THE SITUATION IN VIETNAM

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02003032
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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April 26, 2019
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April 30, 2019
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November 30, 1967
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Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 vesi DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE ret MEMORANDUM The Situation in Vietnam 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Top ret R 30 November 1967 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 %we 401ejeCreir NIS WARNING This document contains classified information affecting the national security of the United States within the meaning of the espionage laws, US Code Title 18, Sections 793, 794, and 798. Jop-Secrer Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 *.f Tef-tErIZET 3.5(c) Information as of 1600 30 November 1967 HIGHLIGHTS 3.5(c) A unit, possibly of regimental size, sub- ordinate to the 304th NVA Infantry Division has been initially located on 29 November in the Laos panhandle. It is the second North Vietnamese unit of this size detected moving southward through Laos in the last few weeks. I. The Military Situation in South Vietnam: Commianist forces have intensified their activities in the northern half of Kontum Province (Paras. 1-3). Enemy forces have attacked allied positions near Bo Duc for the second day in a row (Para. 5). Weekly Battle Statistics (Graphs). II. Political Developments in South Vietnam: The Saigon city gov- ernment has taken some steps to tone down the glitter of establishments which cater to foreigners (Paras. 3-4). The government continues to crack down on corrupt officials (Paras. 5-6). III. North Vietnamese Military Developments: A unit possibly of regimental size, subordinate to the 304th Infantry Division,was initially located in the Laos panhandle on 29 November (Paras. 1-4). IV. Other Communist Military Developments: There is nothing of significance to report. V. Communist Political Developments: A North Vietnamese commentary attempts to refute General Westmoreland's four-phase program for victory in Viet- nam (Paras. 1-4). Soviet Premier Kosygin has once again indicated that Moscow is not now willing to take any initiative toward peace talks (Paras. 5-6). TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 (c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 two %or NORTH \ VIETNAM ){ 7 I :....,-- �...QUANG TRI -.1. Hue. C ."--.. I'HUA THIE.,,.., '4 \ . Demilitarized Zone ' \v 0 , \ -1, T , .1,,,,,, . � \..., � a Nang C. �) -, - --.) (i) ( QUANG � NAI:lj\I CORPS THAILAND QUANG TIN . till, r) -------- :).\ Dak Pek ( \- Special Forces .5 \ Camp ./ ? ( 2 t., Tonle \ CAMBODI v.f01.� BINH DIN . PLEIKU PHU BON KHANH HOA Bo Duc PHNO PENH 4..N TAY NINH BINH LONG TUYEN Da Rit:c LAM GONG NINH THUAN _) 73:6' rr-) / 040 PHU QUOC BINH LION 0 . . KIEN TUONG BINH TUY BINH THUAN PHUOC Vu -Tau r Co VINH BINH GI LF SIAM_ BA X U YEN AN XUYEN SOUTH VIETNAM OIEMBER 3.5 4 .425 0 75 100 Miles 0' .25 5.0 75 160 Kdo-meters 68814 11-67 CIA Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 T-Ag-P�REreirET I. THE MILITARY SITUATION IN SOUTH VIETNAM 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 1. Communist forces in the western highlands have intensified their activity in the northern half of Kon- tum Province. A delayed report from Dak Pek Special Forces camp states that a patrol from the camp was am- bushed on 27 November by a company-size enemy force. Six of the patrol were killed and 13 were wounded; three of the attackers were killed. This is the first eiadence of an enemy force in the area since North Vietnamese 174th Regiment elements were pin- pointed there last July. The unit involved may be the 6th Battalion of the North Vietnamese 24th Regiment, which has previously operated in western Kontum and has not been identified in the recent series of attacks near Dak To. 3. On 29 November, two South Vietnamese battalions and an estimated 500-man enemy force fought for five hours some nine miles northeast of the US stronghold at Dak To. The Communist force, believed to be another subordinate of the North Vietnamese 24th Diviion, re- portedly lost 130 killed in the heavy fighting The government troops were supported by well-coordinated artillery and air strikes. Preliminary reports indicate that South Vietnamese casualties were light. 30 November 1967 I-1 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032� Nome ur bEU KT, 1 3.5(c) Another Attack Near Bo Due 3.5(c) 5. Enemy forces attacked allied positions near Bo Duc some 85 miles north of Saigon for the second consecutive day late on 29 November. This time a battalion of the US 1st Infantry Division, which had been rushed in to reinforce South Vietnamese forces in the area, was the target of a mortar and rocket barrage and a probing ground attack. Five US troops and nine enemy soldiers were killed in the action. Another 11 Americans were wounded. The enemy also shelled three nearby South Vietnamese outposts. Bo Duc is situated three miles east of the Cambodian border. 30 November 1967 1-2 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 -*old Nome Weapons Losses 119-25 NOV 1 Casualties (Killed only)* Jjet Cong/NVAI GVN/US/other 6-ee World ; 19-25 NOV 1/826 1,664 436 US Casualties Casualties to Date: Killed15/168 Wounded 94.371 Captured 220 *Due to a change in the reporting of personnel losses, beginning 72 February 7967, the weekly and monthly figure will represent only personnel killed. 68799 11-67 CIA Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 645 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 veoig Viet Cong Attacks SEPT 260 19-25NOV J.4.11.14,141z 1P63 1964 1965 1 966 196 7 Viet tong Incidents (Excluding Attu ks) 120 17P"Pcganda - 64561boNge 7 39 terronsm 63300 CIA Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 *of r 1 3.5(c) 3.5(c) II. POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS IN SOUTH VIETNAM 3.3(h)(2) 2. Several ministers, holdovers from the previous government, have privately expressed their dissatis- faction with the present arrangements. For example, Nguyen Bao Tri, minister of Revolutionary Development, reportedly commented that unless more rigorous pro- cedures are introduced the cabinet will never get down to serious business. Austerity Moves in Saigon 3. According to the semiofficial Vietnam Press, the city governMent is going to crack down on the glitter in Saigon by requiring that all colored neon signs on bars, restaurants, and similar public es- tablishments be replaced by all-white signs. Also, in a move reminiscent of the Diem regime, all restau- rants, bars, commercial, and industrial establish- ments with foreign names must change them to Viet- namese ones. This ruling will apply equally to the flamboyant bars that dot the center of the city as well as to the more conservative and respectable hotels and eating places. 4. This move may presage even more stringent moves against the bars and other establishments that cater to foreign clientele. These establish- ments have been an increasing source of irritation to the Vietnamese, and President Thieu recently hinted in public that there would be some moves made to create a more austere atmosphere in Saigon. 30 November 1967 Tap--s-Eettswr Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Nei vgisof 3.5(c) Continuing Crack-Down on Corruption 5. The Vietnam Press also announced on 30 Novem- ber that several officials of the refugee program in Binh Dinh Province had been imprisoned for the embezzle- ment of some 10 million piasters. The former chief of the refugee service in Binh Dinh, the former Hoai Nhon District chief, and several other officials involved in the case have been charged with misuse of public funds. Investigation of the case was begun on the basis of complaints from local inhabitants. 6. According to another unconfirmed press report, a second lieutenant has been sentenced to death for embezzlement of government funds. No further details are available. 3.5(c) 30 November 1967 11-2 1.0-P--WeRET Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032- Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 �11 NNW North Vietnamese Regiments Moving Southward in Laos - Principal road o 25 5p 7,5 Miles 0 215 50 75 Kilometers G F DEMILITARIZED ZONE Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Nor --i-tnrr- nk_) rc..n III. NORTH VIETNAMESE MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 1. On 29 November, a unit, possibly of regi- mental size, subordinate to the 304th NVA Infantry Division was initially located in the Laos panhandle, some ten miles north of Tchepone and some 25 miles west of the western end of the Demilitarized Zone. This particular terminal was last located near the City of Dong Hoi in the DRV, some 63 miles to the northeast. 2. This terminal is believed to serve one of at least four regimental-echelon entities associated with the 304th NVA Division which have been on the move in the last few weeks. This is also one of the 304th terminals which has been in contact with the DMZ Front, presumably because it passed through the DMZ Front's area of responsibility. 3. The current location of this possible regi- ment makes it difficult to determine the unit's ul- timate destination. It is possible, 'however, that it is en route to the A Shau Valley area of Sout Vietnam. If so, this 304th subordinate will probably be preceded by another North Vietnamese regiment-- the 31st of the 341st NVA Division--which was located on 27 November some 23 miles west of the A Shau Valley. Communist efforts to extend roads and trails from Laos into the A Shau Valley area have been under way now for more than a year. Moreover, there is ample evidence that the North Vietnamese have been busy building and fortifying a major base area within or near the A Shau Valley. The movement of sizable enemy forces into this strategic part of South Viet- nam could be intended to outflank US Marine forces in the western and central parts of the DMZ. The A Shau Valley also provides an excellent supply pipe- line and rear area for Communist forces targetted against the coastal lowlands of Quang Tri and Thua Thien provinces. 30 November 1967 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 3.5(c) 3.5(c) IV. OTHER COMMUNIST MILITARY DEVELOPMENTS 1. There is nothing significant to report. 30 November 1967 IV-1 '1WEGR-E-T Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Nwie 1 kJ r, 1 V. COMMUNIST POLITICAL DEVELOPMENTS 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 1. North Vietnam's army daily Quan Doi Nhan Dan published a lengthy and scornful commentary on 26 November refuting General Westmoreland's four-phase program for victory in Vietnam. The main theme of the piece is that Westmoreland's assertions are false and that the "defeated general" is being used not to fight the war, but to fight US public opinion. 2. The daily acknowledges that in phase one US intervention saved the South Vietnamese "puppets" from defeat, but asserts that this paved the way for an even bigger "strategic defeat of the Americans." Even in phase one, says the daily, the US suffered because the South Vietnamese were unable to carry their share of the load, and because the "developing people's war" forced the allies to split up into smaller units. Above all, the US failed to achieve its "number one strategic objective of breaking the backbone of the Viet Cong." This failure, said the commentary, brought about the defeat of all the tasks which Westmoreland had set for the first phase. 3. Regarding the second phase, the commentary said that Westmoreland's report shows the "Americans are retreating," while Communist forces have not only preserved their units, but have also developed these units into division-size ones. It claims the US was dealt an "unexpected strategic blow" in 1966 when it had to divert troops to the DMZ area to cope with the Communist offensive there. 4. In describing the current situation, the com- mentary quotes an unnamed US journalist as saying re- cently that the Communists have the initiative and are capable of engaging in coordinated actions on a nation- wide scale. US strategy, the commentary claims, has gone from crisis to stalemate, and, the winter-spring campaign is proving that the US military situation has deteriorated and that US strategy is deadlocked 30 November 1967 V-1 3.5(c) 10-P-8EeltET Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032- ' --Tet�SreTZET 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Soviet Position Toward Peace Talks 5. Premier Kosygin has indicated again that Moscow is not now willing to take any initiative toward peace talks, stating that Hanoi must decide its own destiny. The Soviet premier's remarks were made to visiting Swedish Foreign Minister Nilsson, according to a US press report. 6. Probably convinced that there is not suf- ficient "give" in prospect by either side in the war, Moscow appears resigned for the time being to its continuance. Last month, in reply to an effort by the president of the World Federation of UN Associa- tions to convene a conference of the Geneva co-chair- men and the three ICC members, Kosygin stated that "the convening of any sort of international conference within the framework of the Geneva conference mechanism is as yet unrealistic." 30 November 1967 V-2 3.5(c) 12S)...E.SEG1ET Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Top et Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032 Niwe 00 Approved for Release: 2019/03/29 CO2003032