CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/10/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02869421
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: October 3, 1953

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3 October 1953
Copy No. 67
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO /9
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
Cl DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE- ?()(7_9
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE:Z:0479_ REVIEWER
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECURI FORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
Vr...'�Indian ambassador believes Peiping wants Korean conference
(page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Chinese Nationalist spokesman clarifies position on evacuation
from Burma (page 3).
toe France sees Indochina peace depending on negotiations with Viet
Minh (page 4).
4. Quirino may charge American officials with interference in
Philippine affairs (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5.
6. USSR and Iran reportedly sign agreement on Caspian fisheries
property (page 5).
7. French officials in Morocco concerned over success of reform
program (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
8. Cutbacks in Albanian industrial construction revealed (page 6).
LATIN AMERICA
61 Communists reportedly press to take over control in British
Guiana (page 7).
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FAR EAST
1. Indian ambassador believes Peiping wants Korean conference:
Indian ambassador Raghavan in Peiping
believes that he has "persuaded" Chinese
Communist premier Chou En-lai not to
reject recent American proposals on the
composition of the Korean political conference but instead to await
"further indications" of a change in the American attitude.
In Raghavan's view, the Russians have
decided that nothing can be gained from a conference, but the
Chinese "still seem to want" one.
Comm nt: In the interest of gaining con-
cessions from the UN, C ou as for some time been encouraging
Indian officials to believe that there are exploitable differences of
opinion between Moscow and Peiping on Korean issues. At no time
has there been reliable evidence of such a split. On the contrary,
both Moscow and Peiping appear interested in delaying the political
conference in order to exploit differences of opinion among the UN
allies.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Chinese Nationalist spokesman clarifies position on evacuation from
Burma:
The Chinese Nationalist representative
on the Bangkok Committee has proposed
that the first group of evacuees leave
Burma within a week after the joint evac-
uation teams are in a position to receive them at the Thai-Burma
border. He also promised that Chinese troops would withdraw from
the six areas specified in the committee's evacuation plan, and indi-
cated that no supplies would be furnished to perpetuate their existence
In Burma.
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The Nationalist official, however, expressed
deep concern over Burmese attacks on the Chinese forces and requested
the committee to ask the Burmese to stop their military operations in
the interest of preserving the "good work" accomplished by the committee
in the past four months.
Comment: Ambassador Donovan in Bangkok
� has characterized the Nationalist evacuation proposal as unsatisfactory
and unrealistic. The Burmese delegate to the United Nations has indi-
cated that it is highly improbable that his government would accept it,
largely because the 1,500 to 2,000 troops to be withdrawn are far below
Burma's minimum position.
3. France sees Indochina peace depending on negotiations with Viet Minh:
The French Foreign Ministry believes that 3.3(h)(2)
the Indochina hostilities can be settled only
by negotiations with either the Viet Minh or
the Chinese Communists, or both. A For-
eign Ministry spokesman envisaged consultation with the United States
and possibly Great Britain prior to any negotiations, but emphasized
that conversations with the Viet Minh are not under consideration now.
He did refer to the possibility of exploratory conversations with the
Russians and Chinese Communists during the Korean political confer-
ence.
Comment: This is the first official acknowl-
edgment that the French see an end to the war only through a negotiated
peace with the Wet Minh. Recent public statements by Premier Laniel
and Finance Minister Faure as well as press comment have encouraged
the French public to believe that the additional American aid and the
Navarre plan are intended to improve France's negotiating position with
the Viet Minh rather than achieving military victory as is understood
in connection with the recent grant of additional US aid.
4. � Quirino may charge American officials with interference in Philippine
affairs:
The American embassy in Manila reports 3.3(h)(2)
that President Quirino may at any time charge
that US imperialism is being reimposed and
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accuse American officials, both in Manila and Washington, of inter-
vening in Philippine affairs to his disadvantage. Such accusations,
the embassy believes, would result from Quirinots conviction that
his relations with the US have hopelessly deteriorated.
Comment: Quirino has already charged
the American government with showing favoritism to Magsaysay, his
opponent in the forthcoming general elections, but has thus far re-
frained from naming individuals.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5.
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6. USSR and Iran reportedly sign agreement on Caspian fisheries property:
An agreement which settles the compensation 3.3(h)(2)
to be paid by Iran for the installations of the
former Soviet fishing concession on the Caspian
Sea was signed early in September, 3.3(h)(2)
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this agreement
and the complementary Soviet-Iranian trade agreement signed on 3
September constitute a gesture of appeasement toward Moscow by the
new Iranian government.
Comment: A liquidation commission for
resolving the question of the fisheries property was set up last Febru-
ary. There was an unconfirmed report in April that the Soviet share
of the property was valued at 40,000,000 rials and that Iran would pay
this sum by supplying fish and caviar to the USSR.
The USSR blocked a solution to this problem
in the preliminary negotiations. Since the USSR lost prestige in Iran
following the Zahedi coup, the alleged agreement is more likely to
represent a concession on the part of Moscow rather than Tehran.
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7. French officials in Morocco concerned over success of reform program:
According to the American consul in Rabat,
the principal officials of the French pro-
tectorate have privately expressed serious
misgivings about the application of the reform
program and ',renal ability to maintain order in Morocco. French
residents are impeding the reform program by pressing Paris to re-
move even nominal concessions proposed for the Moroccans.
Comment: This information confirms
previousi indications that the French government is having diffi-
culty drafting labor code and civil rights codes. In spite of strict
security controls, sporadic violence and sabotage continue.
EASTERN EUROPE
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8. Cutbacks in Albanian industrial construction revealed: 3.3(h)(2)
Albanian officials have been
"requested" to cancel several construction
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projects, including the Tirana steel foundry, the copper smelting
works in Rrubig, and an automobile repair depot in Elbasan.
Comment: These cutbacks in the Albanian
Industrial program have apparently been ordered by Moscow. Cancel-
lation of these projects will help to relieve a burden on Czechoslovakia,
which has been the chief exporter of industrial equipment to Albania.
This is the first firm evidence that sizable
reductions are planned in Albanian industrial development. In his
1 August keynote address before the newly reorganized Albanian
government, Premier Hoxha alluded to possible cutbacks in non-
essential industries, and there is some evidence of a curtailment
of activity on the major hydroelectric project on the Mat River.
LATIN AMERICA
9. Communists reportedly press to take over control in British Guiana:
The American consul general in Trinidad
warns that with the leaders of the pro-
Communist Peoples Progressive Party
pressing hard to establish complete con-
trol of British Guiana, a consolidated
ommunist bridgehead in this area is distinctly possible unless
the menace is firmly met The British governor feels that a show-
down may be necessary within the next few weeks ispd that British
troops may even have to be called in.
Comment: A high-ranking official of the
Colonial Office in London informed the American embassy on 14
September that the situation in British Guiana was "as dangerous
as anywhere in the colonial dmpire."
The Peoples Progressive Party, majority
party in the elected legislature since last April, walked out of the
House of Assembly on 25 September when the British-appointed
speaker overruled the party's attempt to force through a bill for
compulsory recognition of trade unions.
Briti.sh�Guiana produces about 20 percent
of the free world's bauxite. -
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