CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/12/02

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02993693
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RIPPUB
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U
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13
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March 17, 2020
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March 26, 2020
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December 2, 1960
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4.^ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13CO2993693 3.3(h)(2) I %or- ZIE%iMIKT- Nwre Nate 3.5(c) 2 December 1960 Copy No. CENTRAL 75 INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN' 134CUMENT No 2 (3 ei MANGE IN CUSS, g [.] sicLAstiriso curs. eItonitt TOTIS S IIEXT DIM; _AJR/P. AtiTN: H 7(12 nATA 0 Jtif81_198% EVIEWERI ower TOP SECRET Ay Ar ,r ,r /Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 44%, -TO-119-SEeRET� 4016k Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 "IOW 'Name 2 DECEMBER 1960 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Brief communiqu�ssued at end of Com- munist conference in Moscow aims at countering speculation that Sib-Soviet differences continue. 0 East German bargaining position in trade negotiations with West Germany strength- ened by Soviet agreement to supply goods if West Germany severs trade on 31 De- cember. 0 Soviet Defense Minister Malinovsky ap- parently either ill or away from Moscow; evidence suggests he remains in good favor. II. ASIA-AFRICA South Koreans formerly influential with Rhee regime, in wake of recent punitive legislation, may attempt forceful action against Chang Myon government. Iraq�Communist participation in 3 De- cember Baghdad parade could lead to clashes with nationalists. Ethiopia shifting gradually toward more neutralist position. �Laos- Special assembly session may be held in Luang Prabang to seek political settlement. III. THE WEST �Venezuela- Violence has spread from Caracas to some provincial cities; op- position groups reported planning wave of strikes. Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 *IS �SEC= 'vow' CENTRAL INTELLIGIENCE BULLETIN 2 December 1960 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC *International Communism: The brief communique is- sued on 1 December at the close� of the meeting of world Communist leaders in Moscow seems intended to dispel speculation that the main participants have been unable to reach any agreement on a joint statement of policy. By noting that a "statement of worker d and Communist parties" has been unanimously adopted, this communique resembles the one issued at the close of the meeting which was held in Moscow in 1957. In 1957, both a communique noting that a Declaration had been adopted and the Declaration itself were published some days after the meeting had ended and most of the delegates had returned home. The statement mentioned in the present communique may not be released until all the delegates have returned to their capitals, as in� 1957. Although the communique states that the "discussions took place in an atmosphere of fraternal friendship," the exchanges in the Soviet and Chinese press during the past week suggest that the meeting has not success- fully reconciled the basic differences between the two parties. USSR - East Germany - West Germany: Khrushchev's agreement to supply fast Germany with the "necessary raw materials and goods" if West Germany carries out its threat to sever trade on 31 December strengthens the East German bargaining position on the eve of negotiations with the West Germans. The Soviet move, following a meeting between Ul- bricht and the Soviet premier on 30 November, is designed to back up the East German desire to push negotiations up to the Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693/ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 ministerial level�implying recognition of the Ulbricht regime by Bonn--rather than deal with a special West German trade agency located in West Berlin as heretofore. The East Ger- mans probably have been encouraged by evidences of differ- ences among West German officials concerning the conduct of negotiations and may feel they can maneuver Bonn into making significant concessions. USSR: The identification of Soviet Marshal Andrey Grechko as "iFfirii minister of defense" may indicate only that Marshal , Malinovsky is either ill or away from Moscow. In reaction to 0 ic Western press speculation that Malinovsky had been deposed, a Soviet spokesman announced he is "resting." There have been recent rumors and unconfirmed reports of dissension in the Soviet high command; most of the evidence, however, suggests that Malinovsky remains in good favor. In the past, public iden- tification of an official as "acting mipistee, has not nPr7arily p9rtended removal of the incumbent. II. ASIA-AFRICA South Korea: Punitive ex post facto legislation, which threatens South Ireans formerly influential with the Rhee regime, may cause some of them to attempt forceful action � against the government. The former Rhee lieutenant and strong man, Yi Pom-sok, is reportedly attempting to rally such ele- ments in an attempt to bring down the Chang Myon government by disrupting the nationwide local elections scheduled to begin on 12 December. Any demonstrations staged by Yi or former Rhee associates are almost certain to provoke student reac- tion with accompanying violencsp (Page 1) Iraq: Communist insistence on participating in the 3 De- cemEeParade on the anniversary of Qasim's release from the hospital last year may lead to clashes between Communists and nationalists in Baghdad. On 29 November Qasim gave in to Communist pressure and ordered the release of several Communist editors arrested 2 Dec 60 DAILY BRIEF 11 72 �SEC�REIT� ;Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693' A Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 --ttrtniEr *44, in mid-November for criticizing the regime. His intervention to save Communists from punishment by the military courts will further ant agoraz e anti-Communist rnillthry P1PmPrito Ethiopia - Communist China: cAni official Ethiopian cultural C) This trip, which LOLLOWS tours in .v.; thiopia by two Chinese cultural groups, is in /7--) response to considerable urging by Peiping for closer, ties. It is the latest sign of Addis Ababa's gradual shift toward a more neutralist position, as recently indicated in its vote against the West in connection with the ssue of seating Communist China in the UN2 (Page 2) *Laos: D. National Assembly delegation led by former Pre- mier Tiao msanith has agreed with General Phoumi in Sayan- nakhet to convoke a special assembly session soon in Luang Prabang to seek a political settlement. In spite of this agree- ment, contact between Vientiane's and Phournits forces in the ak Ca Dinh area is continuing; a Vientiane-held outpost ap- arently has been captured by Savannakhet elements. The at- Lacks by Phoumi's forces may persuade the Souvanna Phouma government to prevent assembly deputies still inVientiane from attending any session in Luang Prabang.- (Page 3) delegation is ea in III. THE WEST Venezuela: Sporadic violence which began on 25 No- 0 K vember in Caracas has now erupted in some provincial cities, and opposition groups are reported to be planning 4 a wave of strikes, Strong progovernment labor components I are moving to counteract the labor unrest, and l3etancourt continues to have the support of the armed forces. However the Venezuelan Government also fears a rightist coup attempt backed by Dominican dictator Trujillo. Should such an attempt iLtc,, be made and gain even limited military backing, instability would be compounded and Betancourt's regime threatened. (Page 5) 2 Dec 60 DAILY BRIEF Ui OK or Peinina n nprnmhekr, -SfeRET--- f jApproved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693v / Former Rhe Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693nent Coup Lappty.i. Lv.i. a 4,V.i.dy 1411 ending e2�--.--co i uld threaten pro nent South Koreans associated with the former Rhee regime may be encouraging some of them to attempt force- ful action against the government. Such legislation would � impose confiscatory fines totaling about $20,000,000 on 24 leading industrialists and businessmen. Some 19,000 per- sons, including 21 legislators, would lose their civil rights for seven years, and an estimated 50,000 others would be subject to screening by special revolutionary tribunals. Many former high civilian and military officials would be subject to the death penalty:) The constitution was amended on 29 November to per= mit enactment of ex post facto legislation. Efforts by Prime Minister Chang Myon the following day to moderate punitive provisions of the pending bills were defeated in the House of Representatives. Ambassador McConaughy, however, sees a good chance that the range of the persons to be affected by the legislation will be narrowecE, Former Fthee lieutenant and strong man Yi Pom-sok, one of tIi 21 legislators proscribed by the pending laws, report- edly, hopes to gain enough support from others who would be affected to bring down the government by disrupting the na- tionwide local elections scheduled to begin on 12 December. In addition, the demonstrators will demand the recall of McConaughy, whom they accuse of taking_a major part in Rhee's ouster, lave alleged that Yi, with the support of some military officers, is plotting to seize power3 rAny demonstrations staged by Yi or other former R.hee associates would almost certainly provoke student reaction and could result in renewed mass violence. The police prob- ably have not regained enough strength to handle such a situa- tion. The military forces have the ability to preserve public order, but there have been reports of dissident activity among senior army commanders who are critical of Prime Minister ' 7 -..,n. Choe Kyong-nok:7 .hanrr Munn anri A TwrsTr Oh 4 ...* .-4 04,--At r 2 Dec 60 CEIApproved for Release: 2020/03/13CO2993693 Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 SECRET Nor Ethiopia Sending Delegation to Peiping': 1M official Ethiopian cultural delegation is being sent to Communist China on 9 December, Par- ticipating in this visit to Peiping and other Chinese cities will be the Ethiopian vice minister of press and information as well as a troupe of folk dancers. In re- cent years at least two Chinese cultural groups have visited Addis Abab a. The decision to send the cultural delegation is a further indication of Ethiopia's gradual shift toward the neutralist bloc. Early last month Emperor Haile Selassie implied to American officials that he might soon recog- nize Communist China. As part of its efforts to maintain good relations with Afro-Asian neutrals, Ethiopia also voted this year to consider Peiping's admission to the UN-- the first time it has taken this position at the General As- sembly.. [Communist China has been competing with Nationalist China for Ethiopia's recognition. Last February a Commu- nist ambassador and a Nationalist Foreign Ministry good- will mission visited Addis Ababa simultaneously. Peiping's ambassador to the Sudan, who escorted a troupe of Chinese acrobats to Ethiopia, reportedly told the Emperor about Mao Tse-tung's desire for diplomatic relations:1 i Recognition and exchange of representation between Addis Ababa and Peiping may not be long delayed. Diplo- matic exchanges may be accelerated if the Somali Republic, Ethiopia's neighbor and bitter rival, implements its appar- ent intention of establishing relations with Communist China with several other Communist nations./ SECRET 2 Dec 60 CEKITRAI IKITPI I in.rmr= RI iii CTIki Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 The Situation in Laos A delegation of National Assembly deputies from Vientiane, led by former Premier Tiao Somsanith, agreed with General Phoumi in Savannakhet on 1 December to hold a special assembly session in Luang Prabang in another ttempt to find a solution to the four-month crisis. Later n the day the delegation flew back to Vientiane, 5...vhere it lanned to discuss the subject of the meeting with the 36 eputies still remaining in the capital. The remaining 23 embers of the assembly are outside the capital and are believed for the most part to be sympathetic to Savannakhet.3 In an apparent maneuver to ensure that the Luang Prabang session would be held, Phourni in his talks with Somsanith did not close the door on a government of nation- al union, including the Pathet Lao's political front, the Neo Lao Hak Sat (NLHS). Lphoumi indicated that once in Luang Prabang, his group would hold out against NLHS participation in a compromise govern- mentn He probably hopes that enough of the Vientiane con- -1.J tingent of the deputies would vote with his bloc to overthrow the Souvanna government, paving the way for the formation of a rightist government which he could dominate. A vote on any no-confidence motion against Souvanna might be ex- tremely close, however, in view of reports that many of the deputies are persuaded that his concept of a government of national union provides the only way out of the present im- passe. Phoumi's offensive in the Nam Ca Dinh area, some 100 miles east of the capital, is apparently meeting ith some success. now ad- mits that Phoumi's troops have taken a Second Paratroop Battalion outpost south of the Ca Dinh River. He said Vientiane forces were either dispersed in the brush or with- drawing across the Ca Dinh. Phoumi's attacks may lead Souvanna to oppose the proposed National Assembly sessioLii 2 Dec 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 SECRET Lm Luang Prabang, Captain Kong Le, who is now Vientiane garrison commander, is probably keeping the deputies under surveillance in order to prevent their departure to Luang Prabang; Captain Southep, who was supposed to command Souvanna's projected attack on Luang Prabang, has defected to the Luang Prabang garrison, together with the three companies under his direct command. He claims that some 2,000 Pathet Lao were to participate in the attack. Souvanna has deferred giv- ing the order for an attempt to take Luang Prabang pending the outenme of the erent efforts for a political settlement.) 2 Dec 60 rpkyre Al 11.17 /.r e. E1 I 1.kir nil. nrik �Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 SECRET Now *siv� Unrest Continues in Venezuela Sporadic violence, which has continued in Caracas since 25 November, has now erupted in some other Ven- ezuelan cities. The sharp division within organized labor and the death of a student at the hands of government se- curity forces are contributing to the tension. President Betancourt is still believed to command the support of most of the armed forces and to be in control of the immediate situation. He may be expected to act against the leftist pro-Castro opposition with increasing firmness. The government has made widespread arrests of agitators, and on 30 November it banned the Communist newspaper and that of a Marxist faction involved in the recent disturb- ocal headquarters have been alerted to prepare troop units for prompt transfer to Caracas if needed to maintain order. Leftist opposition groups are reported to be planning a wave of strikes which strong pro-government labor elements are moving to counteract. Such strikes would probably in- tensify Betancourt's critical economic problems, which in- clude a large budget deficit. During a discussion with Am- bassador Sparks on 30 November, the new finance minister expressed the opinion that Betancourt could not long sur- vive without sizable US aid, and stressed his fears of a pro Castro takeover. The government, which also fears a rightist coup attempt supported by Dominican dictator Trujillo, requested the Or- ganization of American States on 30 November to consider its charges that the Dominican Republic was again plotting to in- tervene in Venezuela. Betancourt was seriously injured by a Dominican-backed assassination effort last June. A rightist coup attempt, with even limited backing by dissident military elements, in combination with the present leftist violence would pose a grave threat to Betancourt's regime. 2 Dec 60 CEMTD AI IKITDI I inckirc 11111 I CTIM Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 -CONFIDENTIAL 4.se THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Commandant, United States Marine Corps Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO2993693 4 0 / 0 0 /7"1//7/ 0 0 0 0 0 0 // 0 0 I e.,/,, ez ez or/ :0 0 00 I e e/ ejo ea/ I 0 .. 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