CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/12/18

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02745284
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: December 18, 1951

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SECURITY INFORMATION
18 December 1951
Copy No. 47
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT,NO. -
NO CHANCE IN CLASS.
CLASS. CHANGED TO: 'TS S
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH:11,7�46
DP-PUdigli
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECURITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
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FAR EAST
1. MIG-15 strength on Korea-Manchuria border reported growing (page 3).
NEAR EAST
2. Iranian Minister suggests American aid in developing foreign trade
(page 3).
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WESTERN EUROPE
4. West Germans seek to abolish labor units supporting Allied forces
(page 5).
5. Sweden refuses to withdraw its resolution on German elections (page 5).
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FAR EAST
1. MIG-15 strength on Korea-Manchuria border reported growing:
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Far East Air Force estimates that 290 MIG-15's
are based on the Manchurian airfields at Antung,
Tatungkou and Takushan near the Korean border.
Although in late November and early December
an extremely high level of enemy jet fighter activity was noted -- about 200
sorties a day over an eleven-day period -- there are sufficient MIG-15's
near the Yalu River to expand the daily number of sorties even more..
The estimate forecasts that it would be possible
for the Communists to mount 376 sorties daily, assuming a serviceability
rate of 65 percent and two sorties a day for each serviceable aircraft. FEAF
believes that following a limited period of preparation, the enemy would
possess the capability of concentrating over a specified area a number of
MIGts which could attain localized air superiority through sheer weight of
numbers alone.
NEAR EAST
. Iranian Minister suggests American aid in developing foreign trade:
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The Iranian Minister of National Economy has
told the US Embassy that, rather than a loan or
other financial assistance, Iran would prefer
American help in developing long-term stable
mar e s or i s exports. Iran is particularly interested in selling
to Japan, Korea and the Philippines, feeling that because of the relatively
low quality of some of its products it could compete successfully only in
these low-income areas. The development of such Fnarkets, the Minister
believes, would prevent Iran from becoming dependent on the Soviet Union.
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Comment: While expansion of Iranian foreign
trade with US assistance would satisfy Iranian sentiments, the time re-
quired to develop new markets makes it unlikely that such a plan could be
implemented soon enough to stave off the expected economic collapse. The
British economic sanctions and the loss of oil revenues have increased the
sentiment in Iran for barter trade with the Soviet bloc. Iran is in no po-
sition to resist even unfavorable terms from the Russians.
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WESTERN EUROPE
4. West Germans seek to abolish labor units supporting Allied forces:
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The West German delegation at the European
Defense Treaty discussions in Paris insists on
the adoption of a proviso which would eliminate
the German Labor Service units now serving with
the American and British occupying forces. To date only the Netherlands
delegation has opposed this proposal, which the Germans declare must be
accepted to secure ratification of the treaty by their parliament. The loss of
these support units would handicap American military operations in Germany.
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Comment: German Labor Service units relieve
approximately 85, 000 American and British soldiers from troop support
functions. The existence of these units has been repeatedly denounced by the
Social Democrats, who charge, among other things, that they are paramilitary
in character and represent Allied attempts "to secure remilitarization through
the back door" without parliamentary sanction. Chancellor Adenauer fears
that these allegations will adversely affect the issue of treaty ratification.
The Labor Service is unpopular in West Germany because it is financed by
occupation costs and is symbolic of the unequal status of an occupied country.
Sweden refuses to withdraw its resolution on German elections:
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A Swedish substitute resolution is still delaying
adoption of the tripartite Western UN resolution
calling for an investigation to determine whether
free elections could be held in East and West
Germany. The American delegation estimates that Sweden, in an attempt
to maintain its neutrality on the German question, will refuse to yield to
pressure to withdraw its resolution. The US delegates feel, however, that
the Swedish resolution will not attract many votes.
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Comment: The Swedish resolution is completely
unacceptable to the Allies because it eliminates the whole idea of a UN pre-
liminary investigation of electoral conditions, and would instead return the
whole German unity question to the level of four-power negotiations, which
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have in the past proved fruitless. American officials believe that such a
course, by permitting the veto, would play directly into Soviet hands and
might result in further costly delays in West Germany's integration into the
European community.
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