CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/11/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02018007
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: November 2, 1952

AUTH: 70.2
Office of Current Intelligence DATE;
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
01-)
SECUR11NFORMATION
2 November 1952
' Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
7
DOCUMENT NO. 26
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. X.
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S g
NEXT REVIEW DATE: Off 7
REVIEWER:. 3.5(c)
3.5(c)
SECUR NFORMATION
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
LetoP SECRET
SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Retention of Okazaki in Japanese Cabinet indicates continued
pro-Western orientation (page 3).
2. Japan sees jurisdiction issue as only major block to UN forces
agreement (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3, Comment on Kashani's plans to attend Vienna Peace Congress
(page 4).
4. Iran may be willing to receive West German diplomatic mission
(page 5).
5. Egypt and Britain reaching agreement on two irritating problems
(page 5).
6. Comment on Egyptian proposals for solution of the Sudan issue
(page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. France seen more favorable to EDC ratification (page 6).
* * * *
- 2 -
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
TvgasoP RET
3.5(c)
FAR EAST
1. Retention of Okazaki in Japanese Cabinet indicates continued pro-Western
orientation:
Prime Minister Yoshida's decision to retain 3.3(h)(2)
Katsuo Okazaki as Foreign Minister in
the new Japanese Cabinet is a clear indication
that Japan's pro-Western policy will continue,
according to Ambassador Murphy.
Okazaki has been publicly criticized in Japan
for his "weak-kneed diplomacy." The Ambassador believes he was
retained in the post because Yoshida desired a foreign minister who
would execute policies without question or argument.
Comment: The new cabinet selections include
only one follower of Ichiro Hatoyama, Yoshida's rival for leadership of
the Liberal Party. The Prime Minister's failure to render more than
lip-service to his post-election agreement with his rival and his
failure to appoint additional Hatoyama followers suggest that he will be
unable to maintain a Diet majority for more than a few months. The
character of the present Diet indicates that any succeeding government,
while still pro-Western, may be more nationalistic than the present one.
2. Japan sees jurisdiction issue as only major block to UN forces
agreement:
if UN members would recognize
�Japan's legal jurisdiction over their forces
on its territory, most of the remaining
pom s o magreement could be settled by mutual concessions. II
3
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
/Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
rliR (-4 BET
3.5(c)
Comment: The UN-Japan negotiations
on the status of non-American UN forces in Japan have reached an
impasse over the question of criminal jurisdiction. Sensitive to
public and Diet criticism, the Japanese insist that for political
reasons they cannot waive the right to arrest and try UN personnel
accused of serious crimes involving Japanese law. The agreement
governing the status of American troops in japan may come up for
review in April.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. Comment on Kashani's plans to attend Vienna Peace Congress:
Mullah Kashani recently told Italian
Senator Berlinguer in Tehran that he would go to the Vienna Peace
Congress in December if it is attended by "enlightened and noble
persons," according to the Iranian press. K.ashani reportedly also
told the Senator, a Nenni Socialist who has been active in promoting
Communist peace activities, that he intended in any event to send a
representative and an "effective message." He asserted that his
participation in the congress meant the participation of all Moslems,
and he denounced American and British imperialism in Italy and
North Africa.
Kashani's influence among Moslems outside
Iran is not as great as he claims, but his direct or indirect participation -
in the Vienna Congress would lend itself to Communist exploitation. The
Mullah has in the past attempted to obtain American support by threaten-
ing to turn to the Communists. His announced intention now to become
involved in Communist "peace" maneuvers indicates that Mossadeq's
most likely successor may be ready to promote further Iranian estrange-
ment from the West.
SECI1
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
SECRET
3.5(c)
4. Iran may be willing to receive West German diplomatic mission:
Ambassador Henderson believes that Iran
may be vi1iing to accept a West German
diplomatic mission. He points out that
the Iranian desire to strengthen economic
and political relations with West Germany may now outweigh fears
of a Soviet reaction. Germany is more favored in Iran than any other
Western nation and its trade would contribute to strengthening the
country's economy.
Remarking that the presence of a German
diplomatic mission friendly to the West could be an asset, the
Ambassador warns that delay in establishing full relations may give
neutralists and Communists time to raise opppsition.
5. Egypt and Britain reaching agreement on two irritating problems:
Egypt is ready to assure Great Britain
that compensation will be paid the victims
of the January riots in Cairo now that
Britain has released 5,000,000 pounds
sterling to Egypt. Colonel Amin of the
Egyptian High Committee told American
Minister Holmes in London that he was
certain such assurance would be forthcoming
shortly.
Meanwhile, the British Cabinet has approved
the release of 15 jet fighters to Egypt as soon as the latter agrees to a
settlement of the compensation problem.
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: Egypt and Britain are apparently
approaching agreement on important problems which, although sub-
ordinate to the larger issues, have tended to poison Anglo-Egyptian
relations. Such agreement, however encouraging, would not necessarily
mean that the two countries were close to a solution of the more funda-
mental Sudan and Suez disputes.
5
TOP-SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/0
/28 CO2018007
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
TLYPSECRET
3.5(c)
6. Comment on Egyptian proposals for solution of the Sudan issue:
The agreement concluded by General Nagib
with the representatives of the pro-British Sudanese Independence
Party on 29 October calls for substantial modification of the British-
proposed draft consititution for the Sudan if Egypt is to cooperate in
its future political development. The Egyptian proposals, particularly
those relating to the authority of the Governor General and the assim-
ilation of Sudanese into the administration,are designed to eliminate all
British influence in the Sudan within three years.
The Egyptians have proposed that in the
three years prior to Sudanese determination of their future political
status, the Governor General will share constitutional authority with
a specially constituted five-man commission composed of two Sudanese,
a British, an Egyptian and an Indian or Pakistani member. The British
Government, which has consistently opposed the interference of any
international body in the daily administrative process, is likely to object
to this commission. It may also object to Indian or Pakistani member-
ship on grounds of anti-colonial bias.
General Nagib appears to be attempting to
force Great Britain to prepare the way for a fully independent state
or lay itself open tO the charge that it is not acting in good faith in its
insistence on Sudanese independence.
WESTERN EUROPE
7. France seen more favorable to EDC ratification:
Returning to Bonn after a week of con-
sultations in Paris, French Deputy High
Commissioner Berard informed American
officials that he is "certain" France will
ratify the EDC treaty before the end of February 1953. French opinion,
6
3.3(h)(2)
TOP RET
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2-6-19/05/28 CO2018007
he thinks, is becoming more convinced that a European Defense
Community with German contingents is the lesser of two evils. As
the result of a long conversation with Radical Socialist leader Herriot,
Berard expressed the belief that the latter would not persist in the
extreme position taken in his recent speech.
Comment; In contrast with such indications
of a general improvement in theTifficial French attitude toward EDC,
there have been reports that the French Socialist Party, whose support
is necessary for EDC ratification, may decide at its National Council
meeting this month to oppose the treaty.
- 7 -
3.5(c)
TOP 2CRET
Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2018007
3.5(c)