Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
Release Decision: 
Original Classification: 
Document Page Count: 
Document Creation Date: 
July 15, 2019
Document Release Date: 
July 22, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 7, 1953
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15677565].pdf163.86 KB
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 C�2r�2�9�8 4 3 Copy No. 01 5(c) 3.3(h)(2; �// 3.4(c) I TOPS ET SECU INFORMATION 7 November 1953 0//7M CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO NO CHANGE tN CLASS. C.) DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE. "90 0_9 AUTHt HR 70-2 DATE :e_WW7_79 REV!EWER: Office of Current Intelligence 3.5(c) CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP RET SE TY INFORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 Nof 1 Lt(r...1 SECURITY INFORMATION 3.5(c) SUMMARY GENERAL % India reportedly decides against American position on prisoner release (page 3). 2. Soviet note reaffirms position on Korean conference (page 3). SOUTHEAST ASIA 3. President Quirino may declare martial law in Philippines (page 4). EASTERN EUROPE 4. Satellite industrial growth declines sharply (page 4). WESTERN EUROPE Comment on Trieste disorders (page 5). 2 'pMEE,"1" 7 Nov 53 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 Niro 1 'Kt, 1 SECURITY INFOR 3.5(c) GENERAL 1. India reportedly decides against American position on prisoner release: The Indian government has decided to interpret the Korean armistice agree- ment as requiring the Neutral Nations Repatriation Commission to hold a full 90-day explanation period and to retain custody of the prisoners until 30 days after the political conference meets. According to the Swiss minister in New Delhi, who conveyed this information, the Indian argument is based on the "humanitarian grounds" that prisoners who desire to be sent to some country other than For- mosa or South Korea would be denied that right if the conference did not meet. Ambassador Allen comments that Nehru may have taken this position to exert pressure on the United States to accept Peiping's terms for holding the conference. Comment: Since interpretation of the POW agreement rests with the NNRC Commission, India's atti- tude could result in indefinite confinement of the prisoners. There is no indication that any of them would reject Formosa or South Korea as their final destination. Any attempt to extend the explanation or detention period is likely to provoke violent reactions from the pris- oners and from the South Korean government. President Rhee has already said that since India is violating the terms of the armistice, South Korea is free to take any action it desires to protect the pris- oners. 2. Soviet note reaffirms position on Korean conference: The 3 November Soviet note did not essentially change the already defined Communist position on a Korean political conference. It made more explicit Moscow's claim that the West's exclusion of neutral countries "makes the participation of the USSR in the conference impossible." - 3 - 3.3(h)(2) 7 Nov 53 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 Nue Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 I Ur t SECURITY INFOR 3.5(c) The note provided additional evidence that the Communists will persist in their rejection of the United Nations recommendations on the composition of the conference. It strongly suggested a desire to avoid substantive negotiations for a Korean settlement at this time, SOUTHEAST ASIA Comment: The Philippine constitution requires that the election results be confirmed by the Senate, which will meet for this purpose on 8 December. It has been reported previously that the administration might arrest several Nacionalista members in order to secure control. In September, it was reported that Quirino had offered the defense post to Castaneda, who was re- lieved as chief of staff shortly after Magsaysay became defense secretary in 1950. EASTERN EUROPE 4, Satellite industrial growth declines sharply: Official reports published by the major Satellites during the last week show that their rate of industrial growth declined sharply this year. In Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Rumania, and East Germany the rate dropped from approximately 24 percent in 1952 to 12 percent in 1953, while in Poland it declined from 21 to 18 percent.. - 4 - TO RET 7 Nov 53 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 Noe Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908 1Ui'4CJthi SECURITY INFORMATION 3.5(c) Heretofore the announced rate of industrial growth of the Satellites has been approximately double that of the USSR. However, the decline in rate of growth and the downward revision of Satellite industrial goals since June indi- cate that Satellite industrialization is now proceeding at about the same rate as announced for the Soviet Union. The greater availability of consumer goods called for by revised Satellite plans is partly designed to increase the workers' incentives and so to correct the decline in industrial productivity. WESTERN EUROPE 5. Comment on Trieste disorders: Premier Pella's formal protest to the United States and Britain against the shooting of Italian students in Treste strongly suggests that his government is interested in keeping the situation stirred up and intends to make political capital of the riots. Pella probably considers that his chances of remaining in office will be improved if he can exploit disturbances to force early implementation of the 8 October decision or at least the introduction of Italian police into Zone A. The riots will certainly result in a harden- ing of the Yugoslav attitude. Belgrade can now be expected flatly to refuse to attend a five-power conference if Italy receives any addi- tional authority in Zone A prior to or concomitant with a conference. The Yugoslav press has already noted the failure of the Western- controlled police to maintain order, and is emphasizing that further grants of power to Italy in Zone A will create an impossible situation. 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 7 Nov 53 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2020908