CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/06/20

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02003074
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
9
Document Creation Date: 
March 18, 2019
Document Release Date: 
March 28, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
June 20, 1951
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15587378].pdf315.64 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 '4110' VI' bhUtth 20 June 1951 Copy No. c_j-q CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS. iI DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS Vol NEXT REVIEW DA FE. AUTH: HR 7O- DATE Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 SUMMARY USSR FAR EAST 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) a. Chimise Nationalists continue to reject US-UK Sapanese nearP treaty prOposals (page 4). 4. Large Viet Minh concentration reported south of French defenses in Tonkin (page 5). EASTERN EUROPE 5� Polish Government planning industrialization on long-range basis (Page 5). 3.3(h)(2) t. Czech Foreign Office accuses US of distorting Oatis case WESTERN EUROPE Soviets relax Berlin trade restrictions (page 7). LATIN AMERICA 9. New labor stoppage in Chilean copper industry (page 8). (page 7). 3.5(c) 2 Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 11613 USSR 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 TP SECRET 3.3(h)(2) FAR EAST 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Chinese Nationalist Foreign Minister Yeh :.has informed the US Charge in Taipei that "the. Chinese Government will only accept simultaneous participation with the other Allies in a multilateral treaty ora bilateral treaty to be signed - 4 - 3.3(h)(2) TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 TCYP SECRET severally by all Allies concerned. "� Yeh's statement was prompted by a Washington rep rt crediting him with committing the Chinese Nationalists to the US-UK decision regarding Chinese accession to the Japanese Peace Treaty. 3.5(c) Vomment: Nationalist sensibilitieS notwithstanding, current indications suggest that the US and UK intend to proceed without Chinese co-signature, and that any bilateral agreements will be left to the discretion of a "sovereign and independent" japan itself, 3.3(h)(2) 4� Large Viet Minh concentration re_ported south of French defenses in Tonkin,� 5. 30, 000 to 40, 000 enemy troops, many if whom are apparently new arrivals are concentrated west of Phuly, on the southern perimeter of the Tonkin Delta defenses. This force is so situated that it can move into 3.3(h)(2) position to attack these defenses within 12 hours, Comment; 3.3(h)(2) French regular forces in the entire Tonkin defense triangle number only about 67, 000. The fact that there are now no large Wet Minh forces remaining along the northern defenses arouses a suspicion that the Chinese Communists might fill this vaPtifirt EASTERN EUROPE . . t jt . $HLHS, I!, 7�� 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) The US Embassy in Warsaw sees no evidence indicating that Poland is retarding or postponing the construction of heavy industrial projects in favor of greater concentration on items of more immediate military utility. According to the Embassy, Poland has achieved impressive industrial progress during the past sixteen months and seems preoccupied at the moment with insuring the orderly achievement - 5 - TOP-SECREP Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 TOP SECRET of production goals. The Embassy points out that this emphasis on in- dustrialization should contribute appreciably to the Communist war potential within the next few years. Comment: All available information indicates that Poland has stressed the expansion of its heavy industry under the Six Year Plan and placed less emphasis upon construction of immediate military usefulness. This orientation constitutes a sound psychological appeal to the nationalistic Polish people, who see in this industrial expansion the growth of their country. 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 6 - Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 irtivP SECRET 7� Czech Forei n Office accuses US of distortin Oatis case: 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) Czech Foreign Minister Siroky has informed the US Ambassador in Prague that the Foreign Office has washed its hands of the case of arrested US newsman Oatis because of US press and radio distortions of his prior meeting with the Ambassador on this matter. Siroky sated that Oatis would be tried within a few days and that a US Embassy official 'ctuld attend the trial.. According to the Foreign Minister, Oatis has made a "full coniession" of "serious crimes. against the Czech state. The US Ambassador comments that Oatis will probably endorse a confession at his trial and may even appear as a defector. Comment: In a discussion of the Oatis case with the US Ambassador on 16 May, Siroky charged that the US was sponsoring Radio Free Europe, whose operations were creating an unfavorable atmosphere. As a result of a subsequent news leak in Germany, the Western press published reports that the Czechoslovak Government had demanded the suspension of Radio Free Europe in return for the release of Oatis. WESTERN EUROPE 8. Soviets relax Berlin trade restrictions: 3.3(h)(2) The USSR has relaxed its current restrictions on West Berlin's exports to the West, releasing several hundred requests for trade permits' that it had hitherto refused to approve. At the same time, however, S. A. Dengin of the Soviet Control Commission has replied to Allied Protests regarding the Soviet restrictions by claiming the right of the Soviets to control shipments from West Berlin as a means of - 7 - TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 3.5(c) � -- Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 ensuring that no illegally obtained raw materials from East Germany are included in those shipments. Allied and Soviet experts will attempt to work out a method of control. Meanwhile, the Allies are making it clear to-Dengin that the resumption of negotiations for a trade agreement between East and West Germany is dependent upon the abandonment of Soviet restrictions on West Berlin exports. Comment: This Soviet relaxation of restrictions appears to have resulted from the threat of firm Allied countermeasures, including the simultaneous embargo of key items from West Germany and West Berlin to the Soviet zones as well as from the expectation of a prompt conclusion of an interzonal trade agreements for which negotiations were halted by the West during the current dispute. LATIN AMERICA 9. New labor stoppage in Chilean cooper industry; 3.3(h)(2) An illegal strike of workers in two large US- owned copper mines -- begun four days ago -- has now spread to a third. Furthermore, nitrate, coal and railway labor leaders reportedly are actively negotiating for authorization from their unions to stage a strike supporting the copper workers' demands. Troops have been ordered to guard �the three strike-bound mines, and a decree ordering the "renewal of work" has been issued by the government. President Gonzales Videla reportedly is planning to form a military cabinet if a solution is not found to "the� present crisis," 3.5(c) Comment: In May, labor agitation reduced � production at one mine by 50 percent, and the -current strikes will severely affect total Chilean copper production for June, since approximately 95 percent of this production is controlled by the three large US-owned companies. It seems likely that the newly formed union of copper workers, whose strength has previously, been untested, may be in a position to bargain successfully, with the government as a result of the present strike movement -.- which has been reportedly caused by the companies' rejection of the unionrs demands. - 8 - Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 CO2003074 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 002003074 Approved for Release: 2019/03/14 002003074