CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1954/06/01
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02026944
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
7
Document Creation Date:
August 20, 2019
Document Release Date:
August 30, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 1, 1954
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15689420].pdf | 211.82 KB |
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1 June 1954
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. g
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S 0
NEXT REVIEW DATE. P0./0
AUTH: HA 70-2
DATE: 4///(90 FIEVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SU:MMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
1.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Majlis opposition to Zahedi regime crystallizing (page 3).
3. General Nagib shows anti-American attitude (page 4).
4. Moroccan nationalists plan Casablanca demonstration for early
June (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Comment on Jacquet's resignation from French cabinet (page 5).
LATIN AMERICA
6. Guatemalan officer warns army will not defend "untenable
position" created by Communists (page 6).
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
1.
NEAR EAST AFRICA
2. Majlis opposition to Zahedi regime crystallizing:
Opposition in the IVIajlis to the regime of
Prime Minister Zahedi is growth stron er
j Various members are
promoting their candidates for prime minister.
Supporters of former prime minister Mossadeq
and the Tudeh are asserting themselves against a settlement with Britain.
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These groups intend to sponsor a proposal in the Majlis for sever-
ance of relations with Britain if an oil settlement is not achieved.
Feeling is reported to exist in the Majlis
that the Zahedi government will continue strong until the end of the
summer holidays in October, and the deputies will do nothing to weaken
the government until then.
Comment: When Zahedi reported to the
Majlis on 20 May concerning the status of the oil negotiations, the
deputies seemed friendly and formally urged him to show courage in
the discussions.
Nevertheless, numerous vocal dissident
groups are developing, and Zahedi can expect to remain in office
only if he obtains an early settlement with Britain--one which would
be favorably received by the Majlis. The prime minister has pro-
mised reforms which will be impossible without oil revenues.
3. General Nagib shows anti-American attitude:
General Nagib has told
that the new British evacuation
proposal, as reported in the press on 21 May,
indicates the United States is ready to aban-
on gyp and support Britain. Nagib said Britain's suggestion that
American technicians share in the maintenance of the Suez base is
"just a trick" to make the United States support Britain. Nagib also
stated that he will consider employment of any technicians other than
Americans and specifically mentioned Belgians, Swedes or Swiss.
Comment: Nagib's hostility to the British
suggestion would be particularly significant were anything to happen
to Colonel Nasr, the dominant figure in Egypt. Nagib, who has been
generally pro-American, is under virtual house arrest and is ill but
retains considerable popular support.
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4. Moroccan nationalists plan Casablanca demonstration for early June:
Moroccan nationalists are planning a political
demonstration in Casablanca during the Moslem
festival ending Ramadan about 2 June,
recent actions of
Tunisian nationalists have bolstered Moroccan determination to resist
the French.
Comment: Reports from Tunisia have indicated
that disturbances are planned also for the end of Ramadan. Five squadrons
of mobile guards are being detailed for emergency duty, and troops have
been dispatched from Algeria to augment present security forces.
Such a demonstration in Casablanca would
invite quick French reaction and would probably lead to bloodshed.
Nevertheless, the French will almost certainly maintain control.
Casablanca has been the center of nationalist
activity and violence. The recent strong reinforcement of the French
security forces has not reduced this. The plans for the demonstrations
indicate nationalist determination to maintain pressure on the French
for widespread reforms despite the recent appointment of a new resi-
dent general.
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Comment on Jacquet's resignation from French cabinet'
The resignation of Gaullist Marc Jacquet,
Secretary for the Associated States, fur-
ther emphasizes the split within the French
cabinet on Indochina policy. jacquet, who
wants an noc ma se ement at any cost, is now free to attack the
government in the assembly and may precipitate more violent criticism
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of the government's policy than appeared in the last two Indochina
debates. Nevertheless, the resignation does not necessarily doom
the Laniel government on the vote expected to follow the debate sched-
uled to start 1 June.
Heretofore, Laniel's opponents have been
careful to mete out enough support for the government to avoid a crisis
as long as there is hope of a settlement at Geneva. The Gaullists threat-
ened to quit the cabinet before each of the two May votes of confidence
but were unable to secure enough outside support to ensure the govern-
ment's overthrow. The Socialist party congress's decision to back EDC
may tend to convince them that their withdrawal now would not bring the
government down.
jacquet had been implicated in leaks to the
Paris weekly L'Express after his trip to Indochina in February, and a
Foreign Ministry spokesman admitted that the article on General Ely's
report which caused the police to seize the 29 May issue of L'Express
was sufficiently accurate to warrant the government's suppression of it.
Jacquet denies being implicated in this incident, but his conflict with
Foreign Minister Bidault on policy at Geneva is public knowledge.
LATIN AMERICA
6. Guatemalan officer warns army will not defend "untenable position"
created by Communists: n
The Guatemalan army will not defend "the
untenable position" created by the Commu-
nists in Guatemala. This warning was reported
voiced by Lieutenant Colonel Jose A. Lara,
assistant G-4 on the army general staff, to Francisco Morazan Presi-
dent Arbenz' personal secretary, during a heated argument
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Lara is reported to have added that the army
had no intention of permitting arms from the recent Orbit shipment to
get into Communist hands, since this would "jeopardize the army's polit-
ical stand." He said the arms were of German manufacture, dating from
1942-1944 and were thus "antiquated."
Comment: This report reinforces previous
indications that the Arbenz administration might not be able to secure the
united backing of the army in a crisis in which the issue of Communism
was clearly drawn. At least two other Guatemalan officers more influen-
tial than Lara have indicated over the past year their alarm at the arming
of Labor and other groups under Communist control.
This is the first reported description from a
Guatemalan army officer of the arms cargo which arrived in Guatemala
from the Orbit on 15 May.
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