THINKING
- Chapter 4: Strategies for Analytical Judgment: Transcending the Limits of Incomplete Information
- Chapter 5: Do You Really Need More Information?
- Chapter 6: Keeping an Open Mind
- Chapter 7: Structuring Analytical Problems
- Chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses
- PART III--COGNITIVE BIASES
- Chapter 9: What Are Cognitive Biases?
- Chapter 10: Biases in Evaluation of Evidence
- Chapter 11: Biases in Perception of Cause and Effect
- Chapter 12: Biases in Estimating Probabilities
- Chapter 13: Hindsight Biases in Evaluation of Intelligence Reporting
- PART IV--CONCLUSIONS
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