CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/02/11

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02020576
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: February 11, 1953

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INFOTION
11 February 1953
Copy No. 59
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENTNO NO.
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DE.O..ASSIMO
CLASS. CI-IA4C.:.0 TO. TS
NEXT fiENAE.IN TATE:
AUTH: 7 0-
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
ViEWER.
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SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
I. Burma may appeal to UN on Chinese Nationalist problem (page 3).
2. Burmese Government reluctant to prohibit shipment of rubber
to China (page 4).
. Israeli
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negotiations with Egypt (page 4). 3.3(h)(2)
EASTERN EUROPE
4. Finnish Government will refuse chartering of tankers for
China trade (page 5).
5. Czechoslovakia prepares for long-term export commitments
to Orbit (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. French see threat to EDC ratification in proposal to increase
West German border police (page 6).
7. West German Social Democrats now believe US would oppose
German national army (page 7).
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
1. Burma may appeal to UN on Chinese Nationalist problem:
The Burmese commander in North
Burma, Brigadier Blake, claims to
have conclusive evidence that specially
trained Chinese Communist troops
have penetrated Chinese Nationalist
urma over the past six months. He attributes the
recent aggressiveness of the Chinese Nationalists in openly
attacking Burmese forces to a change in policy induced by
"deserters" from the Chinese Communist Army.
Blake states that Burma has suf-
ficient evidence to accuse the United States, Thailand, and
Formosa in the UN on the Chinese Nationalist issue. The
American Army Attache believes that a Burmese appeal to
the UN is inevitable if the Nationalist problem is not solved.
Comment: Chinese Communist
penetration of Nationalist forces in Burma has been rumored
in the past but never confirmed. Such infiltration, which is
quite possible, would add considerably to the many difficulties
likely to be encountered in any attempt to evacuate the National-
ists to Formosa. Burmese officials have in the past 10 days
been emphasizing the necessity for an immediate solution to
the Nationalist problem.
The Burmese have also been deterred
from a UN appeal because it might adversely affect their rela-
tions with friendly countries.
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2. Burmese Government reluctant to prohibit shipment of rubber
to China:
The Burmese Government is reluctant
to forbid rubber exports to Communist
China because such a step would be in-
consistent with Burma's neutral foreign
policy and might invite retaliation by Peiping. The Burmese
Labor Minister has informed the American Embassy in Rangoon
that the cabinet is now studying the problem in view of the possible
effects on Burma's internal and foreign policies of the change in
the mission of the Seventh Fleet.
According to the American Embassy in
Rangoon, the Burmese Government's fear that the change in the
Seventh Fleet's mission might Lead to reinforcement of Chinese
Nationalist forces in Burma may result in a stricter application
of its neutral foreign policy.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. Israeli
negotiations with Egypt:
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Comment! This is the first specific
indication that Israel mayTh-Frenewing its peace overtures while
simultaneously adopting a tough approach toward Iordan. Israeli
soldiers, however, on 24 Ianua,ry raided the Egyptian-held Gaza
strip.
Egyptian spokesmen have in recent
weeks privately suggested that a settlement with Israel might
be possible. There is no indication, however, that Egypt is
ready to begin serious discussions.
EASTERN EUROPE
4. Finnish Government will refuse chartering of tankers for
China trade:
The Finnish Government has informed
the American Legation in Helsinki that
it will permit no further chartering of
tankers for the China trade. This de-
cision will be presented to the public as an agreement among
shipowners who cannot risk the possible economic loss resulting
from such voyages.
The tanker Wilma, enroute to China
from Constanta with a load of kerosene, will be diverted to
Singapore.
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Comment: In view of this decision, it
is unlikely that the Finnish tanker Neste, which is under a one-
year charter to Poland and is reported enroute to Constanta to
load kerosene for China, will be permitted to complete its voyage.
5. Czechoslovakia prepares for long-term export commitments to Orbit:
Comment:
details of new five-year economic plans are under consideration.
Czech long-term trade agreements with the USSR, China, Bulgaria,
Albania and Poland expire in 1955.
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WESTERN EUROPE
6. French see threat to EDC ratification in proposal to increase West
German border police:
The French Deputy High Commissioner in
Bonn stated on 7 February that if West
Germany proceeds with its plans to in-
crease its border police from 10,000 to
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20, 000 men, the effect on the chances of French ratification of the
EDC would be "catastrophic." He said that he was under instructions
from Paris not to agree to the increase, and again argued that the
Germans are trying to establish the nucleus of a national army outside
EDC control.
The American and British Deputy High
Commissioners agreed that Chancellor Adenauer should be urged
to delay action pending Allied-German discussions, but felt that
the proposed police increase would simplify Allied efforts to con-
trol illegal border crossings.
Comment: An outright veto of the pro-
posed increase in the federal border police might add to Adenauer's
difficulties in obtaining EDC ratification. Bundestag deputies are
already annoyed at Paris over the recruitment of Germans for the
French Foreign Legion.
7. West German Social Democrats now believe US would oppose
German national army:
According to a prominent West German
Social Democrat, party chairman Erich
011enhauer was apparently convinced by
Secretary Dulles that the US would oppose
e orma ion ox a erman national army under any conditions.
However, 011enhauer, who heads the major opposition party in
the Bundestag, still believes that the treaties will not be ratified
in Paris, and perhaps not in Bonn.
Comment: Although the Social Democrats
will continue to reject the treaties, their opposition had previously
been fortified by the belief that Washington would support a German
national army should EDC fail.
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