CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/23
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02018006
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
7
Document Creation Date:
June 6, 2019
Document Release Date:
June 27, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
October 23, 1952
File:
Attachment | Size |
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15652993].pdf | 212.05 KB |
Body:
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SECURI NFORMATION
23 October 1952
Copy No.
57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO.
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AUTH: HR 70-2
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECU IIFORMATION
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1.
2. Soviet Black Sea Fleet apparently receives new cruiser (page 3).
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. UN will order Arab emigrants in Jordan to return to Israel
(page 4).
4. Turkey changes attitude on Arab participation in MEDO (page 4).
EASTERN EUROPE
5. "Rebellion" reported in northeast Rumania (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. East Germans reportedly activate First Army Group headquarters
(page 6).
7. Pinay sees increased American aid necessary to ELIC
ratification (page 7).
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SOVIET UNION
1.
2. Soviet Black Sea Fleet apparently receives new cruiser:
What is believed to be a newly constructed
cruiser was identified for the first time
in Black Sea Fleet
The ship's callsign is part of a
ock allocated to battleships and cruisers.
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Comment: ,No vessel larger than a cruiser
is known to be under construction for the Soviet Navy. Two Sverdlov-
class cruisers have been under construction at the Black Sea port
of Nikolaev since 1949,
Completion of one of these ships would bring the total of Soviet
cruisers in the Black Sea to eight, six of them modern.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. UN will order Arab emigrants in Sordan to return to Israel:
The UN Mixed Armistice Commission
will Order 850 Bedouins who left Israeli
territory for Jordan in September to
return to Israel. The Arabs are expected
to resist repatriation because of fear that
ey will to settle on unproductive land.
The American Consul General in Jerusalem
predicts that Israel intends to make it so uncomfortable for its
remaining Arabs that eventually they will all try to emigrate.
Comment: Officially, Israel practices no
discrimination, but for security reasons it has placed some restraints
on its 170,000 Arabs. This attitude is also motivated by a desire to
make sufficient land available for Jewish imigrants.
4. Turkey changes attitude on Arab participation in MEDO:
The British Foreign Office reported on 20
October that Turkish Prime Minister
Menderes agreed during the recent
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British-Turkish talks in London that the formation of the Middle
East Defense Organization should proceed without the Arab nations.
Menderes nevertheless insisted that it would be better if they
participated.
He suggested that Iraq rather than Egypt
should be the first Arab state approached since Egyptian leadership
of the Arab bloc had been weakened by suspicion of General Nagibis
"republican tendencies."
Comment: Turkey had previously urged
that one more attempt be ma--7E�t,o obtain Arab cooperation before
going ahead with the organization, and had suggested that since
Egypt was clearly the key to Arab participation, it should be
approached informally. It is possible that the Turkish attempt to
sound out the Egyptians in early October failed.
American observers believe that the
Egyptian position in the Arab world has been strengthened by the
military coup, and there is no evidence that Iraq is prepared to
lead the Arabs at this time.
EASTERN EUROPE
5. "Rebellion" reported in northeast Rumania:
Rumanian security police
and militia were investigating "the begin-
ning of a rebellion" in the Dorohoi area
in northeast Rumania and had already
arrested 90 persons.
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Commept:
considerable peasant unrest
and some overt acts against local authorities, although nothing
on the scale of a "rebellion." The militia has also been recruiting
additional men for rural posts.
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Peasant dissatisfaction has been heightened
this year by a resumption of the collectivization drive and by crop
failures. he Rumanian Government found it necessary 3.3(h)(2)
to reduce taxes an crop delivery quotas imposed on peasants in
communities "stricken by natural calamities."
WESTERN EUROPE
6. East Germans reportedly activate First Army Group headquarters:
The East German Government has activated
the First Army Group headquarters at
Pasewalk, north of Berlin, under the
command of Brigadier General Hermann
The headquarters
three infantry divisions with supporting arms,
of 30,000 to 35,000 men, and it may also
18,000 to 20,000 men in a major unit on
Rentzsch,
allegedly commands
with a total strength
control an additional
Ruegen Island.
The formation of such a headquarters for
administrative purposes is possible, but the state of training and
armament of the Alert Police makes it unlikely that full divisions
exist as yet or that a new headquarters would have any tactical
responsibilities.
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7. Pinay sees increased American aid necessary to EDC ratification:
Prime Minister Pinay has assured the
American Ambassador that the recent
attacks against EDC by Her riot and other
Radical Socialist leaders have not affected
the determination of the government to insist on ratification of the
treaty.
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Pinay stated, however, that the success
of the government depended to a great extent on the maintenance of
American military aid at a figure not less than that originally proposed
by France; otherwise the government would be unable to refute
parliamentary criticism of France's "inferior status" in EDC and
NATO.
Defense Minister Pleven added that the
government was unwilling to present the military budget on the
basis of the present American aid figure and would postpone it
until this matter was settled.
Comment: American assistance to France
for 1953 is tentatively set af$525, 000,000 as contrasted with the
French request for $650,000,000.
Despite Pinay's qualified assurance, it
still appears doubtful that the French Government can get the
necessary National Assembly support for the EDC treaty in its
present form. Growing demands for renegotiation and Pinay's
determination to avoid staking his government on a foreign policy
issue threaten an indefinite delay at best.
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