CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/11/27

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02739318
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: November 27, 1951

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1001 1 H I F-1101
SECURITY INFORMATION
27 November 1951
Copy No.
47
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT Na.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS
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CL CHAN.GEri TO: TS S
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REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
SECURITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
FAR EAST
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5. Lebanese President appeals to West for help against Egypt (page 5).
6. Egyptian Minister suggests US resolve Suez dispute (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. German Parliament will consider ratifying Schuman Plan following French
passage (page 6).
8. Shortage of brown coal in Berlin continues (page 7).
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GENERAL
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FAR EAST
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3. Chinese Communist plans for the invasion of Formosa reported:
under the
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A Chinese Communist plan to attack Chinmen
and the Pescadores Islands, off the coast of
Fukien province, early in 1952, and to invade
Formosa in the summer, was recently prepared
direction of the Chinese Communist Politburo, according to
This plan calls for the use of 1, 500, 000 troops. Attacks
by destroyers, gunboats and many small craft, in addition to 200 jet and other
fighter planes and 60 bombers, will be coordinated with amphibious landings.
Underground forces in Formosa will begin activities simultaneously with the
attacks.
Comment: This reported plan involves a greater
number of troops than are believed available for such an operation at this time,
since Chinese Communist field forces are estimated at less than two million men.
At the present time, there is no evidence of a build-up of ground-air forces in
the area from which an invasion would be launched.
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NEAR EAST
5. Lebanese President appeals to West for help against Egypt:
The Lebanese President has appealed to the
British Minister in Beirut requesting the four
sponsoring powers of the Middle East Command
to take urgent action in an effort to prevent Egypt
rom orcmg e ra i states to take a public stand which might make it diffi-
cult or impossible for them to join the Command. The President states that
he can not take the lead in breaking the Arab front. He suggests that the
British concentrate on the Iraqi Prime Minister and that the US approach the
Saudi Arabian King.
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Comment: Reports on the extensive behind-the-
scene maneuvering make it evd� That Arab leaders on the whole disapprove
of the Egyptian position. It is also clear, however, that at present no Arab
state is prepared to defy Egypt and pursue an independent course.
6. Egyptian Minister suggests US resolve Suez dispute:
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The Egyptian Minister in Damascus expressed
disappointment over the fact that the US had not
.mediated or resolved the Anglo-Egyptian dispute.
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During his conversation with the American Minister to Syria, he stressed
that the US and Egypt are "natural allies."
Comment: Various Egyptian as well as Arab
officials have approached US representatives with the suggestion that the
United States solve the present Anglo-Egyptian dispute. However, none has
offered realistic proposals as to how a solution might be achieved, nor have
there been any firm indications that the Egyptian Government is willing to
make a realistic compromise.
WESTERN EUROPE
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7. German Parliament will consider ratifying Schuman Plan following French
passage:
In response to French inquiries, Chancellor
Adenauer's State Secretary for Internal Affairs
has stated that the Schuman Plan's ratification
would be considered in the Parliament as soon
as e an is roug ore the French Assembly. Upon the receipt of this
statement, the French informed the German Government that final Assembly
ratification would probably take place in two weeks' time. Hence coalition
parties in the German Parliament are considering placing the matter on the
agenda in the next fortnight.
The floor leader of the coalition Free Democrats
has predicted that the Plan will be ratified by a substantial majority vote.
Comment: Final balloting in the German
Parliament on the Schuman Plan has been considerably delayed. When the
bill was passed at its first reading in July, the Chancel/or intended to present
It for final passage in September. At that time, however, he decided not to
do so until the French Government had taken further action.
Whether or not the French Assembly will com-
plete its debate of the Plan within two weeks is problematical. The French
Government, however, feels that it can rally sufficient votes to pass the Plan.
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Shortage of brown coal in Berlin continues:
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The shortage of Berlin's winter supply of brown
coal has not yet been alleviated. US officials in
Germany report that, although 100,000 tons of
West German coal have been allocated to Berlin,
shipments have been limited because of a shortage of canal barges.
The minimum needs of the city are estimated at
3000 tons daily, mainly for the heating of private homes and public institutions;
the present stockpile is sufficient for only about 20 days.
Comment: With the breakdown of the interzonal
trade negotiations, East German deliveries of brown coal to Berlin appear to
have been indefinitely postponed. Normal deliveries from West Germany are
not sufficient to fill this gap and the Allies have attempted to increase those
shipments in order to avoid the necessity for emergency measures during the
course of the winter.
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