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  1. ALTERNATE OUTCOMES IN THE PHILIPPINES: A PROPOSAL

    the countryside. of other possible outcomes. The person I would like to have do this is a long-time student ... 25X1:1 a-page oa a-space in-p e e setting out alternative outcomes for succession in the Philippines, ... for East Asia SUBJECT: Alternate Outcomes in the Philippines: A Proposal 2: While none ...

  2. IMPLICATIONS OF AN UNFAVORABLE OUTCOME IN VIETNAM-- ISSUES FOR DISCUSSION

    Implications of an Unfavorable Outcome in Vietnam-- Issues for Discussion Scope and Purpose 1. Those who oppose ... for American policy and interests as a whole, of an unfavorable outcome in Vietnam. It is not assumed ... in this inquiry that such an outcome is now in- evitable. If that were the point of departure, the discussion ...

  3. SENIOR REVIEW PANEL STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENTS PRECEDING SIGNIFICANT HISTORICAL FAILURES: THE HAZARDS OF SINGLE-OUTCOME FORECASTING

    Significant Historical Failures: The Hazards of Single-Outcome Forecasting I. Setting 1. This report ... articles--in the two or three years preceding the critical or transforming outcome. The retrieval effort varied ... developments strongly supported by the evidence, or conjectures about lesser probabilities than favored outcome ...

  4. OUTCOME OF HYPOTHETICAL US-SOVIET NAVAL ENGAGEMENTS DURING THE 1973 MIDDLE EAST CRISIS

    James R. Schlesinger Secretary of Defense SUBJECT. Outcomes of Hypothetical US-Soviet Naval Engagements ... for an assessment of the probable outcomes of a US-Soviet naval bat- tle during the recent Middle East crisis, ... bearing on that Mediterranean naval struggle's outcome. These conceptual constraints, though ...

  5. ATTACHED PAPER, 'IMPLICATIONS OF AN UNFAVORABLE OUTCOME IN VIETNAM'

    "Implications of an Unfavorable Outcome in Vietnam" 1. Considering the difficulty of the subject, ... of an u fa-orsble outcome for American policy and interests as a whole would be. It has no bearing whatever ... on whether the present political-military outlook within Vietnam makes acceptance of such an outcome ...

  6. REPORT ON A STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENTS PRECEDING SIGNIFICANT HISTORICAL FAILURES: THE HAZARDS OF SINGLE-OUTCOME FORECASTING

    Failures: The Hazards of Single-Outcome Forecasting 1. I compliment you on your study of intelligence ... in your identification of single-outcome forecasting as the root of the problem is right on the nose. 2. However, ... outcomes might be, what the alternatives to Somoza might be? Menges did a study on Cuba and Nicaragua ...

  7. WHITE HOUSE APPROVED SECRET CIA EFFORT TO AFFECT OUTCOME OF EL SALVADOR VOTING

    charged with its oversight. To A ffect Outcome of El Salvador Voti The House panel, which appears ...

  8. REACTION TO THE OUTCOME OF THE MOSCOW CONFERENCE; UNFAVORABLE ECONOMIC CONDITIONS

    Reaction to the Outcome of the Moscow Corifarancep* Unfavorable-Sconeuai:c Conditions 25X1. 1. ... disappointment over the outcome of the conference and stated that the peop3.o of the USSR had hoped that success ...

  9. OUTCOMES OF HYPOTHETICAL US-SOVIET NAVAL ENGAGEMENTS DURING THE 1973 MIDDLE EAST CRISIS

    James R. Schlesinger Secretary of Defense SUBJECT. Outcomes of Hypothetical US-Soviet Naval Engagements ... for an assessment of the probable outcomes of a US-Soviet naval bat- tle during the recent Middle East crisis, ... bearing on that Mediterranean naval struggle's outcome. These conceptual constraints, though ...

  10. REPORT ON A STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENTS PRECEDING SIGNIFICANT HISTORICAL FAILURES: THE HAZARDS OF SINGLE-OUTCOME FORECASTING

    Judgments Preceding Significant Historical Failures: The Hazards of Single-Outcome Forecasting 1. Submitted ...

  11. REPORT ON A STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENTS PRECEDING SIGNIFICANT HISTORICAL FAILURES: THE HAZARDS OF SINGLE-OUTCOME FORECASTING

    Judgments Preceding Significant Historical Failures: The Hazards-of Single-Outcome Forecasting 1. ... in your identification of single-outcome forecasting as the root the nose. o n of the problem is right ood job ...

  12. REPORT ON A STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENTS PRECEDING SIGNIFICANT HISTORICAL FAILURES: THE HAZARDS OF SINGLE-OUTCOME FORECASTING

    of Single-Outcome Forecasting." STAT STAT Attachment Approved For Release 2008/12/08: ... Judgments Preceding Significant Historical Failures::The Hazards of Single-Outcome Forecasting Submitted ...

  13. MILITARY SHOWDOWN IN THE FALKLANDS: ALTERNATIVE OUTCOMES

    SUBJECT: Military Showdown in the Falklands: Alternative Outcomes 1. With the failure of Secretary ... and sea conditions to the indeterminate location of two Argentine attack submarines that the outcome ... with an immensely risky roll of the iron dice. Alternative Outcomes A. An unambiguous British military victory. ...

  14. OUTCOME OF UNITED STATES-INDIA AIR TRANSPORT NEGOTIATIONS

    February lo, 1955 MEMORANDUM FOR THE BOARD ASSISTANTS SUBJECT: Outcome of United States-India Air Transport ... Negotiations The attached paper on the "Outcome of United States-- India Air Transport Negotiations", ... CIA-RDP80R01731 R003000070006-0 0 Outcome of United States-India Air Transport P Negotiations T When it became ...

  15. THE REAL MESSAGE OF THE OUTCOME

    POST 21 April 1985 71,EO0Hi Richard G. Lugar The Real Message of the Outcome U.S. policy in Central ... decisions. Having structured an all-or-nothing outcome for our support for the Nicaraguan resistance, many ... of the region. It is not simply the Nicaraguan resistance that depends upon the outcome of this vote; our friends ...

  16. REPORT ON A STUDY OF INTELLIGENCE JUDGMENTS PRECEDING SIGNIFICANT HISTORICAL FAILURES: THE HAZARDS OF SINGLE-OUTCOME FORECASTING

    Historical Failures: The Hazards of Single-Outcome Forecasting 1. I compl imerut you on your study of i ntc-l ... the Soviets were going to control Afghani star,, that the Shah was finished and what the alternative outcomes ...

  17. GLUNA 23--OUTCOME IN DOUBT

    SOURCES AND METHODS INVOLV DATE: 8 NOVEMBER 1974 SUBJECT: JILUNA 23--OUTCOME IN DOUBT REF: OSR MORNING ...

  18. OUTCOME OF RAILROAD DISPUTE

    CLASSIFICATION. LT CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY REPORT NO. INFORMATION REPORT CD NO. S1 Sal-radar Outcome ...

  19. 15. FINNISH PRESIDENT GLOOMY ABOUT PROSPECTS FOR OUTCOME OF EAST-WEST STRUGGLE:

    About Prospects for Outcome of East-West Struggle: In a meeting recently with British Am- bassador Busk and former ...

  20. WHITE HOUSE APPROVED SECRET CIA EFFORT TO AFFECT OUTCOME OF EL SALVADOR VOTING

    with its oversight. To Affect Outcome of El Salvador Voting The House panel, which appears to have By DAVID ROGER.S ... liberal Democrats don't argue with and Accion Democratica-as well as unions the outcome ...

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