CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/05/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02733122
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: March 18, 2019
• Document Release Date: March 28, 2019
• Publication Date: May 2, 1951

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2 May 1951
Copy No, CI
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
LI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CFIANGfE.D TO:IS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE
DATE72.0..A if./REviEwER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
USSR
1. USSR munitions production increased (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Enemy armor contacted in Chinese Communist sector (page 4).
5, Communist China's railroad to Indochina reported completed (page 5).
6. Petroleum being shipped to Communist China from Indonesia (page 5).
NEAR EAST
8. UN Secretary-General Lie cautions Israel on its international
polities (page 7).
EASTERN EUROPE
9. Anti-Communist resistance in Poland (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
11. Spanish Monarchists seek control of strike movement (page 9).
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USSR
L USSR munitions production increased:
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Comment: This wood-working trust in Irkutsk 3.3(h)(2)
supplies packing for the major armaments plants between Lake Baikal
and the Urals. The increase in production of special packing for muni-
tions in the first quarter of 151 is approximately 50 percent over pro-
duction for the first quarter of 1950. Further increases are evidently
planned, for an additional mill of this trust was preparing in late
March to manufacture special packing for munitions.
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FAR EAST
3. Enemy armor contacted in Chinese Communist sector:
CINCFE Telecom A CINCFE telecon of 1 May reported that
1 May 51 five enemy tanks attacked six miles northeast
SECRET of Seoul and that UN aircraft observed seven-
teen more in enemy rear areas.
Comment: Although there have been almost
continuous air sightings of' enemy armor since January, scarcely any
ground contacts have been reported during this period. This tank con-
tact is reported in the sector occupied by the Chinese Communist 3rd
Army Group, previously reported as having received armored support
in Manchuria. Two major .North Korean armored units are also known
to be located in western North Korea.
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An 11 April Far East Command analysis of
enemy tank sightings revealed 82 sightings in western Korea south of
Pyongyang for the period from 16 March, to 10 April. In the light of
previous experience indicating that air sightings fail to account for more
than 50 percent of actual armored strength, this same analysis estimated
that the enemy may have at least 150 to 175 tanks for future employment
along the more favorable west coast road net.
4. Manchurian arsenals produce aerial bombs:
in
late March Manchurian arsenals were ordered
to increase the production of aerial bombs of
50, 120, 250, 500 and1,000 pounds.
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Comment: The Mukden Arsenal, and probably
a few others in Manchuria, are believed to be capable of producing
bombs up to 1, 000 pounds. This evidence of increased bomb production
ties in with recent reports of increased numbers and training activity
of Chinese Communist Air Force light bombers.
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5. Communist China's railroad to Indochina retorted comtleted: Fl )AM
1)126
US Cons Gen Hong Kong An untested source has informed the US Consul
30 Apr 51 General in Hong Kong that the railroad from
CONFIDENTIAL .Laipin (in Kwangsi province) to the Indochina
border at Chermankuan has been completed by
using rails taken from a section of another line in Kweichow province.
The source alleges that the line from' Nanning to the Indochina border
is the same narrow gauge that is used in Indochina railroads.
Comment: This line was
scheduled for completion b the end of April.
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the Communists
had to tear up another line to complete this new one to the Indochina
border. This is the only report, however, which indicates that a sec-
tion of the line is narrow gauge. If true, this would necessitate trans-
shipping at Nanning.
6. Petroleum being shi
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ed to Communist China from Indonesia: ,;, k
US Cons Gen Hong Kong The US Consul General in Hong Kong reports
5 Apr 51 that the tightening of Singapore's export regu-
CONFIDENTIAL lationsjyJed to an organized movement of
goods from Singapore to Indonesia for trans-
shipment to Hong Kong, Macao, or directly to Communist China. The
Consul General states that, although the trade is not large as yet, opera-
tions may become larger in scale. He mentions in particular the move-
ment of petroleum products via this route, and says that mounting evi-
dence indicates that considerable finance As available to make bossible
a steady flow of petroleum to Macao from Indonesia.
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Comment: US officials in Singapore and Hong
Kong have been reporting information (which they evaluate as probably
true) concerning the planned delivery of a large quantity of motor gaso-
line or crude oil to Macao, possibly from Indo esia.
NEAR EAST
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8. UN Secretarv-peneral Lie cautions Israel on its international policies:
US Emb Tel Aviv According to the US Ambassador in Tel Aviv,
30 Apr 51 UN Secretary-General Lie has discussed with
SECRET Israeli Foreign Minister Sharett the present
unsatisfactory situation in the Middle East
Referring to the dangers arising from Israel's hatred of the Arab States
and to the lack of progress in improving that situation, Lie advised the
Israeli Foreign Minister (1) to follow a milder policy in international
relations, (2) to abide by the UN decisions, and (3) while retaining a
necessary independence, to avoid any course that would lessen Israel's
friendship with the US. Lie stressed the importance to Israel of Ameri-
can goodwill, citing the Buie- controversy -- particularly the retaliatory
bombing -- as an example of unwise policies which might jeopardize US
goodwill.
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Comment: Domestic considerations within
Israel -- such as the strong Israeli nationalism, the influence upon Prime
Minister Ben-Gurion of General Yaclin, Army Chief of Staff, and the
problems involved in a general election this summer -- have made it
difficult for the government to pursue a moderate foreign policy, par-
ticularly in regard to Israel's relations with:the Arab States. Lie's
advice, however, may have some effect in improving Israel's attitude
toward the UN Truce Supervision Organization and the various Mixed
Armistice Commissions,
EASTERN EUROPE
9. Anti-Communist resistance in Poland:
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The Polish resistance groups are small, num-
bering from four to 200 members. They engage in dissemination of
anti-Communist propaganda, acts of local sabotage, aid to farmers
fighting collectivization, liquidation of Communist activitists and e-
curity Police agents, harassment of Polish and Soviet transporta. ion,
raids on political prisons, and attacks on small outlying Security Police
offices. .Q
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WI ree nm
Independence), was founded in the first half o 1� A 5 is composed of rem-
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nants of World War II undergrounds, and is open to all loyal Poles what-
ever their political complexion. It is presently estimated to number ap-
proximately 10, 000 members on an active or semi-active basis.
WIN'S current activities are limited, since it
holds that attempts at active resistance or an armed uprising would be
futile under present circumstances. However, some WIN personnel are
believed to be engaged in active resistance despite the organization's
policy of pa.ssivity.
Presently WIN is the only known nationwide
resistance organization capable of supporting an armed internal insur-
rection in the event of war, provided outside aid were supplied. More-
over, WIN is probably in the best position to organize and give cohesion
to the spontaneous resistance groups now scattered throughout Poland.
On the other hand, seven groups of top WIN
leaders have been eliminated by the Security Police since 19460 The
Security Police have, in addition, prepared elaborate lists of individu-
als who are deemed politically unreliable, and who would form the bulk
of a wartime underground. These lists would provide the information for
mass deportations to the USSR or for imprisonment in work camps, thus
seriously weakening the formation of an effective wartime resistance
organization.
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WESTERN EUROPE,
10. West German leaders concerned over prospects of neo-Nazi party in
Lower Saxony election:
The West German Government and political
leaders are increasingly alarmed over the
electioneering activities and prospects of the
extreme rightist Socialist Reich Party (SRP)
in the Landtag election scheduled for 6 May
in Lower Saxony. Local US observers now pre-
diet it will emerge as the third strongest party
in Lower Saxony with approximately ten per-
cent of the vote. The party, led by Dr. Fritz Doris and ex-General
Otto Ramer, is "essentially a revival of the Nazi Party and proud of
that fact," The. SRP has been suspected of camouflaged dealings with
the East. The Communists have ceased their attacks on the SRP, and in
at least one case have given it indirect assistance. Although the Fed-
eral Government has considered repressive measures against the party,
no definite action banning the SRP has yet been taken. The Social
Democratic government of Lower Saxony reportedly is unwilling to take
action against the SRP until after the election, hoping that the party
will help split and weaken rightist political opponents.
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Comment: Numerous reports have been re-
ceived on the extremely active electioneering of the SRP, which has
held large and frequent meetings in Lower Saxony/ where it has its
largest following. The SRP does not yet represent a nation-wide threat,
although it receives much publicity from the demogogic utterances in
the West German Bundestag of its leader)Dr. Doris. The party could,
however, by securing a large Landtag representation in Lower Saxony,
attract considerable publicity and possible strength in Western Germany.
�or,
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11. Spanish Monarchists seek control of strike movement:
US Emb Madrid The US Embassy in Madrid reports that, despite
29 Apr 51 previous denials, the secretary of the non-Corn-
SECRET munist opposition Comite Interior de Coordina-
don (CIC) now admits that his organization was
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behind the Barcelona and Bilbao strikes. The CIC is planning a further
series of non-violent strikes culminating in a general sit-down strike
in Madrid during the month of May synchronized with the issuance of a
Monarchist manifesto calling on Franco to turn over the government to
the Pretender Don Juan.
Comment: In the light of available evidence,
the CIC, a coalition of clandestine Monarchist, Socialist and Anarchist
organizations within Spain, does not appear justified in claiming credit
for instigating or directing the Barcelona and Bilbao strikes. Monarch-
ists within the CIC, who sense the latent possibilities of the strike move-
ment, apparently are anxious to use it as a lever for the immediate
ouster of Franco and the restoration of the monarchy under Don Juan.
On the other hand, the non-Monarchist elements of the CIC, who have
a more intimate grasp of the aspirations of Spanish workers, counsel
caution, since they feel that any undue haste might well jeopardize
their cause by affording Franco a pretext for a new series of repressive
measures that could break the back of the non-violent strike movement
before it gains momentum.
�
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