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Document Creation Date: 
April 15, 2019
Document Release Date: 
April 22, 2019
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Publication Date: 
November 4, 1951
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15603141].pdf192.02 KB
Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 Swv "UP SJkIth1 '1119. SEC INFORMATION 4 November 1951 Copy No. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 47 DOCUMENT NO. � NO CHANGE IN CLASS. X . r,ECLASSIFIED' CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS NEXT REmEVI DATE: AUT H �04171. DAT t_intEV IEW ER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP RET SEC INFORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) � Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 SUMMARY 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 2. Japanese-Korean negotiations promise to be difficult (page 4). NAR EAST 4. Turkish-Iranian relations deteriorate (page 5). 6. NATO membership for Egypt to be proposed by Italy (page 6). WESTERN EUROPE 7. A 'rightist solution" is not imminent in France (page 7). 2 Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 TOP ' ET USSR 3.5(c) 1. Redisposition of Soviet Air Force fighter units in Occupied Europe im3 3(h)(2) be under way: 3.3(h)(2) /one Soviet Air Force jet fighter division (three regiments totaling a ad departed eastward out of Germany by rail. The departure of another fighter division from Germany by rail has been re- ported, but not definitely confirmed, and the aircraft of a third division cannot be located. one regiment of a 3.3(h)(2) fourth fighter division has changed its base within Germany during the past week. No new air units have arrived in Germany. 3.3(h)(2) the aircraft of three Soviet Air Force divisions (about 300 MIG-15's, con- stituting half the jet fighters in East Germany) have been missing from their bases since early October. Communications intelligence confirms an absence of flying activity by these units and supports the probable departure from Germany of at least one division. These recent moves may be part of a Soviet redisposition program within Eastern Europe to improve tactical air capa- bilities in that area, or may represent the departure of some units to reinforce another area. Less likely explanations are: occupation of new airfields; a re-equipment or modification program; or maneuvers. The evidence to date does not support the conclusion that a major reduction in Soviet military strength in Occupied Europe is under way. The full extent of the air redisposition is not yet known, there is no evidence of a reduction of ground forces, and the preparation of permanent military installations in Germany continues. - 3 Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04702 CO2739303 Top RET FAR EAST 3.5(c) 2. Japanese-Korean negotiations promise to be difficult: The Japanese-South Korean negotiations 3.3(h)(2) over the problem of Korean residents in Japan promise to be difficult and have little chance of success unless American pressure is exerted on both parties, according to Comment: The Korean minority, estimated to number between 600, 000 and 1,000, 000, of whom two-thirds are con- sidered pro-North Korean, have been the instigators of many postwar civil disturbances in Japan. The Japanese Government would like either to deport unruly elements or to insure good behavior by the threat of deportation. The South Korean Government, however, while in no posi- tion to accept such a mass transfer, wishes to have its jurisdiction over this minority recognized and has virtually demanded extraterritorial privileges for Koreans in Japan. The Koreans desire _US pressure to bring about Japanese acquiescence, while the Japanese wish to stall until after the peace treaty goes into effect and they become relatively immune to Korean pressure. NEAR EAST - 4 - Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 TOP SECRET 3.5(c) 3.3(h 4. Turkish-Iranian relations deteriorate: Turkish-Iranian relations have deteriorated as a result of Turkish support of Britain in the Anglo-Iranian oil dispute. Turkey is eing denounced as "a stooge of the British r to the Moslem world," Communists and fellow-travelers are exploiting the situation in order to hinder the plans for an expanded Middle East.Command. Comment: Although Iran tends to follow the lead of Turkey in international affairs, traditional suspicion and jealousy of a strong neighbor have made Turkish-Iranian relations difficult. )(2) 3.3(h)(2) - 5 - Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 It)P SECRET 3.5(c) 3.3(h)( 6. NATO rnefnbership for Egypt to be proposed by Italy: Italy, is ready to propose a solution of the Anglo- Egyptian dispute by suggesting that Egypt be admitted to NATO. This action is to be taken with the understanding that Egypt will then make available military bases, including the Suez defenses, under the same conditions as facilities furnished by other NATO members. 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) The proposal would permit British forces in the strength provided for in the 1936 treaty to remain in the Canal Zone until NATO arrangements have been finalized. Comment: There is no confirmation that � Italy is about to make such proposals. On 2 November the US Ambas- sador in Cairo reported that the Egyptian Prime Minister and the Minister of Interior were coming to realize that possibly the only way out of Egypt's difficulties would be the Middle East Command proposals. A proposal of membership for Egypt would be unacceptable to most NATO members. If it were seriously con- sidered, the now pending ratifications of the protocol for admitting Greece and Turkey would be imperiled, especially in those NATO coun- tries which already fear over-extending NATO. 6 Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 � PCP ET WESTERN EUROPE 7. A "rightist solution" is not imminent in France: The US Embassy in Paris concludes on the eve of the new Assembly session that the disunity among the components of the middle- of-the-road coalition "has at least not worsene an may in ac e less now than when the Assembly recessed in September." While Premier Pleven has neither made nor received commitments envisaging more solid Socialist support of the government, the likelihood of an early deal between the other supporting parties and the Gaullists appears to have lessened. 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 'The new Secretary-General of the Gaullist party has indicated that, although the General "realizes he must share the government with others on a coalition basis, he insists on having firm leadership of such a coalition himself. Comment: This is a further indication that the middle-of-the-road coalition should not be expected to crumble in the near future despite the growing weight of the problems facing the Pleven government. 7 Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739303 3.5(c)