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Decision Trees

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Decision Trees

              
south of their goal. Moses prepared to move against the southern border of Canaan-"flowing with milk and honey"-the Promised Land from which Joseph had been taken generations earlier.
              
In the Wilderness of Paran, Moses arrayed 12 family-grouped units, or tribes, with some 603,550 adult Israeli males, and an additional 22,300 Levites, or priests, of all ages. The Scriptures give us their Order of Battle: (1290 B.C. )
              
         TRIBE                               STRENGTH   LEADER  
   (males over 20)         
  Reuben .. ...   .......                46,500                                   Shammua         
  Simeon ...........................     59,300                                   Shaphat    
  Gad .......... ......................... 45,650                                   Geuel     
  Judah .................................. 74,600                                   Caleb     
  Issachar ...............................54,400                                   Igal      
  Zebulun ................................57,400                                  Gadiel     
  Ephraim                                 40,500                                  Joshua     
  Manessah .............................32,200                                  Gaddi     
  Benjamin ............................. 35,400                                   Palti      
  Dan ....................................  62,700                                  Aminiel    
  Asher........ ......... ........ ........41,500                                  Sethur     
  Naphtali .................... ..........53,400                                   Nahbi     
      ________          
        603,550           
  Levi .. . ..... .. . . . . . .             22,300 (males over one month)  
     _________          
        625,850           
              
It was here in the Wilderness of Paran, at Kadesh Barnea, that the Israelites refused to follow Moses into the Promised Land until he had the land and the situation checked out-the first recorded instance of a user-originated collection requirement!
              
The Intelligence Cycle            
              
In response to user requirements of this nature, the process we call the Intelligence Cycle begins. For this analysis, the steps will be termed tasking, collection, processing, dissemination, and evaluation. A sixth (sometimes labeled estimation) precedes the tasking step, but need not be considered separately in this study.
              
Policy makers normally drive the cycle, setting it in motion. A request for data (intelligence information) necessary to make an assessment which would be couched in policy terms ("Is it wise to invade the Promised Land?") was met by management with a political response-the selection of representatives (spies) from each of the 12 tribes to collect the required data.
              
In this case study, the executive, judicial, and legislative branches of government, together with the reins of military and spiritual leadership, rested upon Moses and his tightly structured management organization. In the wilderness he had introduced the "modern" concept of span of control by designating captains over 10s, 50s, 100s, and 1000s. The people were the ultimate consumer-the user of intelligence information, the means of action, and the deciding vote
              
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Posted: May 08, 2007 08:43 AM
Last Updated: May 08, 2007 08:43 AM