CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1954/03/05

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02980784
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 5
• Document Creation Date: August 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: August 30, 2019
• Publication Date: March 5, 1954

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5 March 1954
3.5(c)
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3.3(h)(2)
Copy No. 84
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
[CLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANCED TO: TS C
NEXT REVIEW DATE. 20 (2.3
AUTH: HR
70-2
DATE. 0ViEWER:
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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TOP S ET o"
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SUMMARY
SOUTHEAST ASIA
1. Viet Minh sees prospect of victory through Geneva conference
(page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
2. Nehru's attack on US observers in Kashmir primarily for internal
effect (page 3).
WESTERN EUROPE
3. Final West German approval of EDC threatened (page 4).
LATIN AMERICA
4.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
1. Viet Minh sees prospect of victory through Geneva conference:
states that the Viet Minh will continue
to concentrate on offensive moves for
political and psychological rather than
mtTitayefeetT� the belief that its chances of winning the war
are greater at the conference table than on the battlefield. He
points out that the Viet Minh campaign in north Laos is a further
indication that the political front is rapidly replacing the military
front as the key to the outcome of the Indochina war.
said that the Viet Minh's
hopes have been buoyed by the prospect of the Geneva conference
despite their fears that they may be forced to accept concessions
which the So i �.sts may make to
the French. , the concept of
Viet Minh fears of concessions is pure hypothesis.
SOUTH ASIA
2. Nehru's attack on US observers in Kashmir primarily for internal
effect:
The American embassy in New Delhi
believes Nehru's announcement on 1
March that India no longer regards
American members of the UN observer
team in Kashmir as neutral is largely "symbolic" and intended
primarily for internal effect. The action may have been taken at
the insistence of R. A. Kidwai and K. Katju, two of Nehru's more
anti-American cabinet members.
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Comment: No formal Indian request
for removal of the 24 Americans with the Kashmir team has yet
been received by the UN, and an Indian Foreign Ministry source
stated that only the text of Nehru's speech will be presented to
Secretary General Hammarskjold, thus leaving further action up
to him.
India's 1954-55 budget, announced three
days after Nehru was advised of the American decision to grant aid
to Pakistan, anticipates $94,500,000 in foreign aid, most of which
would come from the United States.
WESTERN EUROPE
3. Final West German approval of EDC threatened:
West German government officials warn
that final ratification of the Bonn and
Paris treaties may be blocked if the
Allies withhold their approval of the
defense constitutional amendment "even for a few days" after the
scheduled 19 March vote on it in the Bundesrat. Unless the French
government can be persuaded to withdraw its objections to the amend-
ment's promulgation, opposition Social Democrats may renew their
efforts to have President Heuss enjoined from signing the treaties.
Chancellhor Adenauer appears willing to
accept Allied approval of the amendment with almost any qualifica-
tion. He may raise the issue with French foreign minister Bidault
on 9 March at Paris.
Comment: Pending promulgation of the
constitutional amendment, WiTia 3-Tras passed by the Bundestag on 26
February to legalize German rearmament, an adverse ruling on the
treaties by the Constitutional Court is possible under continued
Socialist pressure.
French government officials apparently
feel that promulgation of the amendment might jeopardize French
EDC ratification.
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LATIN AMERICA
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