CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/11/19

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02693978
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
June 6, 2019
Document Release Date: 
June 27, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
November 19, 1952
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15653023].pdf184.83 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 4irtusw I Uti L.X1J I *- Nomp. SECURPf INFORMATION Office of Current Intelligence DATE: CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP8ECRET 19 November 1952 US OFFICIALS ONLY Copy No. 57 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. 3 NO CHANGE IN CLASS.eNc 0 DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TVA NEXT REVIEW DATE. AUTH: H13 70- REVIEWER: 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Sk7RITY INFORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 Approved for Release: 2-019/05/28 CO2693978 Tt:woRET 3.5(c) SUMMARY FAR EAST 1. Communist air force in Korea may be preparing for expanded air war (page 3). SOUTHEAST ASIA 2. Viet Minh broadcast charges French use germ warfare (page 3). 3. Indonesian political situation seen worsening (page 4). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 4. Shah pleads for American aid (page 5). 5. Libya requestsrenegotiation of US base agreement (page 5). WESTERN EUROPE 6, Norwegian Government perturbed over publicity concerning base policy (page 6). -2 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 'Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 FAR EAST j,. Communist air force in Korea ma be preparing for expanded -a-Ar war: The Communist air force may be preparing for an expansion of the Korean air war, according to a Far East Air Force assessment. The weekly total of 17 MIG-15 sorties ob- served from 9 to 16 November is the lowest in 15 months. Visual reconnaissance of the Yalu River combat airfields also shows that the enemy is no longer basing large numbers of aircraft there. FEAF concludes that the withdrawal from combat of a maximum number of interceptors and a reduction of the enemy's vulnerability would be logical moves if the Communists were contemplating an attack with the newly-arrived IL-28 jet light bombers. There are, however, no further indications of an impending offensive. Comment: The presence of up to 45 jet light bombers in northern Manchuria represents a significant gain in the combat potential of Communist air forces in the area. There is, as yet, no indication bf the readiness or availability of these aircraft or their crews for commitment in the Korean air war. On 17 November 64 MIG-15 flights were observed, of which 31 were encountered. SOUTHEAST ASIA 2. Viet Minh broadcast charges French use germ warfare: The Viet Minh radio on 12 November charged that French aircraft in October had dropped bombs on Central Vietnam which contained worms to destroy crops. The American Embassy in Saigon notes a French intelligence report of mid- October to the effect that the Viet Minh -3-, 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 TPSECRET 3.5(c) appeared concerned over possible French use of germ warfare and had issued instructions to its agent for close supervision of the Pasteur Institute in Central Vietnam. 3.3(h)(2) Comment: This is the first public allegation that the French have used bacteriological warfare in Indochina.1 3. Indonesian political situation seen worsening: 3.3(h)(2) Comment: The Indonesian army commander in East Java repudiated the 17 October political action by army headquarters in Djakarta and declared his division's primary allegiance to President Sukarno. The East Indonesia division with headquarters in the Celebes has taken similar action. The Darul Islam, an armed Moslem group that has caused unrest in Indonesia since 1949, is reported to have seriously infiltrated the army in East Java during the past year. Its adherence to one of the conflicting groups within, the army could conceivably lead to civil war. 4 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 7-�,1-->SECKET NEAR EAST - AFRICA 4. Shah pleads for American aid The Shah told Ambassador Henderson on 15 November that Iran's drift toward the Soviet Union was temporarily checked, but that he "desperately hoped" for American purchases of Iranian oil as well as economic and financial aid from the United States. He insisted that National Front leaders were "practically unanimous" in desiring close, friendly relations with the United States. Comment: The Shah has now joined other Iranian officials in the current campaign to secure American aid. Despite his disapproval of many of the National Front govern- ment's techniques, he has consistently supported Mossadeq's efforts to implement oil nationalization. 5. Libya requests renegotiation of US base agreement: 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) Libya requests renegotiation of the American base agreement in a note delivered to the US Legation in Tripoli on 17 November by Suleiman Serbi, Director General of the Foreign Office. Ierbi explained that Prime Minister Muntasser had believed that raising the annual US payment from $1,000,000 to $2,0009000 would ensure ratification of the agreement. Following receipt of draft agreements for British and French bases, however, the Premier was convinced that ratification of any of these on the basis of the present terms was impossible. The Director General indicated that Libya is sending similar notes to Great Britain and France. Comment: The request for a renegotia- tion is evidence that LibyiTe�roTlowing the prevailing Arab pattern of increasing the price for cooperation. This attitude may grow _ 5 _ 3.5(c) ----Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 l'ItooECRET 3.5(c) more pronounced if Libya joins the Arab League, which has frequently adopted an anti-Western policy. WESTERN EUROPE 6. Norwegian Government perturbed over publicity concerning base policy: Norwegian officials are greatly disturbed 3.3(h)(2) at recent press stories concerning Norway's policy on military bases. They apparently fear that such reports, allegedly from SHAPE and NATO sources, may so weaken public confidence in the government that after the elections it will be unable to take any positive steps. Norwegian representatives in Paris have been instructed to discuss the matter with SHAPE and to try to stop any further leaks. Comment: The Norwegians are particu- larly sensitive about any publicity with regard to a possible change in their policy on military bases. They have on numerous occasions publicly stated that no foreign troops will be stationed in Norway in peacetime and apparently fear that the USSR will consider any reversal provocative. 6 TOP ET Approved for Release: 2019/05/28 CO2693978 3.5(c)