CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/12/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02693993
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: December 4, 1952

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4 December 1952
copy No.
57
.CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
DOCUMENT NO
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C.] DECLASSIFIED
-.CLASS. CHANGED TO:
NEXT REVIEW DATE.
AUTH: HR 70-
DATE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
REVIEWER:
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. Soviet mapping system extended to the Satellites (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
Increased Chinese aid for Viet Minh reported (page 3).
New governor of Tonkin sees coming year as crucial (page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
5. Disturbances in Nepal reported imminent,(page 5).
6. Afghan Uzbeks reportedly seek "reunion" with Soviet fellow
tribesmen (page 6).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Persian Gulf tribal leaders reported "restive" under British
control (page 6).
8.
WESTERN EUROPE
9. East German trade now oriented 75 percent toward Orbit (page 7).
10. Saar leaders see new elections in six months (page 8).
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SOVIET UNION
1. Soviet mapping system extended to the Satellites:
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representatives 3.3(h)(2)
from the USSR and all European Satellites except
Albania attended a conference 3.3(h)(2)
in Sofia from 22 June to 1 July. The conference
decided that by 1959 all the countries involved must produce maps in
accordance with the most recent Soviet techniques.
Comment: This is the first confirmation of
reports that the Soviet Union is attempting to integrate all Satellite maps
into its own system. This, with the tie into the US geodetic net which
the Soviet Union planned in 1942, will represent a great advance in the
Soviet program to place the northern hemisphere under a uniform system.
The compLetion of this mapping program will
strengthen Soviet military control of the entire Satellite area.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Increased Chinese aid for Viet Minh reported:
Chinese Communist arms shipments to the
Viet Minh have again reached large-scale
proportions, \
Known
shipments between 9 and 19 November consisted of more than 70
tons of munitions, plus some mines and medical supplies. However,
the Viet Minh has a continuing shortage of gasoline.
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3. New governor of Tonkin sees corning year as crucial:
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Citing the continued contraction of French-
held territory in Tonkin since 1950, the
newly-installed governor of Tonkin, Nguyen
Huu Tri, sees the coming year as crucial.
He argues that in the next campaign the Viet Minh will turn its full
force on the Delta, which even now is only 20 percent under Frela,11-
Vietnamese control at night.
Tri does not regard the situation as hope-
less, but asserts that Bao Dai must soon present the French with
a program on a "take-it-or-leave-it" basis, particularly regarding
the Vietnamese Army. Tri agreed with Bao Dai's complaint that
this force was now virtually nonexistent, consisting of little more
than mercenaries under French command.
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Comment: T'ri's ability and integrity are unique
among members of the Vietnamese Government and are recognized by
the French.
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SOUTH ASIA
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5.
Disturbances in Nepal reported imminent:
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anticipates disturbances, and possibly a
Communist coup, in Nepal within two we ks.
As evidence, he adduces information 3.3(h)(2)
that the Indian army
supplf corps was ordered
for the support of Indian
on 2 December to prepare a logistic plan
troops in Nepal. He also reports that Indian
army, navy and air force commanders in chief held emergency meetings
for an unknown purpose on 29 and 30 November.
Comment: To date, no political group in Nepal
appears to have the strength to attempt a coup. The report that Indian
logistic planning for action in Nepal was ordered only on 2 December
suggests that immediate action is not anticipated. The meetings of
Indian military commanders could have been connected with some of
the other urgent problems which have arisen within the past week.
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6, Afghan Uzbeks reportedly seek "reunion" with Soviet fellow tribes- 3.3(h)(2)
men:
This band, which
reportedly has considerable strength in the northern part of the country,
hopes to "reunite" Afghan Uzbeks with fellow tribesmen across the 3.3(h)(2)
Soviet frontier. The Uzbeks have also tried to attract support from
Hazara tribal leaders in northern Afghanistan.
Comment: This is the first credible report
that such an organization actually exists. Previous information consisted
mainly of rumors of Soviet subversion.
Economic and political discontent in northern
Afghanistan would favor the activities of the Mogul Band, and the Afghan
Government might deal carefully with it for fear of antagonizing the
USSR.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7, Persian Gulf tribal leaders, reported "restive" under British control:
� Two members of the American Consulate at
Dhahran, who recently visited some of the
Persian Gulf sheikhdoms, noted "indications
of restiveness" among Arab tribal leaders
oward the British authorities. This sentiment supports the belief of
the American Ambassador to Saudi Arabia that underlying the current
Anglo-Saudi Arabian boundary dispute is the basic problem of the
future status of the sheikhdoms with respect to Britain.
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8.
The tribal leaders frequently expressed
friendship for King Ibn Saud, which, with other incidents on the
trip, made the officials feel that eventually Saudi Arabia will be
Increasingly successful in winning the allegiance of the tribes9both
in the disputed areas and in the trucial sheikhdoms.
WESTERN EUROPE
9. East German trade now oriented 75 percent toward Orbit
About 75 percent of East German exports
in the first three quarters of 1952 went
to the Soviet bloc,
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Forty percent of all exports went to the USSR, 15 percent to 3.3(h)(2)
Poland, 7 percent to Czechoslovakia, 5 percent to Hungary and 5 percent
to China. The West German Federal Republic ranked highest among
Western countries, with only 2. 5 percent.
Comment: These figures, compared with those
of 1950, show a marked decline in East Germany's trade with West Ger-
many, its principal trade partner outside of the Orbit.
100 Saar leaders see new elections in six months:
Saar political leaders now predict new Landtag3.3(h)(2)
elections in six months because they anticipate
the resumption and successful conclusion of
French-German negotiations on the Saar. The
new elections would determine whether or not
the Saar populace would accept the solution
agreed on by the negotiators.
Since the 30 November election showed 66
percent of the Saarlanders in favor of Europeanization of the territory,
American officials in both Strasbourg and Bonn observe that Chancellor
Adenauer and Foreign Minister Schuman will now be in a better position
to submerge national interests in any forthcoming negotiations.
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