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Document Creation Date: 
April 15, 2019
Document Release Date: 
April 22, 2019
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Publication Date: 
July 24, 1951
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15603098].pdf253.83 KB
Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 C- O� 2017976 *WO .1. r..A.11..E - C-S-AtunZA,,t.. 24 July 1951 Copy No. e CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO NO CHANGE IN CLASS. )04 4 ' DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S aciet NEXT REVIEW DATE� AUTH: H 0 dr! DATE' REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 002017976 - 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) rAPproved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 .L .L SUMMARY GENERAL French and British cool toward UN trade talks with USSR (page 3). SOUTH ASIA 3. Hindu-Moslem disorders may threaten peace in South Asia (page 4). EASTERN EUROPE 4. Comment on Polish anniversary ceremonies (page 5). WESTERN EUROPE 5. New restrictions placed on entry of East Germans into West Berlin (nae 8) * * * Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) z rApproved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 1t, rA.AIL 1 GENERAL 3.5(c) 3.3(h' 2. F ritish ool ard tal 3.3(h)(2) The UK representative on the Control Committee for East-West trade is strongly opposed to holding a 20 August meeting of the Economic Commission for Europe, to which the USSR has accepted an invitation. The UK representative - 3 - TOP CRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 )(2) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 CRET termed the Soviet acceptance a "clever propaganda device" calculated to provide the opportunity for dangling prospects of better living con- ditions before the Western European countries at a time when the UK balance of payments situation Is deteriorating and export controls against the Soviet bloc are being tightened. The French representative has indicated that his country would "keep in close touch" with the British on this matter. Comment: The UK's vigorous opposition stems both from its recognition of the futility of any effort to expand East-West trade while the US position remains unchanged and from the government's fear that the dissident Bevan group would eagerly exploit the anticipated Soviet propaganda. � French cooperation with US East-West trade control policies has been more willing in the past year. Recently, France has resisted strong Polish demands for molybdenum and nickel, and has agreed only tentAtively to give the Poles a limited quantity of aluminum in an effort i obtain desperately needed coal. Some French Government economists will be strongly tempted, however, to encourage increased Imports of food and raw materials from the East They would consider these as complementary to a larger volume of US- financed imports of consumer goods, an anti-inflationary measure now advocated by some French officials. SOUTH ASIA 3.5(c) Hindu-Moslem disorders may threaten. peace in South Asia: Hindu-Moslem riots, rather than Indian and Pakistani military movements near 3.3(h)(2) Kashmir, constitute the greatest potential threat to peace in South Asia, according to the US Embassies in New Delhi and Karachi. Both embassies feel that communal disorders would spread rapidly - 4-- Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 3.5(c) � Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 T P SECRET and would be difficult to control once they had begun. Comment; To date there has been little evidence that Hindu-Moslem riots were likely to occur as a resultof Indo-Pakistani friction over Kashmir. Early in 1950, during a period of tension resulting from economic warfare, communal rioting broke out on a, considerable scale. 4 was quickly and energetically suppressed, however, when both governments recognized how quickly it could lead to war. EASTERN EUROPE Comment on Polish anniversary ceremonies For the first time, the Polish National holiday ceremonies on 22 Ally were attended by many of the highest ranking Orbit notables The presence of Zhukov and Molotov and the tenor of the latter's speech suggest that the occasion was used as a preliminary justification to Poland for new Soviet moves favoring East Germany. Commemorating the occasion in a public address, Molotov stressed the benefits Poland has gained from its friendly post-war relationship with East Germany and particularly the USSR. He pointed out that these friendships enabled Poland to avoid following the deviationist path of Yugoslavia or reverting to its dis- astrous pre-war policy of playing Teuton against Slay. Molotov's reference to Yugoslavla appearsto be more a warning to the Poles of what a Satellite should not do than a threat to Yugoslavia. Zhukov's appeaxaace in Warsaw, his first outside the USSR since 1946, may be connectea with the USSR's new effort to stress peaceful cooperation with the West During the last war Zhukov achieved much prominence and popularity in Russia, and 'in the immediate postwar period he was on good terms with the Western , commanders in Berlin. Later the Kremlin relegated him to the obscurity of a comparatively unimportant military command in the interior of the USSR. 5 - TO8ER1. Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 TteP CHET . New restrictions WESTERN EUROPE laced on entr of East Germans into West Berlin: The East German Minister of Interior has ordered thats, effective immediately, all mmtor vehicles traveling between East Germany and East Berlin are forbidden to transit West Berlin en route. 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Indications were also received that, after 20 July, international passes will be required for East German residents desiring to enter West Berlin. Local US officials state that these restrictions may be preliminary to the Communists World Youth Fes- tival scheduled to be held from 5-19 August in East Berlin, Comment; These latest restrictions suggest that the planners of tilt forthcoming World Youth Festival are anxious to prevent a repetition of events at the 1950 Berlin Youth Rally, when large numbers of East Germau participants visited West Berlin despite Soviet efforts to prevent their exposure to Western influence. Moreover9 Brillsh officials reportedly believe that the new restrictions on motor travel may be a further Soviet attempt to combat the smuggling of Illegal goods into West Berlin. The, USSR cited such smuggling as the reason for their current restrictions against West Berlin's exports. 3.3( Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 )(2) 3.5(c) 3.3(h Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 Tr4.0 PSECRET 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2017976 )(2 3.5(c)