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October 25, 2019
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October 31, 2019
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January 4, 1956
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15740169].pdf227.85 KB
Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 Ta12-r9-EC71ff NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS CONTINUED CONTROL CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 4 January 1956 Copy No. , 1 0 3 DOcumeatio 42 NO CHANGE 04 CLASS. Or DECLASSIRED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE. aolo AWN: HR 70-2 DATE' 41714� AiEwER 019360 OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY This document contains information affecting the national defense of the United States within the meaning of the espio- nage laws, U. S. Code title 18, Sections 793, 794,and 798, the transmission or the revelation of the contents of which in any manner to an unauthorized person is prohibited by law. THIS DOCUMENT MUST BE KEPT IN COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE CHANNELS AT ALL TIMES It is to be seen only by U. S. personnel especially indoctrinated and authorized to receive COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE information. The security of this document must be main- tained in accordance with COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE REGULATIONS. No action is to be taken on any COMMUNICATIONS INTELLIGENCE which may be contained herein, regardless of the advantage to be gained, unless such action is first approved by the Director of Central Intelligence. Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c)7 /// Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 NO' Comments and interpretations in this publication are based on all sources, including COMINT, and repre- sent the immediate views of the Office of Current In- telligence. The classification of a comment is noted separately only when it is higher than that of the re- port commented on. Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 I Noe CONTENTS 1. FRENCH ELECTIONS INCREASE PARLIAMENTARY INSTABILITY (page 3). 2. VIET MINH CONGRATULATES LAOS ON ADMISSION TO UN page 5)0 3. LIBERIA CONSIDERING SOVIET OFFER TO ESTABLISH DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS page 6)0 * * * * 4 Jan 56 THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page 7) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 11,1 .01 fr, PIM Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 1. FRENCH ELECTIONS INCREASE PARLIAMENTARY INSTABILITY Comment on: The 50-percent increase in Commu- nist representation in the French National Assembly and the unexpecte:d success of the extreme right Poujade antitax candidates in the 2 January elections rule out the possibility of a stable majority when the assembly con- venes on 19 January. While the extremists of both right and left will control about the same percentage of seats as in 1951, the center is more widely split, and the bitterness of the electoral campaign will make agreement on a gov- ernment coalition difficult. Under attack from both ex- tremes, the center parties will be obliged to rely on ma- jorities whose composition will fluctuate depending on the issue. The urgency of the Algerian problem will probably force the Faure-Pinay coalition to reach some compromise with the Mendes-France forces. There are in- dications that influential members of Pinay's Independent- Peasant bloc want to try to bring the Socialists into the government to discourage any attempt to form a popular front with the Communists. The increase in the Social- ists' popular vote has fostered a rumor that President Coty will ask them to make the first attempt to form a gov- ernment. The Poujade group picked up even more seats than its leader claimed during the campaign. Its deputies will probably be a source of disorder when the as- sembly convenes, but they will probably be isolated as the 4 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 %. � � � ����, +F. � a. ar� Gaullists were in 1951. The right wing of the Faure- Pinay forces can be expected eventually to try to influ- ence them to work with the government. The wide range of views on key issues-- Algeria, government subsidies to industry and agriculture, aid to church schools, European integration and defense spending--will continue to plague any center coalition; and both Communists and Pouiadists will be in a position to ex- ploit these differences. 4 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 CONF'IDENTM Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 I NION1 2. VIET MINH CONGRATULATES LAOS ON ADMISSION TO UN The Viet Minh has sent a message congratulating Laos on its admission to the United Nations, Ambassador Yost points out that this gesture is "at least curious," coming concurrently with violent Hanoi radio attacks on the Laotian government and with the increased preoccupation of Chinese Communist propaganda with the improved American position in Laos. The ambassador sees a possibility that Viet Minh premier Pham Van Dong will re-extend an invi- tation--first brought up at Bandung--for Laotian premier Katay to visit Hanoi. Yost believes Katay might accept such an invitation. Comment The Viet Minh's congratulatory message may have been intended to cause confu- sion in Vientiane over the government's policy toward the Communists and possibly to underscore, for the Laotians, the Soviet role in the success of their UN bid. In addition, with the, government having successfully held its elections for a national assembly and with Pathet Lao morale reportedly low, the Communists may feel it advisable to lay the groundwork for a possible shift in policy. They are in a position to offer a superficially attrac- tive deal involving an agreement to disband the Pathet Lao armed forces in return for Communist participation in the government. 4 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 _r_Lirli-v Ire FT" Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 � Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470 NNW 3. LIBERIA CONSIDERING SOVIET OFFER TO ESTABLISH DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS resident Tubman of Liberia informed mbassador Jones on 2 January that e "cannot afford to reject" the Soviet nion's proposal for the exchange of iplomatic representatives informally advanced by its dele- gation now in Liberia for the presidential inauguration. Tubman said that in replying to the Russians, he would of- fer to request legislative authorization and to "give consid- eration to their request as soon as an appropriation is avail- able!' Comment Some high Liberian officials were re- ported in September to be considering the establishment of diplomatic relations with the USSR, but Tubman recently expressed his determination to resist any Soviet move in this direction. 4 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for Release72079710.E1 CO2989470 Approved for Release: 201.9/10/21 CO2989470 wrie THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 3 January) No significant military activity on the Arab-Israeli borders has been reported. Israel claims that Egyptians opened fire on Israeli patrols and that two Egyp- tian Vampire jets violated Israeli air space in the Gaza area on 2 January. These are daily events, according to the Amer- ican army attach�n Tel Aviv. The same attach�eported that on 1 Janu- ary an unidentified "brigade" was observed in the process of receiving combat equipment and departing by bus for an un- known destination. He suggests that this unit may have been called up for routine training or rotation purposes. The attach�lso reports that an Israeli broadcast of 31 December announced that conscripts "with letters A to K inclusive" were to report on 1 January 1956 in- stead of 1 April as originally scheduled. This acceleration of call-ups may be in line with Prime Minister Ben-Gurion's an- nouncement on 2 January that another year had been added to the military draft period of 2-1/2 years' service. In reviewing his government's foreign and defense policy before the Knesset on 2 January, Ben-Gurion warned that war could break out at any time. He also stated that Israel would not give up the principle of retaliation for Arab incursions on Israel's frontiers. (Press) an initial contingent of Egyptian naval officers has left for training in the Soviet bloc--probably in Poland-- and a larger group of naval personnel is scheduled to go very soon. Delivery from the Soviet bloc to Egypt of a small num- ber of destroyers, submarines, motor torpedo boats and mine- sweepers may follow completion of this training. 4 Jan 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) --cumantrt Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2989470