CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/12

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02051070
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 12, 1952

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SECTRITY INFORMATION
12 October 1952
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copy No,
57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO IP'
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. pt,
O DECLASSWIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: H 70-2
Office of Current IntelligenatE, 1RvIWEAL: 3.5(c)
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SE9Y INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. North Korean Navy reportedly augmented by PT boats (page 3).
2. Rhee contravenes UN orders to South Korean Navy (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Burmese debate retention of British Services Mission (page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
4. Adenauer willing to compromise on permanency of Saar solution
(page 4).
5. German Socialists seen swinging to support for EDC (page 5).
6. Paris Embassy comments on controversy with French over 1953
budget (page 6).
LATIN AMERICA
7. Uruguay may break relations with the USSR on 15 October
(page 6).
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FAR EAST
1, North Korean Navy reportedly augmented by PT boats:
The North Korean Navy recently received
14 patrol-torpedo craft from the Soviet
Union,
These IJUctlb, WILI1 Lneir crews, are unaer
training in Unggi harbor on the Korean east coast a few miles from
the Soviet border.
A similar report
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was received by the US Navy in September.
Comment: The North Korean Navy lost
its small patrol-torpedo boat force at the beginning of the war as
a result of US naval action.
Heightened Communist efforts to defend the
east coast were evidenced by MIG-15 interception of US naval air-
craft over Hungnam on the east coast on 4 and 7 October, the first
such incidents in over a year.
2. Rhee contravenes UN orders to South Korean Navyl
President Rhee has directed his chief of
naval operations to intercept Japanese fish-
ing vessels in the Korean sea defense zone
and escort them into Pusan, according to
US Charge Lightner. This contravenes orders of the United Nations
Command which has assumed operational control of South Korean
patrol craft in the area.
Lightner believes that Rhee should be told
"in no uncertain terms" that this is a UN Command responsibility
and that no contravention will be tolerated. He notes, however,
that an effort to curb Rhee might raise the question of UN operational
control over the South Korean Armed Forces, and the equally
delicate problem of Japanese civilian personnel used by the UN forces.
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Comment; The UN Sea Defense Command
was recently established to preclude threatened Japanese-Korean
incidents over fishing rights near the Korean coast. The move has
been incorrectly interpreted by the Koreans as excluding Japanese
but not Korean fishing operations in the designated zone.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Burmese debate retention of British Services Mission:
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The Burma War Office reportedly is discussing
the advisability of retaining the British
Services Mission, which provides training
and supplies for the Burmese armed forces.
A final decision is not expected until the return to Rangoon of
Burmese Commander in Chief Ne Win, who is to head a military
mission to the United States late this month.
Comment: The agreement under which the
mission operates terminates on 3 January 1953 unless it is renegotiated.
Relations between the mission and the Burmese armed forces have
never been wholly satisfactory. The Burmese frequently complain
that the British have not adequately met their requests for arms.
WESTERN EUROPE
4. Adenauer willing to compromise on permanency of Saar solution:
Chancellor Adenauer reportedly is willing
to consider some form of guarantee that
would permit a provisional solution of the
Saar problem to become permanent, pro-
vided sufficient progress has been made in over-all European inte-
gration.
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American officials in Bonn hold that with-
out some form of European political union, the Chancellor would
find it difficult to obtain German consent to Europeanization of the
Saar. They suggest that an acceptable alternative might be a Eur-
opeanization, whichipermanent in practice, would theoretically be
subject to revision in the event of a final peace treaty or German
reunification.
Most German politicians are said to believe
that retention of some legal link between the Saar and West Germany
is necessary if the legal basis of Germany's claims to the territories
across the Oder-Neisse is not to be jeopardized.
Comment: Permanency of steps now
taken toward the solution of the Saar question has long been a prin-
cipal French demand. Since Pinay has recently injected a strong
nationalistic note into French foreign policy, the chances of the French
agreeing to a German-proposed compromise are slim.
5. German Socialists seen swinging to support for EDC:
Mayor Kaisen of Bremen, an influential
Socialist leader, has informed American
officials that the Socialist party, since
its recent party conference, is prepared
graccept the principle of a West German contribution to European
defense prior to German reunification.
Kaisen personally supports the Bonn and
Paris agreements and believes they will be ratified. He feels that
if a "truly generous policy" can be worked out, the Socialists might
withdraw their opposition. In Kaisen's view, Franco-German
understanding is the key to European integration, and, while the
Soviet system "will eventually defeat itself," Western defenses must
be built up in the meantime.
Comment: Kaisen's reported views are
in line with recent evidence that the new Socialist leadership is
trying to work out some compromise with the West, without
abruptly reversing previous opposition to the Bonn and Paris agree-
ments.
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6. Paris Embassy comments on controversy with French over 1953
budget:
American officials in Paris report that it
is not yet clear whether the French Govern-
ment will now refuse to discuss with NATO
as well as with the United States, the size and
content of its 1953 military budget. They warn that the French in
their present frame of mind could seriously prejudice the NATO Annual
Review and might line up other member nations to restrict examina-
tion of military budgets.
In the opinion of these officials, Premier
Pinay, hypersensitive on the subject of raising taxes, probably has
inferred that the United States is seeking to encourage such a policy.
His firm stand against higher taxes is already jeopardized by the
concessions he has had to make to demands for increased expenditures
in the civil and investment portions of the proposed 1953 budget.
LATIN AMERICA
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7. Uruguay may break relations with the USSR on 15 October:
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ment of Uruguay will break diplomatic
relations with the Soviet Union at its next
National Executive Council meeting on 15
October,
Comment: There is no other evidence
regarding the agenda of the National Executive meeting. In recent
years government officials and the press in Uruguay have period-
ically questioned the desirability of continuing relations with the
USSR.
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