CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/09/17

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02996630
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: September 17, 1958

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17 September 1958
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munist terrorism.
17 SEPTEMBER 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan - Soviet note warns Japan; no
significant military activity noted.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Cairo concerned over Arif's dismissal.
Suppression of newspaper in Damascus
seen as move by Nasir against UAR
Vice President Hawrani.
Lebanese rebels told "battle" must go
on till country joins UAR; Shihab plans
neutral policy.
South Vietnam expects upsurge in Com-
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III. THE WEST
0 Scandinavian representatives "to go all
out" for Peiping's representation in UN.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
17 September 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*Taiwan Strait situation: There was no significant in-
telligence on Chinese Communist military activity on 16 Sep-
tember. A Soviet note to Japin warned it against permitting
American forces to use bases there for "aggressive acts,"
In an apparent attempt to exploit Japanese fears of becoming
Involved in a US-Communist war.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Iraq:dismssal of Deputy rremier Aru as deputy commander of
UAR great concern over the
i
the Iraqi Army. The Egyptians are labeling many of Qasim's
supporters Communist sympathizers. Events in Iraq may
have led to a decision by Cairo to slow Up arms deliveries to
the Baghdad government. (Page 1)
UAR-Syria: The suppression of the Baathist socialist
newspaper in Damascus appears to be a move by Nasir against
UAR Vice President Akram Hawrani, who used the paper to
advance his views. Despite Nasir's efforts to suppress poli-
tical parties, the strongly Arab nationalist Baath party has
continued its political activities. Nasir may attempt to blame
its leader, Hawrani, for Syria's economic and administrative
woes. (Page 2)
Lebanon: UAR minister of interior for Syria, Sarraj, is
reporled to have told certain rebel leaders that he is disturbed
by factionalism within the rebel leadership since "the battle
is not over." There are reports that Syrian military personnel,
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*If
previously withdrawn from Lebanon, are being surrepti-
tiously returned and some of the local rebel forces are being
redeployed. Meanwhile, President-elect Shihab states he
is planning a neutral independent status for Lebanon. Shi-
hab is in continuing liaison with Cairo and Damascus. (SE-
CRET) (NOFORN Except UK) (Page 3)
South Vietnam: President Diem anticipates an upsurge
in Communist terrorism and guerrilla activities. Americans
and other foreigners in Vietnam�likely targets for assassi-
nation attempts--have been advised to take extra precautions,
particularly when traveling in the provinces where numerous
" ls have been killed within the last year.
(Page 5)
III. THE WEST
Communist China- UN: According to Foreign Minister Un-
den' Sweden intends "to go all out" for Peiping's admission to
the UN. He states that Norway and Denmark are "in full agree-
ment." While all three countries recognize Mao's regime and
have consistently opposed the moratorium on its entry into the
UN, the emergence of two NATO countries as leaders in this
campaign would further undermine Taipei's prestige.
(Page 6)
17 Sept 58
DAILY BRIEF ii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
No back-up material
IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR Concerned Over Iraqi Situation
great concern
over the Iraqi internal situation and especially the dismissal
of Vice Premier Colonel Arif SS denutv comm. der of the
Iraqi armed forces. Aril is "car-
rying on his work" in the Interior Ministry and that "his mo-
rale is outwardly high," but that "he is angry at the beh
of Prime Minister Abd al-Karim" (Qasim) toward him.
several photographs
of UAR President Nasir have been removed from public places
by Iraqi army officers close to Qasim.
allegations that those who are supporting the prime
minister are "Communist sympathizers" and that the Commu-
nists are opposing union with the UAR by exploiting Qasim's
name and proclaiming his leadership.
Rashid al-Gaylani, the leader of the 1941 Iraqi revolt, ap-
parently is working with UAR representatives in Baghdad to
promote sentiment for union and has contacted many army offi-
cers toward this end.
Iraqi Baathists, concerned over their lack of a well-known
leader, are trying to enlist Gaylani as a party leader.
Possibly alarmed at the setback to its aspirations in Iraq,
Cairo has ordered Damascus to delay the dispatch of arms ship-
ments destined for Iraq until the situation is clarified. The
speech by Prime Minister Qasim on 16 September contained a
veiled warning to "foreign conspirators who want to restore the
old regime in another form," presumably aimed at supporters
of union with the UAR. The UAR can be expected to increase
its efforts to bring about union, and might promote a counter-
coup against the Qasim bloc.
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Nasir Moves Against Akram Hawrani
The suppression of al-Rai al-Amm, the Syrian Baathist
party newspaper, on 11 September appears to be Nasir's first
move in a systematic plan to cut down the influence of UAR
Vice President Akram Hawrani and other Baathist leaders.
Hawrani was in the forefront of those who pressed for
Syrian union with Egypt and had hoped that his party would
dominate the Syrian political scene after union. However,
Nasir ordered the dissolution of parties, which the Baath has
attempted to resist. Its continued activities at times have run
counter to Nasir's policies in the country.
Hawrani, who has helped engineer at least five military
coups in Syria but subsequently fell out with coup leaders,
may in time break with Nasir and attempt to work against
Syria's union with the UAR, possibly with Iraqi Baathists.
Open criticism toward the regime has been growing since
early summer. Syrians who now dislike the UAR hold the
Baath responsible because Hawrani was a moving force for
union with Egypt. Nasir, through Abdul Hamid Sarraj, min-
ister of interior for Syria, has overruled Hawrani on several
occasions and may attempt to make him the scapegoat for
Syria's economic and administrative woes. Lately Nasir has
become increasingly irritated with the Baathist leader's at-
tempts to thwart policy by publishing articles in al-Rai al-
Amm.
-SEeRE-T----
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*140 *id
Lebanese Situation
Col. Sarraj, UAR minister of interior for Syria 9 is re-
ported to have told certain Lebanese rebel leaders that he is
disturbed by factionalism within the rebel leadership since
"the battle is not over." Sarraj claimed that Nasir is blaming
him for the "inconclusive results" of UAR subversive efforts
in Lebanon and that terrorist acts must continue until the
Christians are prepared to accept incorporation into the UAR.
He insisted that the "liquidation" of President Chamoun was
necessary to break the back of Christian resistance to such a
union. The minister of interior now may be planning to con-
tinue operations in order to recoup lost prestige in Nasir's
eyes.
In a reported meeting with Sarraj, one of the rebel lead-
ers, speaking on behalf of his brother, Tripoli rebel leader
Rashid Karame, stated that the present plan is to cooperate
with General Shihab until pro-UAR elements are strong enough
to take over. The army is to be infiltrated by pro-UAR ele-
ments and then a revolt from within the army would be brought
about. The change-over would be made palatable to foreign
powers and the UN under the facade of being an internal affair.
Sarraj is said to have demurred at this long-range plan and to
have urged that an "indirect" UAR take-over be brought about
within the next six months.
Syrian commandos and paramilitary forces, who had re-
cently been recalled to Syria from Lebanon, now are rejoining
the forces of Druze leader Kamal Jumblatt,
while others are infiltrating back to Beirut.
President-elect Shihab has given some indications that he
may serve as president in a more "constitutional" manner than
President Chamoun and his predecessor President Bishara
al-nuri. In practice: the presidency is the strongest office
in Lebanon despite its theoretical impotency. Shihab's abdica-
tion of the extensive presidential powers to a pro-UAR Moslem
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�rier, 4010
prime minister would facilitate opposition plans to dominate
Lebanon's foreign and domestic nolthies should A_ cot ap-
pear infeasible.
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South Vietnamese Government Anticipates Upsurge
In Communist Violence
President Diem, on the basis of captured documents
anticipates a sharp upsurge in Communist
guerrilla activity and terrorism. Americans and other for-
eigners in Vietnam may be targets of assassination attempt.
Diem reports he has information that Communist cadres
have been ordered by Hanoi to concentrate on disrupting three
major economic programs now being implemented by his gov-
ernment--land reform, resettlement - land development, and
agricultural credit. He believes the damaging raid last month
on the large Michelin rubber plantation by a Communist-led
band of some 400 rebels was part of this campaign.
The Vietnamese Government is taking all possible security
measures within the limitations of the difficult terrain, which
favors guerrilla warfare. Americans and other foreigners
have been advised to take extra precautions, particularly when
traveling in the provinces where numerous assassinations of
minor Vietnamese officials have already occurred.
Saigon officials are also concerned over recent movements
by North Vietnamese Communist forces along the Laotian bor-
der and near the 17th parallel, which they feel are related to
Chinese Communist intentions in the Taiwan area. Diem has
placed his army on semialert and is considering civil defense
measures.
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II. THE WEST
Scandinavians to Push for Peiping's Entry
Swedish Foreign Minister Unden told the British am-
bassador on 12 September that Sweden intends "to go ail
out" for Communist China's admission to the UN. Unden
claims to have the complete support of Norway and Den-
mark. While the Scandinavians have already recognized
Peiping and for several years have consistently opposed
the UN moratorium on Chinese represei6tion, the emer-
gence of two NATO countries as leaders in the fight for
Peiping's entry would further weakac,. Taipei's status at
the UN.
The Scandinavian leaders are deeply concerned over
the Far East crisis, and Unden in a 14 September speech
stated that "it is indeed tragic that a trial of strength
between two fighting Chinese parties ab, it a few small
islands...may be able to jeopardize world peace." He
added that it was "absurd" that Chiang Kai-shek should
represent the largest country in Asia at the UN.
Unden apparently believes that with Communist Chi-
na's entry the UN would provide the propel: forum for dis-
cussion and negotiations regarding the offshore islands.
The Norwegians and Danes are increasingly concerned
over the danger of war, but out of consideration for their
NATO ties may be less active than Sweden In Dressing.
for Peiping's admission.
CONFIDENTIAL
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Special Adviser to the President
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Dirgctor
CONFIDENTIAL
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