CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/07/31

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02872248
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: July 31, 1953

F Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2872248,
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SECU INFORMATION
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31. July 1953
Copy No. 67
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOPJICRET.
SECUthY INFORMATION
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3.5(c)
3.5(c) �04
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3.5(c)
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
�...11"."Comment on Soviet note to Austria (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Syria allegedly supports Arab refugee raids into Israel (page 3).
WESTERN EUROPE
3. East German manifesto believed to show Communist weakness
(page 4).
LATIN AMERICA
4. Land reform decree threatens violence in Bolivia (page 4).
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31 July 53
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
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1.
GENERAL
Comment on Soviet note to Austria:
The 29 July Soviet note to Austria repeats
familiar attacks on the abbreviated treaty and does not alter Moscow's
position. It Peems designed chiefly to create dissension in the West
by asking Austria to reject the abbreviated draft.
The Kremlin's decision to send the note to.
Austria rather than reply to the Western note of 12 June, suggests that
recent Austrian demarches have encouraged the USSR to seek more
direct contact with Vienna. This bilateral approach is not likely to
further an Austrian settlement but serves to undercut Allied-Austrian
relations.
The almost simultaneous announcement that
the USSR will no longer require Austrian compensation for occupation
costs is the most important concession the Kremlin has yet made to
the Austrians. Although the actual sums involved are relatively small,
the Soviet move is likely to have a considerable impact on the Austrians
and result in popular support for the Soviet position.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
2. Syria allegedly supports Arab refugee raids into Israel:
3
3.
3.5(c)
3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
31 July 53
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Syrian dictator Shishakli and the ex-Mufti 3.3(h)(2)
reached an understanding permitting direction from Syria of para-
military raids.
Comment: Such activity would be consonant
with Shishaklitsbelligerent attitude toward Israel and would strengthen
his domestic political position. Knowledge of such Syrian activity
would invite retaliation by Israel and preclude an early settlement
of the frontier issue.
WESTERN EUROPE
. East German manifesto believed to show Communist weakness:
American officials in Berlin see indications 3.3(h)(2)
of party weakness in the 28 July policy decla-
ration of the East German Communist Central
Committee following its analysis of the 17 June
demonstrations.
They predict that the statement will fail in
its purpose of creating popular support for two reasons. It insults
the workers by asserting that the demonstrations were generated by
fascist agents and not spontaneous. Furthermore it reasserts the
basic correctness of past party policy, admitting only that the tempo
was too fast, thereby dampening hopes for fundamental economic or
political changes.
LATIN AMERICA
4. Land reform decree threatens violence in Bolivia:
the 3.3(h)(2)
Bolivian cabinet has split over the new land
reform decree which is scheduled to be issued
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TSDP-Shr
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on 2 August. The right wing of the governing Nationalist Revolutionary
Movement violently opposes the decree.
Comment: Many right-wing members of the
government party are landowners. Although the decree reportedly
will call for a gradual, orderly process of reform with compensation
for expropriated lands, the controversy over it may bring to a head
various intraparty disputes.
Meanwhile the powerful Bolivian Labor Con-
federation last week passed a resolution demanding land nationalization
without compensation, and organization of the Indians into collectives to
work the landed estates. If the agrarian syndicates, some of which are
led by Communists, follow this line rather than the expected milder
government proposals, serious civil disturbances may result.
5
31 July 53
3.5(c)
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