CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/04/28

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02995611
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RIPPUB
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U
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11
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October 25, 2019
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October 31, 2019
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Publication Date: 
April 28, 1956
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Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 .TOP SECRET- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 28 April 1956 Copy No. t03 DOCUMENT NO. _ NO 4f! CE A,s] CLASS. � rThcLAssiPE.n N[ XT (1E.Vutv DATE. _ Cl. ASS. CHANGED 10: S _ AkJI4: HR 70 � BEVILWER: ...ron�yr OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP-SEGR-ET e Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 0'4 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Oak OWL Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 I Avih1--ir:PlrrGTVL.e I CONTENTS 1. INDIA CRITICIZES US-SPONSORED ASIAN REGIONAL NUCLEAR CENTER (page 3). 2. INDONESIAN CABINET DECIDES TO FORM WEST IRIAN "PROVINCE" (page 4). 3. SOVIET-BRITISH COMMUNIQUE :page 5). 4. USSR MAY SUPPORT D7CUSSIONS OF CYPRUS QUESTION IN SECURITY COUNCIL (page 7). 5. SAU7 ARARTA PHRCHASING LARGE QUANTITIES OF ARMS (page 8). 28 Apr 56 THE ARAB-ISRAE:LI SITUATION (page 9) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP-SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Aft 1 Ur 3Et-nr., I tia. 1 INDIA CRITICIZES US-SPONSORED ASIAN REGIONAL NUCLEAR CENTER India may hope to see the Asian regional nuclear center in Manila turn into a basically US-Philippine project so that it can later disown the project and de- velop a "real" Asian center of its own, according to American nuclear experts now visiting in India. Comment The USSR has expressed willingness to aid India and other Asian nations in nu- clear development. An Indian nuclear center, making use of Soviet scientific knowledge, would be a valuable asset in New Delhi's drive for the leadership of Asia. It would also have considerable appeal to some of the Asian countries disap- pointed by their failure to get the US-sponsored center lo- cated within their own borders India has two atomic reactors already under construction and one more is planned. It also possesses large monazite deposits, a source of thorium, and Dr. Bhabha, head of the Indian Atomic Energy Commission, estimates that India will soon have 700 trained nuclear scientists. 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 TIDR-SXPRI-P-T Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 ALFLI JL -11-1".1-.11. V Mr" .41.1 2. INDONESIAN CABINET DECIDES TO FORM WEST IRIAN "PROVINCE" The Indonesian cabinet decided on 25 April to draft a bill making a "province" of West Irian (Netherlands New Guinea), according to the Ameri- can embassy in Djakarta. Prime Min- ister Ali told an embassy officer that west Irian =airs are being handled for the time being through his own office. Comment Indonesia is unlikely to make any further effort to negotiate its claim to Nether- lands New Guinea following the failure of the Dutch-Indonesian conference in December 1955 and Indonesia's subsequent de- cision to abrogate all existing agreements between the two countries. The decision to establish a provincial government- in-exile was publicly announced in parliament on 9 April. These steps probably mark the beginning of an intensified diplomatic and propaganda campaign in sup- port of Indonesia's claim to West Irian. They also foreshadow a resumption of paramilitary operations. It is likely that Indonesia's claims to West Irian will be emphasized by President Sukarno during his forth- coming visit to Washington. 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Sith 3. SOVIET-BRITISH COMMUNIQUE Comment on: The failure of the British and Soviet leaders to reach agreement on any of the major topics discussed is reflected in the joint communiqu�f 26 April and the statements of the Soviet leaders at a press conference on 27 April. The communiqu�ndicated no agreement on disarmament or European security. In an annex to the com- muniqu�the British reaffirmed their position on German unification. Khrushchev stated at the press confer- ence that the USSR would be willing to join in a UN ban on arms shipments anywhere in the world, implying that any agreement to curtail arms shipments from the Soviet bloc to the Arabs would be contingent on an agreement by the West to curtail such shipments to Baghdad pact members. Moscow's agreement to join in seeking a solution to the Arab-Israeli dispute on a basis acceptable to both sides is another attempt to emphasize its "impartiality" in the dispute, but does not preclude Soviet support for the Arabs in any future negotiations. The statement reaffirms that Moscow considers the UN Security Council the proper body to seek a solution to the Arab-Israeli dispute. The Soviet claim, contained in the joint communique, that the USSR could increase its imports of British goods to about $2,800,000,000 during the next five years in the absence of trade restrictions was apparently de- signed chiefly to undermine Western trade controls The USSR implied that ships would account for a substantial amount of the proposed Soviet order. To reach this level, Soviet im- ports would have to increase about sixfold and British imports from the USSR would also have to increase subdtantially 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Reelasms:i2,104g/.11. 0/21 CO2995611 Nit While it is unlikely that Soviet imports will approach $2,800,000,000, a substantial increase is possible, since the USSR at present exports to Britain about twice what it imports. In an agreement on increased exchanges with Britain,the USSR has gone farther than in the past in committing itself to supporting freer exchange of informa- tion and visits. Although the USSR refused to include in the communiqu� reference to jamming or to the artificial ruble exchange rate, British officials are hopeful that Mos- cow will make some concessions on these questions. (Concurred in by O.RFL) 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Aft fir-5Irritt7. 4, USSR MAY SUPPORT DISCUSSIONS OF CYPRUS QUESTION IN SECURITY COUNCIL the USSR may be consider- ing supporting a move to bring the dis- pute to the Security Council, the developments in the Middle East crisis made it "logical to promote also a solu- tion of the Cyprus question." Such a move, would be most successful when Britain could no longer insist on "the need for protection of its interests by an occupation of Cyprus?' despite Moscow's support for op- pressed peoples, the visit of the Soviet leaders to London "constitutes a significant political event which naturally will somewhat limit the freedom of the Soviet government's actions." The USSR's exact intentions in regard to Cyprus are not clear. However, now that Bulganin's and Khrushchevt visit has ended, Moscow may not be deterred by its concern over British reaction from supporting any Greek move to take the Cyprus question to the Security Council. 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 Approved for for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 ur rrii 5. SAUDI ARABIA PURCHASING LARGE QUANTITIES OF ARMS Comment on: Saudi Arabian arms negotiations with Egypt and several European nations in- dicate that Saudi Arabia, while continu- ing to refuse Soviet bloc arms, may contemplate less reliance in the future on the United States as a source of arms and combat aircraft. $30,000,000 worth of arms of British manufacture, including 25 Vampire jet fighters, are being procured from Egypt. Under the agreement for the use of the large Saudi air base at Dhahran, due for renewal in June, the United States has been the principal supplier of arms and equipment in furtherance of King Saudis program to create a small modern army and air force. The quantities of arms and equipment obtained from Egypt, and now being sought in Europe, appear to approximate the requirements in many cate- gories of Saud's military development program. If Saudi Arabia acquires arms from these sources, the Saudi posi- tion will be strengthened in the forthcoming talks with the United States for renewal of the Dhahran base agreement. 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 TOP SECREt Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Ara I UP"Sbefik74 THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 27 April) According to a United Nations truce observer, Syria agreed, after much discussion with Secre- tary General Hammarskjold, to an unconditional cease-fire agreement, rather than the conditional agreement as announced in the press. Ambassador Moose comments, however, that Syrian officials continue to consider the question of a cease� fire inseparable from that of Israeli intentions regarding re- sumption of the Banat Yacov canal project even if these two ques- tion q have,been separated for purposes of negotiations. destroyers are to be delivered to Egypt in May. Earlier evidence indicated that Egypt had contracted for at least two destroyers and that Poland is to be the ostensible supplier. Two destroyers have also been pur- chased from Britain, where they are now fitting out. Delivery is expected in late summer. Two similar British destroyers sold to Israel are presently on shakedown trials in British waters and are exnected to reach Israel in early June. / On 10 April the tgyptian arms mission m Prague signed an agreement with Czechoslovakia for additional Soviet bloc arms valued at $79,000,000. Among the items ordered by Egypt under this new agreement are 55,000 rifles, 25,000 submachine guns, ammunition for these weapons, and at least 40 MIG aircraft 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 SECRETTOP Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611 A 61-, A 'Yale and 20 light jet bombers. Egypt in- tends in the near future to order still more military equipment from the bloc. Deliveries have not yet been completed under the initial set of contracts, which covered a wide range of equip- ment worth at least $160,000,000. ( 28 Apr 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO2995611