[SANITIZED]NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN APRIL 16, 1975 - 1975/04/16

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02888133
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 28
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: April 16, 1975

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USIB
UNITED STATES
INTELLIGENCE
BOARD
National Intelligence
Bulletin
3.5(c)
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April 16, 1975
N2 657
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3.5(c)
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National Intelligence Bulletin
April 16, 1975
CONTENTS
ARGENTINA: Peron's government registers modest victory
in Misiones Province. (Page 18)
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T5p3SCRET
3.5(c)
National Intelligence Bulletin
April 16, 1975
ARGENTINA
President Peron's government won a modest victory
in a provincial election last Sunday. The Peronist
coalition's capture of the governorship of Misiones Prov-
ince, despite the failure to obtain a legislative major-
ity, has given the government a badly needed boost at
a time when its policies are under increasing attack.
� The most encouraging sign for Mrs. Peron's support-
ers was the severe overall defeat suffered by a splinter
left-wing Peronist party backed by the Montonero guer-
rillas. Extreme leftist Peronists will probably point
to the electoral drubbing as proof that violence is the
only way for them to gain power.
The strong showing of the centrist Radical Party--
which finished a close second--will disappoint those in
the Peronist government who had hoped for a clear-cut
victory. The large opposition turnout probably reflects
a substantial protest vote against the government's
policies. It could also represent a repudiation of the
massive vote-buying by Social Welfare Minister Lopez
Rega, who handed out millions of pesos in "subsidies"
prior to the balloting. Radical Party gains will en-
hance the position of its leader, Ricardo Balbin, who
has been under fire from some elements of his party for
not taking a harder line against the government.
Ironically, the outcome of the Misiones test might
temporarily restrain conservative critics of Lopez Rega
within the Peronist labor movement and the military.
They may have to admit grudgingly that the strategy of
the President's chief adviser worked to contain the
challenge from the dissident Peronist left, even if it
did so at the expense of losing votes to the Radicals.
There is at least a fair chance that the govern-
ment's success in its first test at the polls since
Juan Peron's election in September 1973 will strengthen
the hand of moderates, such as Interior Minister Roca-
moral who have encouraged the President to adopt a more
open and conciliatory approach in dealing with other
-18-
Tra-51ric;;;
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National Intelligence Bulletin April 16, 1975
political parties. Rocamora is a staunch advocate of
close cooperation with opposition party leaders and has
urged Mrs. Peron to hold elections in provinces in which
the central government has intervened. There is no
assurance, however, that the voices of moderation will
be heeded by Mrs. Peron as long as Lopez Rega retains
his dominant influence and ability to undercut other
advisers.
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