CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/09/08
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02027256
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
12
Document Creation Date:
September 20, 2019
Document Release Date:
September 26, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 8, 1955
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15721944].pdf | 344.54 KB |
Body:
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16
.7".4V ff0/17:1% �T-OP SECRET
, /47,
Copy No. 99
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. /
1.! DECLASSIRED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE- /.?OJU
DOCUMENT NO Li
AUTH: HR 70-2 ,060
DATE 4,6 310 REVIEWER.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
9
c7259
-r
3.3(h)W)
" ----
3.5(c) /
8 September 1955
0
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Nmas -4001
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
I w1 OL:441kE.� I
CONTENTS
1. SOVIET lNTELLIGENCE AGENTS REPORTEDLY SEE
"NO WAR FOR YEARS, IF EVER" (page 3).
2. PRESSURE GROWING FOR REDUCTION OF CHINA
TRADE CONTROLS (page 4).
30 CANADA FAVORS EARLY RECOGNITION OF CHINESE
COMMUNIST REGIME (page 5);
4.
TOWARD WEST (page 6)o
5. VIETMINH APPEALS
ELECTIONS ISSUE (page 7)
YUGOSLAV ATTITUDE
ON
6. COMMENT ON ANTI-GREEK RIOTING IN TURKEY
(page 8).
8 Sept 55
THE FORMOSA STRAITS
(page 9)
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
I 'L.J1 IJL.A..114.,La I
Nair
I. SOVIET INTELLIGENCE AGENTS REPORTEDLY SEE
"NO WAR FOR YEARS, IF EVER"
Comment
These views appear to be an accurate
reflection of the premises underlying
Moscow's long-range strategy. The Soviet leaders proba-
bly believe their conciliatory policy will generate growing
psychological pressures on Western governments which
will eventually result in important changes in their policies
toward the Sino-Soviet bloc.
Isolated "acts of terrorism" and the
currently stepped-up redefection campaign among former
Soviet citizens living abroad have already combined to
lower emigre morale, and the lessening of East-West ten-
sion will tend to facilitate infiltration and subversion.
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
TOP srenFT
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
�
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
A 4.-11 Ai....11.-e1 VA-.4 I
'WNW
2. PRESSURE GROWING FOR REDUCTION OF CHINA
TRADE CONTROLS
"Very few" COCOM members are
inclined to support retention of the
present strict controls over trade
with the Communist Far East, ac-
cording to the American COCOM
delegation in Paris. The French proposal to reduce
controls on trade with the Communist Far East to the
level of restrictions against the Soviet bloc is likely to
receive strong support from Japan, Denmark, and
Portugal. Belgium, the Netherlands, Luxembourg,
Norway, and Italy would probably continue to favor re-
duction of controls.
Turkey, probably Greece, and possi-
bly Canada can be expected to follow the American lead
to maintain the status quo. Britain and West Germany
clearly favor reduction, but it is not clear how far they
will go in the face of American opposition.
Comment Barring a Far Eastern crisis, it
appears likely that a strong initiative
to abolish or reduce the China differential will dominate
the COCOM Consultative Group meeting later this year.
One effect of such a reduction would be to vitiate the UN
resolution of May 1951 prohibiting strategic trade with
Communist China and North Korea. This resolution is
based directly on the UN resolution of February 1951 de-
claring Communist China an aggressor. The latter reso-
lution is a major obstacle to consideration of Peiping's
membership in the UN.
The British and French are already
pressing for re-examination of controls on trade with the
entire Sino-Soviet bloc as a matter of urgency and regard-
less of the outcome of any international conference.
(Concurred in by ORR)
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
TnP .cF.CPVT
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
A #I� &..111-06,...111.11-4
NINO
3. CANADA FAVORS EARLY RECOGNITION OF CHINESE
COMMUNIST REGIME
Canadian external affairs minister
Pearson has informed the United
States embassy in Ottawa that the
Canadian government strongly be-
lieves the Peiping regime should be recognized "sooner
rather than later," possibly in a year. He said the ac-
tion should be taken, if only to obtain first-hand infor-
mation from Peiping.
Canada has no intention of pressing
for the admission of Communist China to the UN now,
Pearson indicated, and will probably support the United
States' position at the forthcoming General Assembly
session. He said his own recent public statement favor-
ing admission of Peiping was a trial balloon.
Comment Canada has tended to favor establish-
ment of relations with the Chinese
Communists since early 1953. Pearson's remarks sug-
gest that Canada finds no substantial reasons for further
delay but will be guided as to timing by the views of
Britain and other countries whose general attitude it
shares.
Canada has indicated that it would
support a Belgian proposal to establish a UN study com-
mission on the Chinese representation issue.
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
-mme�
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
None
I I
4�
irUGOSLAV
ATTITUDE TOWARD WEST
Comment
There have been numerous recent in-
dications that Yugoslav officials are
becoming increasingly concerned over the possible effect
of the rapid improvement in relations with the USSR on
Yugoslavia's relations with the West.
The Yugoslays will probably make re-
newed gestures of friendship to the West in connection
with Tito's official trip to France from 20 to 25 October
and Vice President Kardelys visit to Great Britain in
mid-November.
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
i jr i
vor
5. VIET MINH APPEALS
ELECTIONS ISSUE
Comment
ON
This appeal at the international level
follows the failure of Viet Minh efforts
to induce premier Diem to enter into election consulta-
tions. If Diem does not begin talks with the Viet Minh,
the USSR may raise the question at the Big Four foreign
ministers' meeting in October.
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
6. COMMENT ON ANTI-GREEK RIOTING IN TURKEY
The rioting in Istanbul and Izmir on
6 September indicates that the wide
breach which has developed in recent
months between Greece and Turkey at
the diplomatic level has spread to the
general public.
The riots were apparently spontaneous,
but the Ankara government is searching for evidence of
Communist involvement. According to observations by the
American consul general in Istanbul, the police stood idly
by or cheered the mob which was looting shops. Only later
did troops supported with tanks restore order.
Popular emotions now running high in
both Greece and Turkey will probably be sharply controlled
by the two governments. In relations between the countries,
however, antagonisms which have been created by the Cyprus
issue will increase mutual recriminations over other issues
and seriously reduce area defense co-operation.
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
L,
BIWEEKLY SUMMARY
(25 August-7 September 1955)
THE FORMOSA STRAITS
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group
for the Formosa Straits Problem
1. Military activity in the area was extremely quiet
apart from increased artillery shelling begun on 2 Septem-
ber by the Chinese Nationalists. The shelling rose to a
high on 4 September, when the Communists fired 253 rounds
and the Nationalists fired 1,358. The situation returned to
normal on 6 September. This activity is not believed to sig-
nify any impending attack by the Communists.
3. Another Chinese Communist railway engineer divi-
sion (the Fifth Railway Engineer Division) has been identi-
fied and located in Fukien Province. This makes a total of
six such divisions now accepted as engaged in construction
of the projected railway that will connect Amoy with the main
trunk line south of the Yangtze River.
4. According to a Chinese Nationalist report uncon-
firmed by other sources, two Chinese Communist "Frogman
Raid Groups" totalling about 480 men arrived in the Amoy
area on 2 August. Chinese Nationalist authorities express
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 002027256
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
41 A., /1.-444,41 I
concern that the arrival of these units may be a pre-
liminary indication of an amphibious invasion of the
offshore islands. There is no evidence in other in-
telligence reporting to support the claim of Chinese
Communist UDT Units in the Amoy area, and there have
been no other recent indications of an invasion build-up
there.
5. Peiping continued to devote only perfunctory at-
tention to the Formosa Strait question during the past two
weeks. However, the tone of Peiping propaganda dealing
with US policies in Asia became more critical than it had
been during the early weeks of the talks at Geneva between
US and Chinese Communist representatives.
8 Sept 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10
�TefLSEGRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
-
Primary roads
Secondary roads
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
FORMOSA STRAITS SITUATION
NAUTICAL MILLS
50 lop
0
100 10
STATUTE MILES
150
!It'll Railroad
Proposed railroad
,q-
� A OPERATIONAL
O A SERVICEABLE
� A UNKNOWN
UNDER
CONSTRUCT ION
MIG.15, MIG.17,1OU.4, 1L.28
01-2, IL-10, LA-9/11, LI.2, ETC.
UNKNOWN
FIELDS NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE OF
SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPERATIONS
AT PRESENT.
* NATIONALIST AIRFIELD
COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND
USABILITY DESIGNATIONS
PRIMARY: CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN AREA, WITH PREPARED
RUNWAY GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER.
SECONDARY: AUXILIARY OR EMERGENCY RASES, OR FIELDS OF LESSER
IMPORTANCE. RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN 5000 FEET.
CPERATIONAL: ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY & CIVILIAN AIRCRAFT.
SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES MAY 'BE 4SABLE BY JETS.
SERVICEABLE: INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
UNKNOWN: CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED.
-28 SHA
..- NANKIN
( rm./7-
�jek. N 131_W
NANCHA
WENCHOW
U N G
CHEN
SW OW
TADY0
ORISON /
- - 265,000 PINSTUNG
114 116
NGHAI
U GSHAN
PEI
I LAN
1?0 122
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 CO2027256
LNINSI3