CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/06/13

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02003070
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: March 18, 2019
• Document Release Date: March 28, 2019
• Publication Date: June 13, 1951

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13 June 1951
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.?Oe
L: DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: 13 164:res
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH HF 70-2
DATE 1EVIDNER'.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. UK, France and the US reach accord on Yugoslav aid (page 3).
2. Japanese treaty talks in London and Paris showing progress (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Far East Air Force raises estimate of aircraft strength in China
(page 4).
4. Anti-US action by French officials in Indochina confirmed (page 5).
NEAR EAST
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Czechs reportedly holding two US jets (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Berlin's Mayor reluctantly agrees to cooperate in retaliation against
Soviet interference (page 7).
8. Communist anti-remilitarization campaign has scant success in
Western Germany (page 7).
9. Italians strengthen security forces (page 8).
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GENERAL
1. UK, France and the US reach accord on -Yugoslav aid:
The UK, France and the US have reached
an agreement on the proposed plan for
emergency economic aid to Yugoslavia
which calls for contributions of 23 percent,
12 percent, and 65 percent respectively. Signature of the agreement
on 13 June will open the way for detailed negotiations with Yugoslavia
on the precise nature of the uses to which the aid is to* applied, and
for approaches to other countries to secure additional aid from them.
Comment: Protracted negotiation by the
UK and France over the amount of their respective shares of the aid, as
well as over certain procedural difficulties raised by the UK, had de-
layed this agreement for some weeks. Participation by Yugoslavia's
creditors will also be sought in order to obtain adjustment of Yugoslav
debt payments schedules, with the aim of maximizing the effect of
Western aid in covering the anticipated Yugoslav trade deficit in the
period to 1 July 1952. The present intention is to approach first the
Italian Government, in recognition of Italy's primary security interest
in Yugoslavia.
2. Japanese treaty talks in London and Paris showing progress:
The British Cabinet on 11 June agreed 3.3(h)(2)
to the US proposal that: (1) neither Chinese
government sign the original multilateral
peace pact with Japan; and (2) the Japanese
Government be permitted to determine with
which regime it will conclude a bilateral
treaty.
3.3(h)(2)
Meanwhile, Ambassador Dulles reports from
Paris that following cordial meeting with French Foreign Office officials,
the French issued a`communique :stating in effect that there were no
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serious differences of principle between US and French views on the
treaty, leaving only certain texts to be clarified. Dulles notes that the
Foreign Office did not reflect the point of view given him by the French
Ambassador in London on 4 June, which indicated that France would prefer
to delay conclusion of the treaty.
comment: Agreement on the Chinese
problem removes the most serious obstacle-io US-UK accord on the
Japanese treaty. The sudden shift in the UK Cabinet's attitude toward
the US proposal probably represents a desire to improve US-UK relations�
with regard to Far Eastern issues, rather than a reversal of the fwida-
mental UK policy toward Communist China. In respect to the Frenda posi-
tion, French Foreign Office officials on 6 June indicated that France kad no
plans to delay the treaty.
FAR EAST
3. Far East Air Force raLses estimate of aircraft strength in China:
The US Far East Air Force Intelligence
Staff eutivates that combat air strength
in China (including Manchuria) now totals
1,050 planes. Exact subordination of these
aircraft is not known, but it is believed that 300-350 are Soviet Air Force
planes, 100-150 are North Korean and the remainder Chinese Communist.
Jet fighter strength 1which includes 320 MIG-15's, is believed to be 445.
More than half the pianes (690) are believed based in Manchuria. The De-
vision in strength from 900 (estimated by FEAF on 19 May) does not reflect
any influx of aircraft, but is based on additional information.
3.3(h)(2)
_Comment: The latest official US Air Force
Headquarters estimate (as of 31 May) was that 1,000 combat planes were
based in China; of these 400 were jet fighters.
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4. Anti-US action by French officials in Indochina confirmed
A well-placed French ,official has ad- 3.3(h)(2)
mitted to US Ministeeath that some mem-
bers of General de Lattre's entourage are
providing the General with erroneous and anti-
US reports, and are also trying to drive a wedge between De Lattre and
Bao Dai. The source suggested that such action on the part of U. Gen-
eral's advisers might be due to pro-Communist sympathies or to the
susceptibility of certain advisers to blackmail by Communist agents
Comment: There have been numerous reports
of attempts on the part of French officials in Indochina to discredit US
policies While it is quite possible that there are Communist sympathizers
among iffriiential French officials in Indochina, anti-US action and attempts
to cause trouble between De Lattre and Bao Dai could alscr originate with
certain die-hard lbolonialists" who hold very high positions in the Indo-
china administration.
NEAR EAST
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EASTERN EUROPE
6. Czechs reportedly holding two USrlets:
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3.3(h)(2)
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on 8 Tune two US jets landed at Kbely air-
field five miles northeast of Prague. The
pilots are reported to have stated that they 3 3(h)(2)
became lost because their air-ground radar
was out of order. The Czechoslovak authori-
ties allegedly are developingfirm found on the
planes and are in the process of stripping one
plane. These planes probably are the two F-84 aircraft which departed
from the US zone of Germany on 8 June and failed to return. The last
report from rhem indicated that they were headed toward the Soviet Zone
of Germany and Czechoslovakia.
Comment: Previous Czechoslovak charges
of numerous US over-flights have resulted in an exchange of notes in which
the Czechoslovak Government has declared the flights provocatory and
warned that consequences which may arise rest solely with the US Govern-
ment.
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WESTERN EUROPE
7. Berlin's MAy2L1:211ca_ntlyagiate in retaliation against
Soviet interference:
West Berlin Mayor Reuter has reluctantly 3.3(h)(2)
agreed to instructions of the three Allied Corn-
mandants in Berlin that his city council stop
sending at the demand of Soviet authorities
certificates showing the origin of the raw materials used in manufactured
goods shipped by West Berlin to the West.West Berlin city council
previously had yielded to the Soviet demand for certificates, and Mayor
Reuter indicated to the Allied Commandants on 10 lune his belief that
no counteraction should be taken until Berlin was in a stronger economic
position. The commandants, however, pointed out that Berlin's whole
position would be imperilled if the Allies accepted any clear Soviet vio-
lation of existing agreements, such as constituted by the demand for cer-
tificates of origin, and virtually agreed among themselves that, if no
satisfactory reply was received from the Soviet Central Commission,
countermeasures against East German trade would be adopted.
Comment: According to a press despatch
of 12 Tune, such a ban is already in effect. West Berlin officials had
initially indicated that they approved retaliatory measutes, and that each
Allied sector commandant should insist on the right to approve shipments
of goods from his sector of Berlin without Soviet clearance, even if
this action necessitated a small air-lift. Since that time, they have ap-
parently become reluctant to adopt measures which they feel would result
in Soviet action hindering the development of their vital trade with the
West and bringing West Berlin economic life to a standstill.
8. Communist anti-remilitarization campaign has scant success in Western
Germany:
US representatives estimate that, despite 3.3(h)(2)'
exaggerated Communist claims of "over-
whelming success," it is most unlikely that
more than 700,000 affirmative votes were
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obtained in Western Germany in response to the Communist-sponsored
"plebiscite" question. This figure is considered a most liberal estimate,
probably including many votes that were obtained under false pretenses.
Comment: The Communist anti-remilitari-
zation petition, which they termed a "plebiscite," was banned by the
West Germangovernment, The Communist press claims that on 3 - 5
June 95;a8; percent of the East German population voted "yes" on this
"plebiscite" and also insists that large numbers of West Germans voted in
defiance of the government ban. However,/ 3.3(h)(2)
after the government ban, plebiscite aefivities Were largely con-
fined to canvassing of the usual Communist sympathizers.
9. Italians strengthen security forces:
Italian infringnient of peace treaty limitations
on its Navy is indicated by: (1) naval person-
nel:strength of 35,4)00 as against a maximum
of 27,500 authorized; (2) failure to scrap a 3.3(h)(2)
number of damaged ships of types which are
prohibited (two battleships, an uncompleted air-
craft carrier, two light cruisers, and two sub--
marines); and (3) the expansion of a number of
naval installations. The Italian Air Force now
totals 622 aircraft with an additional 298 air-
craft indirectly under its control, in contrast
to the 350 peace treaty limitation. The Pub-
blica Sicurezp. (the National Police Guard totalling some 70,000 men) is
moving toward increased militarization. Guard officers are now sent regu-
larly to the Army's signal school and infantry school.
Comment: These reports verify previous
indications of an increase in Italian Army, Navy and Air Force strengths
and equipment beyond peace treaty limits. There will be opposition among
some elements normally supporting the government to a further remilitari-
zation of the Pubblica Sicurezza which might further impede passage of a
Oivil Defense Sill, placing civil defense under the Interior Ministry.
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13 June 1951
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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