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April 15, 2019
Document Release Date: 
April 22, 2019
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Publication Date: 
August 30, 1951
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15603274].pdf199.61 KB
Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 *I�4 oriurtrii 30 August 1951 Copy No. c=-/ CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. 1.10 NO CHANGE IN CLASS. f DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C 2b 0 I, NEXT REVIEW DATE. AUTHio� HR 70.2 DATEUditii REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) " Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 SUMMARY GENERAL I. French expect to curb Vietnamese at San Francisco (page 3) 2. 2. Indonesia hesitant over signing Japanese treaty (page 3). USSR New Soviet tactic expected in East-West trade campaign (page 4). NEAR EAST WESTERN EUROPE 5. East German paramilitary force plans to establish ten mobile hospitals (page 6). * * * -TOP-SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) .5(c) , Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 GENERAL French, expect to cuKb VietAamese at San Francisco: The French Minister for the Associated States has "guaranteed" that Vietnam's Premier Tran Van Huu and other Associated States representatives at the San Francisco conference no ge ou of line." The French are highly critical of Huuts public statements on a security pact and reparations from Japan. They feel, how- ever, that Huu's remarks were probably intended for domestic consumption in Vietnani. 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Comment: French irritation over Huu's state- ments is probably due to a desire to avoid any issue that might further com- plicate the an Francisco conference or prejudice the future international prestige of Vietnam. France originally asked for two billion dollars in reparations from Japan, but later bargained this claim against other con- cessions, including representation for the Associated States at San Francisco. If other countries present reparation claims at San Francisco, however, the French can be expected to renew their demands. While the French are as anxious as the Vietnamese for additional funds to balance Vietnam's shaky budget, they are aware of Japan's inability to pay combined reparations. . Indonesia hesitant over signing Javanese treaty: 3.3(h)(2) A spokesman of the Indonesian Foreign Off ice told the US Ambassador that Indonesia will probably object chiefly to the reparations clause of the Japanese peace treaty. If this clause is not altered as desired, Indonesia will seek "some sort of compensation,." probably in the form of economic concessions from the US, in return for signing. -3 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) The ambassador notes that Indonesia's signa- ture will depend to a considerable extent upon developments in San Francisco and upon the reaction thereto of the Indonesian press and political leaders. There is already a strong threat of dissension within Indonesia's largest par- ty -- the Masjumi -- which may make it somewhat difficult for the govern- ment to obtain approval for signing the treaty. USSR 3. New Soviet t4ctic expected in East-West trade camoaien: 3.3(h)(2) The US Embassy in Moscow is inclined to credit rumors that the Soviet Union is considering a proposal for a new organization patterned after the European Payments Union but also including the countries of the Soviet Orbit. In its present form the EPU acts as a clearing house for trade among Marshall Plan countries. The embassy believes that a proposal of this type would fit into the strategy of the USSR's East-West trade campaign' now under way in Western Europe. It would dramatize the Soviet claim that Russia is ready to cooperate in a general revival of this trade. If the res- ponse proved favorable, the Soviet Union would hope to open up a new field of action in its effort to weaken Western trade controls. This action might be designed to widen the split between US trade policy and the desires of certain Western European countries to continue trade in essential commodities. , In the embassy's view, however, the disruptive possibilities of such a proposal are slight, given the functional nature of EPU itself as a European clearing house and the interest European states have in making it work. /Comment A Soviet proposal for a Europea - ) wide clearing house would be in line with current Moscow..attempts to portray the USSR as attempting to improve East-West trade. However, the USSR has usually carried on its non-Orbit economic relations by bilateral agreements TOP-SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 11101- bEUL-I.E1 3.5(c) and has joined few post-war international organizations of any sort Within the Soviet Orbit, the USSR could set up an EPU type of organization even though the ruble is already freely convertible throughout the Orbit 3.3(h)(2) NEAR EAST TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c) WESTERN EUROPE 5, East German paramilitary force plans to establish terunobile hospitals: 3.3(h)(2) According to an unconfirmed report, the Medical Department of the East German paramilitary force plans to activate ten self-contained mobile hospital units. Each mobile hospital would con- sist of nine three and one-half ton trucks and eleven trailers, with complete hospital equipment, including its own generators and water-distillation plant. The Medical Department has requested that it be furnished with 500 ambu- lances, each having a four-stretcher capacity. Comment: A school for training paramilitary medical personnel has existed since late 1950. The activation of mobile hos- pital units capable of taking the field would seem a logical step in the develop- ment of the East German "Bereitschaften, " a force of over 50,000 men which has already been provided with tanks and artillery for training purposes, and which also now has "air police" and "sea police" units. Ter SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/04/02 CO2739460 3.5(c)