CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1954/09/07

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02008415
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: August 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: August 30, 2019
• Publication Date: September 7, 1954

Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
�T-e-P-SEeRET" ry/
7 September 1954
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS, CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE.
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE. "I rim ICO REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
1
Neve
SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Quemoy islands area quiet as of 6 September (page 3).
2. Chinese Communist flights over Formosa seem probing operation
(page 3).
WESTERN EUROPE
3. French seek support of German Socialist Party for plan to neu-
tralize Germany (page 4).
7 Sept 54
* * * *
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
\-1 L 1
Noe
FAR EAST
1. Quemoy islands area quiet as of 6 September:
As of 1200 (Washington time) on 6 September,
the situation was quiet in the Quemoy islands
area.
Intermittent shelling of the islands by Commu-
nist artillery to the north and west had continued on 4 and 5 September.
Movements of trucks and other vehicles were reported near Communist-
held Amoy, but no unusual troop activity had been observed,/
Nationalist aircraft have carried out a number
of reconnaissance, bombing and strafing missions.. Nationalist naval
strength in the Quemoy area has been increased by the arrival of three
destroyers, and preparations have been made for possible reinforcement
of the Nationalist garrison on the Quemoys. The garrison has doubled
the guards in beach positions and has continued to prepare against pos-
sible Communist landings, Nationalist artillery has fired on Commu-
nist gun positions and has shelled Amoy,
The Nationalist Ministry of National Defense
estimates the most favorable period for a Chinese Communist inva-
sion of the Quemoys to be 12 to 22 September, This estimate is based
primarily on data concerning tides,
Comment The Communist bombardment
of the Quemoys on 3 September seemed to be aimed at testing Ameri-
can intentions as to defense of the major Nationalist-held offshore
islands. An early Communist attempt to invade the Quemoys, in the
face of strong American naval and air forces in Formosan waters,
now appears doubtful,
7 Sept 54
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
r C I
Nor
2. Chinese Communist flights over Formosa seem probing operation:
Taipei was blacked out in the early morning
of 6 September after radar had picked up an
unidentified plane at 18,000 feet shortly past
midnight. Two hours later four unidentified
eported, and flares were reported near a Taipei airfield.
Comment: The Chinese Communists were
presumably attempting in these flights to test the temper of the popu-
lace, in the light of Communist threats to "liberate" Formosa. The
dropping of flares suggests a photo-reconnaissance mission The
Communists may also have wished to determine whether the National-
ists have any night-fighters available.
The Chinese Communists have the capability
of launching day or night air attacks on Formosa. There is an in-
creasing possibility of raids on Formosan bases, particularly those
from which the Chinese Nationalists fly air support for their' offshore
island positions.
WESTERN EUROPE
3. French seek support of German Socialist Party for plan to neutralize
Germany:
Germany,
Since the middle of August, French occupa-
tion officials in Germany have reportedly
been circulating a document outlining a pro-
posed plan for a future French policy in
This proposal, which is allegedly supported
by West German Socialist leader Erich 011enhauer, includes: (1) a
French veto of any German. army linked to NATO; (2) opposition to
any American effort to raise a defense force in West Germany; and
(3) a four-power agreement on all-German elections for a neutralized,
lightly armed Germany. The elections would be supervised by UN
members other than the United States and the Soviet Union and would
be administered by an "electoral government" drawn from the West
German and Soviet zone parliaments.
7 Sept 54
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415
...,
Approved for Release: 2019/081/13 CO2008415
�.../ 1 oL.A._,Lx.L., 1
Comment: This plan closely follows
German Socialist thinking, and is apparently based upon the assump-
tion that its main support in Germany would come from the Socialists.
It also would have a definite appeal to the French neutralist elements
on whose advice Mendes-France has consistently acted.
The proposed four-power agreement implies
willingness to engage in four-power discussions without prior Soviet
commitments. The USSR could be expected to encourage these pro-
posals as they can be exploited to cause dissension among the Western
allies.
7 Sept 54
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5
"refi�SEreRE-T
Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 CO2008415