CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/11/25

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02739317
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
April 15, 2019
Document Release Date: 
April 22, 2019
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Publication Date: 
November 25, 1951
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15603126].pdf293.15 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 vagoi TOP SECRET SECURITY INFORMATION 25 November 1951 Copy No. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLASS DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: 1. r,IEXTREVIEW DATE- AUT I' 7 47 3.5(c) DA s REVIEWER Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY SECURITY INFORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 SUMMARY GENERAL 1. Japanese treaty negotiations with Nationalist China opposed by UK (page 3). FAR EAST NEAR EAST 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 4. Arab officials fear return of foreign spheres of influence (page 5). EASTERN EUROPE 5. Yugoslav official interested in US aid for Cominform refugees (page 5). WESTERN EUROPE 6. General agreement reached at first Western meeting with Adenauer (page 6). 7. Failure of anti-Adenauer demonstration reveals French Communist weakness (page 7). 8. French Christian Workers favor closer ties with international Communist groups (page 7). 9. Austrian Foreign Minister comments on Vishinsky conversation (page 8). 2 Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 ItIR-SECRET- GENERAL 1. Japanese treaty negotiations with Nationalist China opposed by UK: 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) British Foreign Secretary Eden has rejected a US proposal to inform the Japanese Govern- ment that neither Ole United States nor Britain �Cvould object to Tapan's proceeding immedi- ately on preliminary negotiations for a peace treaty with Nationalist China. gden indicated that he did not object to dis- cussions on trade, property plairns, representation and other practical problems, but that he could not approve any move looking toward Japan's recognition of the Nationalists as the Government of China. Eden feels that such approval would jeopardize the bipartisan acceptance which the Japanese peace settlement has so far received in the British Parliament. Comment: My Move at this time suggesting British approval of .rengthng Chinese Nationalist position would encounter vigorous parliamentary criticism directed in large measure at the United States. The Japanese Goverpm.ent likewise has in- dicated it would prefer to postpone its negotiations with the Nationalists until after the multilateral peace treaty comes into effect, fearing that prior negotiations might jeopardize the treaty's ratification. 3.3(h)(2) FAR EAST TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c) 3.3(h Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 11**ct)P SECRET 3.3 3.5(c) (h)(2) TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 )(2) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 TVP SECRET NEAR EAST 410. Arab officials fear return of foreign spheres of influence: 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) The Syrian Army Chief of Staff has informed the Lebanese Prime Minister that he be- lieves the Middle East Command will result in the re-establishment of foreign spheres of 1 uence n e ear as and that under this defense plan France would again dominate Lebanon and Syria. According to the US Minister in Beirut, the Lebanese Prime Minister is disturbed over the possibility of his country's virtual return to mandate relations with France. His concern has been aggravated, by the fact that French supporters in Lebanon have been saying for some weeks that the Western defense plan woutd revive French su- premacy in the Levant. Comment: Arab misunderstanding of the con- cept of the Middle East ComTnand, as well as Soviet-sponsored propaganda, has encouraged the rise of rumors that the Western defense plan is actu- ally a cover for the re-establishment of foreign spheres of influence in the Near East. Anxiety over their national independence is probably one of the important reasons why Arab officials have failed to give public sup- port to Western defense proposals. EASTERN EUROPE 5. Yugoslav official interested in US aid for Cominform refugees: In a discussion with Ambassador Allen, Mini- ster of Interior Rankovic expressed interest in a suggestion that the United States might help the Yugoslav Government in caring for mi or re ugees arriving in Yugoslavia. Allen mentioned the efforts of voluntary private American organizations to assist Cominform refu- gees and suggested that these organizations might be willing as a first step to send food and clothing to these refugees in Yugoslavia. 3.3(h)(2) - 5 - TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 Rankovic agreed that the treatment of Comin- form refugees was highly important politically and promised to consider a proposal that a member of his staff keep in touch with the Embassy on this matter. Comment; This is the first time that a Yugoslav official has shown In interest in obtaining US assistance in caring for Cominform refugees/ Shortly after the influx of Bulgarian refugees into Yugoslavia last spring, the Yugoslav Government permitted Western correspondents to interview a number of them, but Western officials have never been given access to this potential repervoir of intelligence on the Satellite countries. Because Yugoslav treatment of refugees has im- proved, the number of those escaping across the border has increased in the past year. WESTERN EUROPE 6� General agreement reached at first Western meeting with Adenauer: At the first meeting of the three Western Foreign Ministers and Chancellor Adenauer on 22 November, approval was given to the terms of the General Agreement for West Germany, which will go into effect when certain additional conventions and the European defense treaty are completed, French Foreign Mini- ster Schuman, however, mentioned the limitation and prohibition of certain armaments production in the Federal Republic as a "difficult problem" which might have to be dealt with in a separate convention. Adenauer stated his conviction that the de- cisions to be taken within the next few weeks would convince the USSR that it had failed to win over the Federal Republic by its cold war tactics. 6 - TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 Comment: Before complete agreement is achieved on a new political statuS'for Germany, understanding must still be reached not only on the security safeguards mentioned by Schuman, but on the Western "programs" such as decartelization and restitution, West Germany's share in defense costs, and the rights of Allied troops in Germany. At least another month is expected to be consumed in these negotiations. 7. Failure of anti-Adenauer demqnstration reveals French Communist weakness: 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) The fiasco of the Communist-sponsored demonstration during Chancellor Adenauer's visit to Paris proved the party's increasing is9lation and inability to elicit militant sup- por o carry out oviet fpreign policy objectives, even on such impor- tant political issues as German rearmament, Comment; During the past year French Communists have consistently failed to make an effective political dem- onstration against the government, Although the party planned this manifestation in compliance with Moscow's directive, the leaders evi- dently were unwilling to risk arrest by challenging the government's ban on demonstrations. Party leaders may also be losing their enthusi- asm for such activities, particularly since recent successes of their labor policy show that popular support can be more readily obtained for economic than for purely political objectives. B. French Christian Workers favor closer ties with international Communist groups: The executive committee of the French Christian Workers Labor Confederation plans to send a delegation to the proposed 7 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 iP. SECRET 3.5(c) jgoasyw economic conference in April and has resolved to recommendL the Christian Labor International that it accept an Invitation of the C munist-dominated World Federation of Trade Unions for joint discus ons. The leader of the Christian Workers left wing believes that the International will react coolly toward both of these - p1ts cordin to this spo sman, his confect, ation was about to announce a br king o of negotia'Rons with 'lie Com unist-led Genera Labor Confederation bec se of the tter's.G,usa paign to unify organized labor un Com nist lea rship. Comment: The Christian Worke -sigonfeder- ation is the most aggressive non-Communist labor group an 'as hereto- fore usually been willing to join in unity of action with the Communist- lA confederation,. *Its v estures toward closerird ri14.1101,coopera...i.on for''' - labor's bpiefit,a,, ,V.Intendektifset its ne licy of Lehi:law the ' dominant- Com unist-led confederation in , ranee.. A 2._ 9. Austrian Foreign Minister comments on Vishinsky conversation: 3.3(h)(2) Austrian Foreign Minister Gruber states that Vishinsky, in a conversation on 19 November, indicated that an Austrian settle- ment would be achieved only as part of a genera se ement o East-West issues. Gruber is convinced that this settlement can not be long deferred, that the Russians may make an effort to arrive at an understanding next year, and that, if they believe they have failed, a "period of maximum danger" will arrive in 1952. Comment: The Austrian Foreign Minister has frequently indicated his pessimism with regard to the prospects of an Austrian treaty at this time. He has, however, strongly supported West- ern efforts to reopen negotiations and has approved a US proposal for increasing pressure on the Soviet Union by introducing a new ,ciraft treaty into the discussions. 8 TOP-SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739317 3.5(c)