CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/07/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02987876
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: July 3, 1958

, Approved for Release: 2020/01/23 CO2987876
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3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3 July 1958
Copy No. C
CENTRAL
57
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN'
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3 JULY 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR in Geneva technical talks de-
mands Western statement that test
cessation is aim of conference.
Poland - Majority at central com-
mittee plenum expected to back
Gomulka as only leader who can
maintain Poland's limited autonomy
within bloc.
Yugoslays still regard Poland as
potential ally in dispute with Moscow.
Soviet turboprop transport demon-
strates intercontinental range ca-
pability_
Special report of IAC Current In-
telligence Group for Taiwan Strait
Problem: See Page 5.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
0 Lebanon - Fighting continues near
Beirut and in Tripoli.
0 Jordan - Situation invites new ef-
forts to overthrow regime.
III. THE WEST
0 De Gaulle may call for plebiscite in
French Tropical Africa on federal
union with France.
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LATE ITEM
OKhrushchev s latest letter to the Presi-
dent--his first since the execution of
Nagy--attempts to reCover his position
on summit ta,lks by proposing a meeting
of military experts to discuss preven-
tion of a surprise attack.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3 July 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Geneva technical talks: At the first session of the Geneva
technical talks on 1 July, the Soviet chairman insisted that his
delegation would refuse to proceed with technical talks until
the Western delegation makes an "unequivocal" statement
agreeing that a test cessation is the objective toward which
the scientists would be working. He had already presented
an outline of Soviet views on detection methods, obviously
prepared for possible future publication, but emphasized that
these are not essential for test suspension and would merely
provide additional guarantees. (Page 1)
Poland: At the Polish central committee plenum sched-
uled for July the majority of the Communist party will prob-
ably maintain its support for Gomulka as the only leader capa-
ble of protecting Poland's present limited autonomy within the
Soviet bloc. While opposition from the Stalinist wing can be
expected, most Polish Communists are sufficiently anti-Soviet
to rally behind Gomulka as the only feasible alternative to
Soviet domination and popular revolt. It is still not clear
whether Gomulka's recent stand regarding the Yugosl
and the Na :y execution is acceptable to the Kremlin.
(Page 2)
Yugoslavia: The relative mildness of the Yugoslav reac-
tion to Gomulka's recent attack on Yugoslav "revisionism" indi-
cates that Belgrade still sees Poland as a potential ally in its
dispute with Moscow. This could provide the Kremlin with an
additional excuse to exert pressure on the Polish leader.
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USSR: A Soviet TU-116 turboprop transport between 28
June and July flew 19,400 nautical miles along routes which
extended to all areas Of the USSR. The transport was air-
borne 48 out of 77 hours, with three landings for maintenance
and refueling. This test flight supports previous Soviet claims
that an intercontinental transport aircraft was under develop-
ment. (Page 4) (Map)
Taiwan Strait: The IAC Current Intelligence Group for
the Taiwan Strait Problem in a special report on 2 July noted
the possible movement of Chinese Communist jet fighters into
Fukien Province, opposite Taiwan.
(Page 5) (Map)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
*Lebanon: Rebel Druze forces appear to have renewed
their attempted offensive toward Beirut. Rebels in the Mos-
lem quarter of the city may hope that the Druze forces can es-
tablish a supply line to them. After heavy fighting, the situa-
tion in the Tripoli area remains unresolved.
(Page 6)
Jordan: Subversive activity, supported by the UAR, con-
tinues to threaten King Husayn's government. Despite the re-
cent arrest of more than 40 alleged conspirators, intra-army
politics and widespread discontent invite new efforts to over-
throw or assassinate government leaders.
(Page '7)
III. THE WEST
France - Tropical Africa: De Gaulle on 14 July may an-
nounce a special referendum this fall in the French territories
south of the Sahara, other than Cameroun and Togo, on the
3 July 58
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question of whether they desire direct federal union with
France. This plan for federal union may run into dif-
ficulty in view of African interest in autonomous federa-
tion arrangements among the African territories.
(Page 8) (Map)
LATE ITEM
*Khrushchev letter: Premier Ithrushchev's letter of 2
July to President Eisenhower is aimed at offsettrpg the
damaging effects of the Hungarian executions by reaffirming
the USSR's desire for summit talks. In an effort to display
fresh initiative on a subject which both sides have proposed
as an agenda item at the summit, Khrushchev called for a
joint study by military experts of measures to prevent sur-
prise attack. This move recalls a similar effort to restore
the USSR's peaceful coexistence posture following the sup-
pression of the Hungarian revolt in 1956 when Moscow for the
first time endorsed the idea of aerial inspection in central
Europe. Khrushchev's letter, which is designed to appear
responsive to American views regarding technical talks and
the prevention of surprise attack, repeated long-standing So-
viet proposals with respect to ground-control posts and aerial
inspection zones in Eurone and equal areas of the United States
and the Soviet Union.
3 July 58 DAILY BRIEF
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11..,E,IN I it'll.
NW, .44111e
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet Tactics in Geneva Talks
At the opening session of the Geneva technical talks on
1 July, Y. K. Fedorov, the Soviet chairman, reiterated the
line in the Soviet aide-memoire of 25 June that the conference
would be useless unless it was agreed that its purpose was
to "lead to" or"facilitate" the cessation of nuclear tests. He
said that until such an "unequivocal" agreement could be
reached, his delegation could not take up the technical is-
sues. If the Western delegation agreed to this objective,
Fedorov said Ms delegation -would be willing to "spend'
any amount of time" necessary to reach agreement on con-
trols.
If the Western delegation accepts the Soviet definition of
the purpose of the talks, Moscow probably will claim that
this commits the United States to a cessation of tests independ-
ent of other aspects of the disarmament problem. If, on the
other hand, the West rejects the Soviet demands, Moscow prob-
ably believes it will be able to place the blame on the United
States for a breakdown of the talks. With this etid in view,
Fedorov had earlier presented an outline of Soviet views on
detection methods�obviously prepared for possible future
publication--designed to show that the USSR is not hostile to
inspection. He emphasized, however, the argument frequently
repeated in Soviet propaganda that technical controls merely
provide additional auarantees and are not essential for a cessa-
tion of tests.
CONFIDENTIAL
3 July 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Gomulka's Position Seen Strengthened on Eve of Central
Committee Plenum
The majority of the Polish party's central committee
will probably rally behind First Secretary Gomulka at its
forthcoming plenum, last reported to be scheduled for 7
or 8 July, Go-
mulka is regarded in the party as the only leader capable
of protecting Poland's present limited autonomy within the
Soviet bloc and avoiding popular revolt at home. Gomulka's
recent criticism of Nagy is probably understood in Warsaw
as a reluctant effort to placate Moscow, while his silence
in the face of other bloc endorsements of the executions
suggests that he remains determined to fight for Polish
national interests.
At the July plenum, the central committee will
presumably discuss Poland's position on the Yugoslav dis-
pute and the Hungarian executions, as well as the theses
for and the specific date of the long-expected third party
congress which may be held in the fall. While opposition
from the Stalinist wing of the party can be expected, the
majority of Polish Communists are sufficiently anti-Soviet
to rally behind Gomulka. Any formulations for the party
congress which Gomulka may present to the plenum at
this time would probably emphasize--as a show of or
necessity for maintaining the unity and
solidarity of the socialist camp, but reiterate the prin-
ciple of individual party sovereignty by way of justifying
Poland's right to its own road to socialism.
3 July 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2
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Now, vim*
3 July 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
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IRE LANDr
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NORWAY
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