THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF 22 MAY 1971

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1969-1977
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005992633
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: August 14, 2016
• Document Release Date: August 24, 2016
• Publication Date: May 22, 1971

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The President's Daily Brief
22 May 1971
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
THE PRESIDENT'S DAILY BRIEF
22 May 1971
PRINCIPAL DEVELOPMENTS
The Indians are making contingency plans for possible
military action against Pakistan. (Page 1)
preparations are under way
space operations. (Page 2)
for further major Soviet
Military developments in the Laos panhandle are re-
ported on Page 3.
The Chilean Government is taking a tougher line to-
ward US companies, perhaps because of pressure from
Socialist Party leaders. (Page 5)
The Soviet economic delegation to the US hopes to
secure a commitment permitting the export of tech-
nology and equipment for its truck industry.
(Page 6)
Latin America
Page 7.
The Bolivian Government has announced the expulsion
of the Peace Corps. (Page 8)
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; India Initiates Military Contingency Deployment
70
USSR
AFGHANISTAN
Kabul*
0
-20
Islamabo4
PAKISTAN Sirsa
+ New Delhi*
Bikaner/Nal
Jaisaltner
Jodhpur
Bombay*
GOA
Laccadive Is.
Minicoy
MALDIVE IS.
80 90
CHIN A
Army unit
deploying
to Juilundur
NEPAL
Kathmandu*
Id A
CEYLON\
*Colombo
SIKK
PAKISTAN
?
Col vttot
+ New location of fighter deployment
+ Primary fighter airfield
MILES 400
0 400 KILOMETERS
80 90
BURMA
20 --
Rangoon*
Andaman Is.
11 to
?
Nicobar Is.
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INDIA-PAKISTAN
\ the influx of
refugees from East Pakistan is only one of the grow-
ing pressures on the Indian Government to take dras-
tic action. The opening of parliament on Monday
will tend to solidify public opinion--with which
Mrs. Gandhi largely agrees anyway--in favor of some
form of intervention. The main argument against
military action is the possible Chinese reaction;
So far this seems to be only contingency
planning. /
/ We see no
strong indication that hostilities are
imminent, but we have recently noticed
some preparations of the sort we would
expect the Indians to make if they be-
lieved there was a possibility of armed
conflict:
--In satellite photography of 6 May, com-
bat aircraft were observed at three re-
serve airfields in northwest India that
have been vacant for several years. In
addition, Indian-built subsonic jet fight-
ers were at Jodhpur airfield, a facility
normally used for intermediate flight
training. This suggests a dispersal of
fighter units in a potential combat area.
--On 20 May an infantry battalion--600-
800 troops--was seen moving westward, ap-
parently from New Delhi or central India,
accompanied by approximately 12 T-55
tanks. The US Army attache thinks the
ultimate destination of this unit is prob-
ably Jullundur, about 50 miles from the
India - West Pakistan border. The troops
were in full battle dress and all vehicles
and tanks were camouflaged.
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USSR
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551441 5-71 CIA
OGovernment-held position ?Communist-held position
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FOR THE PRESIDENT ONLY
LAOS
According to an intercepted message, a Communist
artillery company that is to be attached to the North
Vietnamese 141st Regiment has been ordered to attack
the government garrison town of Seno. Both units are
believed to have participated in the capture of Dong
Hene on 17 May. Intercepts associated with another
North Vietnamese regiment in the same area suggest
that it too is making combat preparations, but its
target areas were not specified.
Government forces have established blocking po-
sitions to the west of Dong Hene and ?are actively
patrolling around Keng Kok to the southwest. Sev-
eral skirmishes have occurred around Dong Hene and
a North Vietnamese reconnaissance unit reportedly
has been active near Seno, but so far the Keng Kok
area has been quiet.
The government's ability to hold either
Seno or Keng Kok in the face of a deter-
mined North Vietnamese assault is uncer-
tain. Regular army units are suffering
from low morale and poor leadership, and
their ability to withstand prolonged Com-
munist artillery fire is open to question.
Should they break, irregular units in the
area probably could not stem any North
Vietnamese advance.
On the Bolovens Plateau to the south, the Com-
munists, who seem to be trying to consolidate their
recent gains, have been relatively inactive during
the past two days. Government irregulars east of
Paksong continue to move toward high-ground objec-
tives near the town. They report that the enemy is
well dug in at some of these positions as well as
along Route 232, which enemy troops are actively
patrolling. Government forces that withdrew from
Ban Houei Kong on 19 May have been ordered back to
that area; they are now about seven miles west of
the town. None of these units so far has encoun-
tered significant enemy resistance.
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SOUTH VIETNAM
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CHILE
The government on 20 May took over the El
Teniente copper mine, owned 51 percent by the Chil-
ean Government and 49 percent by Kennecott, in vio-
lation of both the US company's management contract
and of Chilean law. In addition, the government at
the last minute held up publication of its agree-
ment to buy out the Cerro Company's 70-percent in-
terest in the Andina Rio Blanco mine.
The government's tougher line seems to
stem from the greater power of the Social-
ist Party, whose secretary general, Carlos
Altamirano, was reported several months
ago to be pushing for a confrontation be-
tween Chile and the US. Until recently
Allende has followed a gradual approach,
but his more vindictive Socialist Party
colleagues now appear to have increased
their influence over him and some of his
more pragmatic advisers.
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USSR-US
The Soviet economic delegation now holding talks
with US officials (discussed in The President's
Daily Brief on 24 April and 13 May) has indicated
that it wishes to wrap up in one package a firm US
commitment to permit the export of technology and
equipment for the Soviet truck industry and tenta-
tive Soviet offers to buy large quantities of items
not subject to trade controls. The USSR has signed
an agreement that calls for Mack Truck to provide
technology for the Soviets' Kama River truck plant
assembly shop; it is ready to pay an estimated $70
million in cash for foundry equipment and a produc-
tion line for crankshafts, if licensing is available.
It also wishes to barter nickel ore for 50 large
off-highway trucks to be used for its nickel indus-
try.
To induce a relaxation in US trade con-
trols, the Soviet delegates are vaguely
referring to purchases over the next sev-
eral years of "up to" $1 billion in equip-
ment to produce consumer goods, specifi-
cally mentioning food processing equip-
ment and tools for the production of fur-
niture and air conditioners. (This offer
earlier was reported as $1 million for
consumer goods.) Given Soviet allocation
priorities, we believe it unlikely that
they would be prepared to use very much
hard currency to set up efficient furni-
ture factories or air conditioning plants.
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USSR - LATIN AMERICA
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NOTE
Bolivia: The government unilaterally termin-
ated the Peace Corps agreement yesterday and said
the volunteers would have to leave the country.
The expulsion, which climaxes a virulent campaign
by the far left to have the Corps removed, is the
first of its kind in Latin America. Ostensibly,
the action results from charges of misconduct and
from the government's conclusion that the Corps is
no longer useful in Bolivia. Actually, however,
it reflects the essential weakness of the Torres
government and its critical need for support from
?the left.
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Top Secret
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