CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/21

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02692634
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 21, 1952

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SECUTY INFORMATION
21 October 1952
Copy No. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CEN'TRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SE9WY INFORMATION
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SUMMA:RY
FAR EAST
I. Yoshida reportedly to remain as Japanese Prime Minister (page 3).
2. South Korea to continue enforcement of "Rhee Line" (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Indonesian civil and military authorities reach accord (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4, Mossadeq orders full support for North African nationalism (page 5).
5. Charles Malik submits resignation as Lebanese Minister (page 5).
6. Split reported in Egyptian army group (page 6).
7. Egypt reportedly considering establishment of leftist republic
(page 6).
8. Greek Rally may lose support of Social Democratic leader (page 7).
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FAR EAST
1. Yoshida reportedly to remain as Japanese Prime Minister:
Ambassador Murphy reports that agreement
has virtually been reached within the Jap-
anese Liberal Party that Yoshida will
remain as prime minister. Although details
are not yet known, Murphy believes that Yoshida may have agreed
to include some Hatoyama supporters in his cabinet and to relinquish
his position after a limited time, possibly by next March.
The Embassy has been informed that
Hatoyama's hitherto adamant stand was changed by family pressure
and by ambitious politicians close to him who realize that he cannot
secure the premiership at this time.
Comment: Although this development
removes the immediate threat of a Liberal split, the party's slim
majority in the lower house will not permit the freedom of action
held by the previous Yoshida government. A Japanese cabinet
member informed an American observer on 16 October that plans
are already being made for another general election next spring.
2. South Korea to continue enforcement of "Vhee line":
The South Korean Government, in a note
to the American Embassy on 17 October,
declared that its navy would continue
to stop and search vessels that cross the
"Rhee line." The South Koreans urged the United States to recognize
and cooperate in maintaining the line, which they admit "does not
affect any nation other than Japan." The United States was also
requested to turn over for trial by South torean prize courts any
vessels captured within the UN Sea Defense Zone.
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Comment: The ON Sea Defense Zone, which
includes practically the same waters as the "Rhee line," was established
on 29 September primarily to prevent incidents between a Japanese
fisheries patrol and the South Korean Navy. Rhee has countermanded
UN Command orders and directed his chief of naval operations to seize
and bring into Pusan any vessels found within the line,
Recent seizures of fishing vessels in the dis-
puted area are arousing anti-Korean sentiment in Japan.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Indonesian civil and military authorities reach accord:
The highest Indonesian civil and military
authorities are now "fully in accord"
that the present cabinet should remain
in office and that parliament should remain
recessed for an indefinite period,
agreement has been reached to hold
elections as soon as possible. Sukarno refused an army petition
that he become a dictator.
Comment: When the parliament, whose
members were appbinted, precipitated a government crisis on 16
October by passing a resolution demanding personnel changes in
the army and in the defense ministry, army leaders organized
demonstrations demanding its dissolution and the holding of general
elections.
Efforts of the army and of the defense
ministry to deal with the country's primary problem of internal
insecurity have been thwarted,since independence,by political
rivalries and government crises.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Mossadeq orders full support for North African nationalism:
Comment: Mossadeq's growing bitterness
toward the West and his recognition of the UN as a useful forum for
presenting Iran's case against Britain have apparently increased his
willingness to support fully the nationalists of North Africa.
Iran's support may be countered by Pakistan,
whose UN delegate recently assured the American delegation that
he would urge his government to make every effort to sell a moderate
viewpoint to the Arab-Asians.
5. Charles Malik submits resignation as Lebanese Minister:
Charles Malik has submitted his resignation
as Lebanese Minister in Washington, and
does not intend to join the Lebanese
delegation at the UN General Assembly
in New York.
Malik's action stems from his opposition
to the appointment of Fuad Amoun, Director
General of the Foreign Office, as head of the Lebanese UN delegation.
Malik feels that Amoun has intentionally caused him difficulties at
home and abroad. He has also been irked by the delay in promoting
him to ambassador.
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The Department of State has instructed its
Embassy in Beirut to tell the Lebanese President informally of its
concern over the absence of Malik from the Assembly meetings.
Comment: Malik's continued absence or
possible retirement from government service would deprive the
West of an effective Arab friend.
6. Split reported in Egyptian army group:
Friction has allegedly developed between
Colonel Abdul Nasr and Colonel Anwar
Sadat, two important members of General
Nagib's inner circle, The US Army Attache
in Cairo, in reporting this information,
a s o one Sadat's probable retirement from the army's "high
committee" has been suggested by several sources.
Comment: This is the first clear indication
that serious dissension may be developing within the Egyptian military
group. The reports of friction between Nasr and Sadat, coinciding with
the removal of Colonel Mohanna from the former Regency Council,
are additional evidence that the military group may not be functioning
smoothly.
7. Egypt reportedly considering establishment of leftist republic
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establish a republic with leftist tendencies,
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The inner circle reportedly includes "one
or more Communists," principally Colonel Abdul Nasr, who is
alleged to be the real leader of the group.
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the officers
have taken no effective action to check Communist activities in
Egypt, and that the army journal Al-Tahrir is edited by known
Communists.
Comment: There have been persistent
but unconfirmed rumors during the past week that Egypt may
soon discard the monarchy and establish a republic.
There is no indication, however, that
General Nagib and the "high committee" are dominated or influenced
by Communists. On the contrary, evidence to date suggests that
the military regime will move toward the right, possibly under
the influence of the Moslem Brotherhood.
8. Greek Rally may lose support of Social Democratic leader:
George Papandreou, Social Democratic
leader who has been supporting the
Greek Rally, is considering staying out
of the elections becau,se Rally leader
Marshal Papagos would not accept his
candidates on the Greek Rally ticket.
Comment: The vote of the Greek Rally
and the EPEK-Liberal coalitionias been approximately equal,
and realignment of the political leaders could materially affect
the outcome of the elections. The reported defection to the Rally
on 19 October of 24 Liberal deputies would tend to offset any
withdrawal by Papandreou and his supporters.
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