DAILY SUMMARY - 1947/02

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02996863
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Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 28 FEB 1947 316 1. Turks will not raise_quest19n o_f i_mgional Straits defense--US Ambassa- dor Wilson reports that the Turkish Premier and Foreign Minister share the State Department's views on the inadvisability of proposing a regional agreement for defense of the Straits (see Daily Summary of 21 January, item 4). Because Soviet policy "unquestionably is to dominate Turkey," the Foreign Minister feels that the USSR would not act in good faith but would take advantage of any new proposal on the Straits question to weaken Turkey's position. He therefore believes It would be most un- wise for the Turks to take any further initiative in the matter. 3.3(h)(2) EUROPE FRANCE: Nan Minister sugge_sts deal to ac e US shim�Navy Minister Louis Jacquinot has told US Ambassador C eryat the French Navy ''sorely needs ships" and that, if the US can supply "some ships," :facquinot will "strongly support" the US in regard to privileges for the US Navy at such North African ports as Port Lyautey. AL USSR: US Etntsssulans to rotest Soviet detention of US citizens�US Embassy Moscow plans to send a note of protest to the Soviet Foreign office regarding a number of claimants to US citizenship who, during the past two years, have been arrested in eastern and southern Europe and now apparently are being detained in labor camps in the USSR. The note will point out that, since November 1945, over 100 such cases have been called to the attention of the Soviet Government, and that the Embassy's Inability to obtain a satisfactory reply is "a matter of the gravest concern" to the US Government. Document No. � I � NO CHANGE in Class. 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77 1763 71IZZa Approved for Release: 2018/09/26+C012996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 5. YUGOSLAVIA: Permission refused US News_nyistit_kielstvis ilia cam-- US Charge Cabot reports that US newspaper correspondents haveTeen refused permission to visit Bulkjes Yugoslav camp for guerrilla training of Greek refugees. Greek guerrillas reportedly are "being farmed out" to small Yugoslav villages in anticipation of the UN Balkan Investigating Commission's arrival in Belgrade. (CIG sources confirm that all Greeks are toeing temporarily evacuated from Bulkjes and other training camps.) rAR EAST 3 3(1-11(71 3.3(h)(2) 6. FRENCH INDOCHINA: Increase in Communist rekorte_d told US Consul Reed of his belief that (a) Chinese Communist activity is increasing among Chinese made homeless by recent fires; (b) French, Chinese, and Soviet Communist agents are active in Indochina but do not appear to be working in con- cert; and (c) the Vietnam Government is dominated by Communists who are establishing a nationalist state as a prelude to a Communist regime in Vietnam. Reed feels that, while Aimamite Communism is a potential threat, it is overemphasized as a present danger. 7. JAPAN: War Department favors WFTU visit 4? >inn and Korea-- Secretary of War Patterson, rail-Ping to General Mackiiinliii objections to the proposed visit of a World Federation of Trade Union mission to Japan (see Daily Summary of. 14 February, item 3), states that the exclu- sion of the WFTU from Japan and Korea would result in criticism of US policy both at home and abroad. As it appears probable that entry of the WFTU into Northern Korea "can and will be accomplished,' Secre- tary Patterson points out the US Government would be placed in an un- favorable light if it refused a similar opportunity in areas under US control. THE AMERICAS 8. BOLIVIA: Arrival of special Arentine mission�US Ambassador Flack reports thai the unexpected arrival in La Paz on 25 February of a special Argentine mission for negotiating economic and commercial agreements (see Daily Summary of 20 December 1946, item 4) was regarded by the - 2 - a Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Bolivian Foreign Office as "most untimely," inasmuch as (a) definite action on the agreements would have to await the seating of the new President and Cabinet, and (b) shipments of Argentine food and other products, during January and Februaryshad not fulfilled Argentina's commitment for that period. -3 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 38 .Toaft-istetter. GENERAL 27 I-tb 1141 315 2. Argentina kyksAat_es fulfilment of Chapultepec Embassy Lima reports that, according to unofficial advice from the Permian Foreign Office, Argentina has asked what measures Peru has taken in fulfilment of its commitments under the Chapultepec agreement. (CIG Comment: This suggests that the Argentine Government may be attempting to prove that other Latin American Governments have done less than Argentina to fulfill their Chapultepec commitments.) EUROPE 3. HUNGARY: Soviets arrest Smallholder leader--US Representative Schoenfeld reports that Soviet occupation authorities have arrested Bela _Kovacs, member of Parliament and former Secretary-General of the Smallholders' Party, on charges of organizing espionage against the USSR and participating "in the formation of armed groups, members of which committed terroristic acts and murders in Hungary against members of the Soviet Army." (The Smallholders had previously re- fused Communist demands that Kovacs' parliamentary immunity be waived to permit his arrest on charges of conspiring to overthrow the Hungarian Government; see Daily Summery of 24 February, item 4.) (CIG Comment: The Soviets have not, until now, openly inter- fered in the current campaign of the Communists to gain control of the Government by implicating leaders of the majority Smallholders' Party in an alleged conspiracy. This direct violation of Hungary's sovereignty suggests that the USSR is determined to obtain a Com- munist-dominated regime prior to the withdrawal of Soviet troops.) Document No. NO MANGE in Class. 0 El DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/l �0_ Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO299686--- By; --a-C2a2-sr Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 4. GERMANY: Soviet condemnation of US-UK bi-zonal lie --According to Acting US Political Adviser Mucci�, Soko ovsky, Soviet Repre- sentative to the Allied Control Commission, on 25 February read before the Commission a prepared statement bitterly attacking US-UK zonal fusion. Muccio believes the attack may possibly presage the Soviet line at the coming Council of Foreign Ministers in Moscow. Should the bi- zonal policy prevail, Sokolovsky declared, It will lead to the partition of Germany and threaten European security by enabling the Junkers to te- gain control. (CIG Comment: Sokolovsky's condemnation is considered the initial Soviet effort to defend the USSR's unilateral action in Germany by placing on US-UK bi-zonal policy the onus for failure to implement German economic unity.) 5. ITALY: Participation in African territorial dinjaositio_imnd,--US Am- bassador Dunn recommends that, if the Italians request permission to accompany the Quadripartite Commission of Inquiry on its visit to Italian African territories, the US will favor this request. Dunn believes that "some manner of Italian participation" would go a long way towards reconciling the Government and public opinion to the final disposition of the territories. 6. YUGOSLAVIA: Countermeasures to nationalization of US property�US Charge Cabot, in view of Yugoslav failure to provide for US financial Interests in the recent property nationalization law, recommends the following countermeasures: (a) blocking of Yugoslav assets in the US until a settlement is reached; (b) payment of US claims from these assets, if negotiations fail; (c) formation of a commission to pass on US claims; and (d) blocking of all financial transactions between the US and Yugoslavia except under license. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 7- IRAN: Shah msff_be contemplating Qavam's removal�US Ambassador Allen reports increasing indications that the Shah, encouraged primarily by the Army Command but also by politica malcontents, may be seriously contemplating the removal of Qavam prior to the convening of the Parlia- ment. The principal basis for such action would be allegations of cor- ruption and fraud. - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 (CIG Comment: Because of Qavam's political strength and anticipated large majority in the next Parliament, it would be difficult for the Shah to remove him from the Premiership without his msent.) FAR EAST 8. FRENCH INDOCHINA: Federated state sted�US Consul Saigon reports the opinion of the President the P anal Government of Cochin China that a federation, rather than a union. of the three districts (Tonkin, Anaam, and Cochin China) claimed by Ho Chi Minh's govern- ment as parts of Vietnam, might solve the problem of Cochin China's future status. The President insisted, however, upon considerable autonomy for Cochin China to avoid domination by Tonkin. liss4nition of ira,rriaLregime unlikely�A Foreign Office official has told US Ambassador Caffery in Paris that while recognition of an imperial regime under the former Emperor of Aamam cannot be entirely excluded, it is extremely unlikely in view of the Socialist- Communist complexion of the present French Government. - 3 - rim Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/2e CO2996863 2 6 FEB 1947 tmi 4u6riorril$11, ! 38 . 314 whaa-sfosticiar GENERAL I. Emb_may119_scolv_Resp_t_reaanent Greek Border Coramission--US Embassy Moscow fears that the US and UK may be presented with a "lightning fait accompli" of Soviet domination in Greece unless an effective permanent border commission is operating prior to the with- drawal of British troops. The Embassy points out that Soviet prepara- tions to exploit any opportunity in Greece have recently been given Impetus by (a) the continuing political and economic chaos which, con- trary to Soviet expectations, the US and UK have failed to check; (b) the effect which control of Greece would have on the problem of Turkey and the Straits; and (c) contemplated UK troop withdrawals. EUROPE 2. RUMANIA: Reaction to US food gift--US Delegate Allied Control Com- mission Bucharest reports that the gift of food by the US to relieve famine conditions has created "widespread satisfaction" throughout Rumania. He believes that it will be a long-term factor in maintaining good will. FAR EAST 3. CHINA: Third_Artx views on reomanization of Km_rissaAnl--Chinese minority party leaders have expressed to Ambassador Stuart their fears that the deteriorating Chinese situation will drive the liberal groups into the Communist camp. Carson Chang, leader of the Social Democrats, Indicated he would not join the Government because he could be more effective outside the Government in influencing change. The General- issimo, according to Chang, is the greatest stumbling block to a genuine reorganization because "he can not conceive" of any successful solution by "democratic processes." Soom doubts effectiveness of economic controls--According to a report from US Treasury Attache Nanking, even T.V. Soonf, President of the Executive Yuan, believes that the Central Government s emergency economic control measures will provide only temporary respite and do not affect the underlying economic situation (see Daily Summary of 25 February, item 5). Document NO. 04 -1 - NO CHANGE in ClasS. n DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 _ Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863/1/ 76 BY: L. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 4. FRENCH INDOCHINA: Comnromise on Cochin Chins expected. expressed to US Ambas- sador catiery his opinion that the government set up in Cochin China by Admiral d'Argenlieu will not last long and that the French Government will be compelled to enter into a compromise with Vietnam regarding Cochin China's future status. - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved forReleasiA018/09/26 CO2996863 .L.:100.410 GENERAL 2 5 FEB 1947 313 EUROPE 2. POLAND: Communist �control increases- told US Am- Ta;v3vador Lane that the new 'little' Constitution passed by Parliament, i3igives absolute power to the "councils of state," will place "com- control of the nation" in the hands of Communists and will remove veaqge of authority from the Council of Ministers and from Par- Mant. Lane concurs Opinion and adds that the So- Yts rill, for the time oeing, De permitmed to believe that they play -i-Ap-onant part in the Government, but that actually the Communists U.:mot allow them to make policy decisions. 3. FIWNCE: Continued US "sympathetic aid" sought�Serve Alphand, �dimEconomic Director, has iiiiiPiessed to a member of US ';a7A..-Gsy Paris the hope that the US would continue "sympathetic aid" - oiar to stave off possible political and social repercussions which "Impel" France to draw closer to "mother" orbit. 4. GERMANY: Reproniyation of French Zone planned--US Political Cb- Mayer reports from Baden-Baden that�an�niaministrative re- arp,-0T4*atton of the French Zone is to be announced soon." According MnYier: the French plan is to decentralize authority by delegating r[toTfe power to the Regional Military Governments which will in turn - more responsibility to local German authorities. Mayer adds that Document No: 046 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TOt TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: 77)1763 Date: 27/3/T6 Byt (30 9 _- Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 the reorganisation might be considered "a suitable occasion to replace General Koenig" as Military Governor of the French Zone. FAR EAST 5. CHINA: Government's ability carry out economic cox trothdoubted-- US Ambassador Stuart repo s that grave skepticism esials in high Chinese circles as to the ability of the Central Government to carry out the emergency economic control program announced on le Febru- ary. Many "informed and intelligent" people feel that the measures will prove only a stop-gap "which may for some time arrest economic disintegration but cannot provide more than temporary relief." to modify his ....)414 � m--Ambassador Stuart also reports that theCh 114--inese iidster of osnmusdcatIons is trying to per- suade Chiang Kai-shek to adopt a program whereby the Central Govern-1 meat would (a) institute complete political reform in China south of the Yangtze River; (b) assume a defensive attitude in Manchuria; and (c) clear the major rail lines passing through Communist-controlled areas in Shantung Province and immediately south of Shantung. The Communications Minister believes that this program (decidedly less ambitious in its military aspects than earlier Nationalist plans) is well within the capabilities of the Government forces, but he notes that "arms are desperately needed at the moment" The Chinese 0-2 has also in- formed the US Military Attache that, at the present rate of consumption, the Nationalists' supply of ammunition would last only three months. - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Z4 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 1/4, 1/41 EUROPE 2 4 FEB 1947 312 1. RUMANIA: t wale -US R reports 3.3(h)(2) that, the Soviets have begun organizational preparations for the withdrawal, by 15 April, of all but four divisions of Soviet occupation troops (currentl) estimated 3.3(h)(2) at 10-12 divisions). the Soviet militat7 commander will have under his cbmmand a "formidable civil organiFa- *ton of Soviet operators, . . to cotdrol the country in eivilian guise." 2. USSR: .Violent nreeactanda attacks on US--Aecording to US Embassy Moscow, Soviet propaganda attacks on the US have reached an unprece- dented Intensity. The Embassy believes this attitude maybe designed to cover up certain weaknesses made evident by recent. failures of Soviet policy at home and abroad. In the Embassy's view, the present campaign is calculated to create among the Western Powers an attitude of pessimism regarding the forthcoming CFM meeting, so that the West. ern delegates will be grateful for even minor Soviet concessions. 3.3(h)(2) 3 1410 3.3(h)(2) 4. HUNGARY: C US Minister S - el reports remier agy now monists and Social Democrats to withdraw from the coalition Govermnent, because the Smallholders Party refuses to waive parliamentary immunity for its former Secretary-General, Bela ICovacs, who Ms been accused by the Communists of participating in the alleged aversive plot against the Government (see Daily Summary of 2? January, item 5). Nagy fears that leftist-inspired disturbancen would make it impossible for a purely m Sallholders' Government to maintain order and that new elections may therefore have to be held. of coalition Government imminent-- OM- 5. FRANCE: posBiblemovam_ 1 pf officers nommen 'o. Mai "' 1 �� NO CHANGE in Class. El DECLASSIFIED Class, CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: .21/4114...E1-7 1783 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996-863ZZZ-Zd- By: �CI- 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 (CIG Comment: Should Petit become Commanding General of the Army, the Communists will have gone far in neutralizing the effective- ness of the Army in putting down any Communist attempt to take control of the Government by force.) 7. GREECE: Further views on Greek economic crisis--Paul Porter, Chief of the Economic Mission to Greece, reports that the Greek economic is so acute that if the Greek Government avails the final recom- mendations of his Mission, the situation will have "deteriorated to the point where little could be accomplished." Porter is therefore cooperat- ing with the US Economic Mission and the US-UK Currency Commission to formulate "specific immediate undertakings by the Greek Government" to combat further yam and budret inflation_ - 2 - "ffrecrSETIZET----... Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 " FAR EAST 8. CHINA: Chinese Government reo zation--US Ambassador Stuart has been r orm the reorganization of his government will be undertaken "in the closing days of this month," Courier ship dela --Stuart also reports that on 23 February (2 days before the scheduled departure of the US costlier ship for Dairen), the Soviet Embassy handed him a note stating that it could not notify the proper authorities concerning the shies departure (as the US had re- quested) because notification must be made through US Embassy Moscow to the Soviet Minister of Foreign Affairs. The State Department has Instructed Embassy Nanking to hold the ship pending further instructions: US aid in ea rivate fore assets --T.V. Soong has Informed rig-Treasury Attache t he is anxious to obtain from the US and UK Governments a list of private Chinese holders of assets In the US and the British Empire. According to Soong, the Chinese Government is considering taking steps to gain control of these private assets. Soong believes that without US and UK cooperation such steps "could not amount to much." THE AMERICAS 9. PERU: Debt setUemeataffer_t$111--US Ambassador Cooper, on instructions from Washington, has informed the Peruvian ivlinitter of Finance that Peru's latest dollar debt settlement offer is "completely unacceptable" to the US. 10. VENEZUELA: Revolut 0, movement is re read --US Military Attache Caracas repo::In owers ex-presi Lopes Contreras as'sert that all local preparations for a revolutionary movement have been completed (see Daily Summary of 12 February, item 4). - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018%0'9/2; CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 txR Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 OROPE ill FEB 1947 311 ECE: Gravity of Greek situation reaffirmed-- 3.3(h)(2) ,HThe State Depart- at :tas informed Ethridge of its "general agreement with the sugges- IR that a Balkan surveillance commission be established, and has sent ma detailed preliminary views on the matter (see Daily Summary of February, item 6). 1. FRANCE: Political diffteulties anticipated�US Ambassador Caffery paris that public confidence and morale has gradually deteriorated in The past three weeks, because of a growing general conviction that the resent broad coalition Government by its very nature is incapable of kkag the decisions necessary to restore the French economy and save :rane. The cold wave has also been a contributing factor. Caffery believes that a political and economic crisis within the next several _Tikoaths "seems almost inevitable." The magnitude of such a crisis, he adds, probably will depend largely on how the financial and economic tituation evolves; if it deteriorates too far, an "eXtremist" solution of Wm...Ice's difficulties might result. Document No. NO CHANGE CHANGE in Class. C] DECLASSIFIED - 1 - Class. CHANGED TO: TS 0 AWL' DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 -41511r1MEeRtff Date: 271,377e3 BY: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 FAR EAST rRENCEL INDOCHINA: Ho loits Vietnam Socialists�US Consul Hanoi reports that, in French-monitoWrieirca-7�sts,,Wrtitnam Socialist Party kmaRzl insisted that the Vletnameeie people only reaognise a government headed by Ho Chi Minh. The coned believes that the recent prominence fAtirera to the Vietnam Socialist Party (wholly controlled by the Communist ?Let Minh League) may indicate that Ho is preparing to reorganize his gerernvaent, at least nominally, to give the appearance of a Vietnam %1,74-minisLvation purged of "extremists" in preparation for new negotia- tions with the french. THE AMERICAS 4. ARGENT/NA: Plans. to develop atomic enemLI enied--US Ambassador Meeseremith deedribes as "utterly fantastic" recent US press reports Ont (a) a German scientist has been invited to Argentina to conduct maearch in nuclear physics, and (b) the Government is planning to tMIe recently-discovered deposits of uranium in the production of Atoltio energy and bombs. The Argentine Foreign Minister, confirming Iflessersmith's opinion, said that though his Government was "natnrally :interasted in determining whether there were deposits of Iteraniwein Ay:gentian, this was the limit of its "real interest." Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 nr, NERAL 20 FEB 1947 1. French commendst view.% on UP: communist oblectivee--According to areatery, tete Arrenci: Comesurdete ies ioaris consider that Me prinsary eeek of the Britteh CrnxununM Pat r at present is to create a united _ event with the left wing of the E.c.hor Party in order to compel the Brit- ish Government to reduce the number of British troops abroad as well me to curtail productien of armaments. Caffery underetands that the Communists have decided to demand demobilizaUen of at least te.o-thirds of the UK Army on the pretext of manpower needs. Caffery adds that among the questions to be discussed at the forthcoming Communist Confereeees in London is the "world crisis eapitalism" which Moscow predicts will reach its peak not later than Lele. All communlet militants rerortedly are to be prepared for "new ingece" vbich may be required wan the crisis reaches its maximum fir)f,neity. (The nineteeeth Congress a the British Communist Party is ezeeduled in London for 22-24 February. It will be followed, during rebrutury4 March, by a conference of the Communist Parties of the British Empire) 2. ITorwary_.t, _fuses to discuss Spitzbegm'exiqp--Foreign tee Lange of Norway has advised US Ambassador Bay that the recent :Iterating resolution, which disapproves further bilateral military nego- %Alone with the USSR cm Spitzbergen, has been transmitted to Molotov. Lave further indicated that (a) while Norway is satisfied with the demilitarization provision of the 920 Treaty, it Wed favor "certain chgrges" in the Treaty, and (h) Norway has offered to continue discus- Nioas with the USSR on the economic aspects of the Treaty, largely as -0, friendly gesture to mitleate effects of the refusal to discuss militarie melon. (CIG Comment: The forthcoming release to the Norwegian press of the text of the Storthee resolution will be an open rebuff to the USSR and will make the USSR's tactical position in respect to bases in the 1\-rettierds decidedly more unfavorable than ft has been at any stage of Rio negotiations. �I � Document No. 0 4 NO CHANGE in ClasS. 0 E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS T444A..SECTREILT DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 g g e Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996-863/3/7-8 By: 0 0 9 %awl 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) %rnoi Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 r:ali .T.OF6,SEOREGP (CIG Comment: Particularly in view of information received on /ow Army and public morale in Greece and on increasing guerrilla CIG believes that the gravity of the Greek political as well as 1-ornic situation should not be minimized.) 1-171P AMERICAS ARGENTINA: Messersmith against US sailors visiting Argentina�US Ambassador Iessersm1t1i1as �oth�iencfI 1ha ersonnerfral the US Navel Task Force participating in the 1 March inauguration of Uruguayan ikient Berreta not be permitted to visit Buenos Aires because their ee would (a) remind the Argentine Government and Naval officials Iliat� US Naval forces were sent to Inaugurations in Chile, Brazil, and Uriumay, but not Argentina, and (b) retard the development of a generally 7iiore friendly attitude toward the US." Uile"Stifreithirmum Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 -11111.111. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 19 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 38 .T.Q.P-orneKie GENERAL 1 9 FEB 1947 303 1. EUROPE 1 USSR: yishinski's views on current twitions--In a recent conversa- tion, Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Vyshinsid told US Ambassador Smith that (a) the USSR is at present unwilling to agree to the flight of foreign planes over its territory; and (b) in his personal opinion, the USSR will not sign the constitution of the International Refugee Organi- zation. Regarding Soviet failure to answer US requests for negotiations on lend-lease settlement, Vyshinski said he would "follow this through personally." US seeks settlement for Austrian oil--The State Department has instructed US Embassy Moscow to inform the Soviet Goverment of the "serious concern" with which the US views the USSR's failure, "despite repeated promises," to compensate US-owned oil companies for products they have been required to deliver to Soviet agencies in Austria. Such failure is described as "completely in violation of well- established principles of international law and commercial practice, as well as the agreed-upon rights of Allied properties in Austria." 4. RUMANIA: ovtts believed unlikely to grant economic relief - has told US Rep- resentative Berry that Rumania has thus far failed to obtain any impor- tant economic concessions or assistance in current negotiations with the USSR. *ered as reasons: (a) Rumanian Communist negotiators, aware of their precarious domestic position, are too hesitant Document No. NO CHANGE in Class. _ 1 _ [7] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date! 27/1/78 By; o 9 , Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 to impress upon the Soviets Rumania's true economic difficulties; (b) although the Soviets desire to aid Rumania economically, their awn in- ternal difficulties make immediate assistance impossible; and (c) the USSR would not dare help Rumania, even if it could, for fear of evoking similar requests from other satellites, such as Hungary, which the USSR "certainly does not wish to assist." FAR EAST 5. CHINA: Stuart's estimate of ChianK's financial measures--Ambassa- dor Stuart comments that the "forthright and statesmanlike" action taken by Chiang Kai-shek and his Government to cope with China's economic and financial crisis will probably have "the immediate if only temporary effect of restoring a degree of public confidence in the Government's ability to meet present problems." However, Stuart (a) questions Whether the Government can effectively enforce its currency And price controls, or collect revenues with the necessary impartiality and vigor; and (b) believes that "only cessation of civil war would create conditions for fiscal and currency stabilization." . On the subject of transportation difficulties (a major factor in China's economic deterioration), Stuart notes that no major rail line r th of the Yangtze has operated continuously during the past six months, and that transportation conditions are now growing worse due to "continuous Communist harassment." THE AMERICAS 6. ARGENTINA: Belmonte denied landing permission�US Ambassador Messersmith reports that Major Belmonte, Bolivian war-time Nazi agent, arrived at Buenos Aires on 16 February and that the Argentine Government, complying with a Bolivian request, has confined him to his ship and professedly plans to return him to Spain on the same vessel. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 1 8 FEB 1947 308 GENERAL 1 Roy Howard to seek all-out aid to Chianz--Ambassador Stuart in Nan- !fhb?, reports that Generalissimo Chiang had a 90-minute conference with Roy Howard and eight US publishers and editors on 14 January and � then granted a 30-minute private interview to Howard which was greatly repented by the eight others. According to the publishers, Chiang made a plea for all-out US support with arms, ammunition, and money and added that with full US support he could suppress the Communists and unity China. Howard, avowedly speaking for the rest of the press party, that the US should change its policy and back the Nationalist Govern- ment fully. Four of the press group took exception to Howard's state- ment and expressed themselves in favor of Secretary Marshall's state- ment to the effect that Chiang must broaden and reorganize his Govern- ment. Howard later told Soong that US actions are all based on the premise that the USSR is the leading military power and the US must be prepared for any eventuality. Ambassador Stuart points out that, as Howard is in complete agreement with the Generalissimo, he can be expected to demand all- out aid for the Chinese Government. 2. Chnesen break off treaty negotiations with Philippines--The Chinese Minister in Manila has told US Ambassador McNutt that he is sending a tormal note to the Philippines Government announcing that the Chinese will break off negotiations for a treaty of amity unless the Philippines Government will accept the draft of December 1946 which it tentatively agreed to but subsequently repudiated. Reasons given for the Chinese move include (a) Philippineterefusal to grant most-favored-nation treat- ment on the issues of immigration, residence, and trade, and (b) Philip- pines' Foreign Office vacillation which the Minister interpreted as a deliberate official anti-Chinese attitude. EUROPE 3. POLAND: New Premier pleads for US aid--The new Socialist Premier of Poland, Cyrankiewicz, has told US Ambassador Lane that, if the US teases its economic assistance to Poland, Polish economic and political dependence on the USSR will be increased. He added that persons in Document No. 041 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 Awmitar Ei DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S ip" DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: �7/3'/7By: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 the Government who had attacked the US did not truly represent the Government's views, and that he and the leaders of the Socialist Party wished to "regain independence" for Poland which would not be possible without closer ties with the West. Lane doubts Cyrankiewices ability o obtain approval by "the Moscow masters of the Polish Government" for such a strong policy. 4. ITALY: pegr3 seen In withdrawal of Allied troops--US Military Attache Rome reports his opini1htff1ie withdrawal of Allied troops win leave Italy "virtually defenseless" before a "mobilized and bellicose Tugosbevia." Re adds that Italy will require at least one year to organize an effective national defense even if given assistance on a large scale by the Western Allies. P ossible frictleiiimon withdrawal to new frontier�US Ambassa- dor Dunn reports that Allied military ai1iorities ti1W believe they will not be in a position to make an "orderly withdrawal" to the new Rao- 'Yugoslav frontier or a "pacific turnover" of areas in Zone A, Venezia Giulia, now held by US and UK troops unless some form of preliminary borndare demarcation has been completed by the time Italy ratifies the Peace Treaty. 5. GREECE: EthrIge dmplzsoncerned over Greek situation�Mark Ethridge reports that the situation in Greece is ditiaiir-ating so rapidly theft the border difficulties may be "solved by default" before the Com- :mission completes its work. Re states that the Soviet delegate and satellite representatives, convinced that Greece will shortly fall within the Soviet orbit, are stalling the progress of the Commission. Ethridge feels that the Soviet belief in the imminent fall of Greece is justified because (a) Greek army enlistments are down; (b) Army desertions have increased with two detachments going over to the guerrillas in the last three days; (c) Army morale is at the "lowest possible;" (d) Corn- =mist membership is increasing, while the Government is losing popular confidence through its ineffectiveness; and (e) the area lost to Government forces is growing. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 FAR EAST 6. CRLNA: chiang's strength apparent Infinancial crisis�US Minister- Conaselor Butterworth reports that in China's curria financial crisis, it has been Chiang Kai-shek, rather than T.V. Soong and his advisers, '1470 hat3 "faced up" to the necessity for strong and really drastic counter-measures. Although Soong offered objections to the economic program ordered by Chiang, the latter "brushed them aside." In Butterworth's opinion, the Generalissimo "grasped the crux of the emergency. . . more clearly than Soong and his technicians" in real- izing that the fundamental need was to preserve the Government's power to govern by ensuring the maintenance of food supply to essential groups. While third party elements are now most reluctant to join the Govern- ment .4.tider current crisis conditions, Butterworth believes that "the Generalissimo can exert sufficient pressure. . . to bring them in." 3 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 17 FEB 1.'347 307 2. 3. Soviet-French air.agi,Neement "compm,glevel"--US Military Attache ictoscow reports that has been "company level" at 'company level" between Air France and Aeroflot (Soviet civil airline) which pro- vides for traffic exchange at Berlin (see Daily Swnmary of 23 January, item 3). The French Air Mission left Moscow on 11 February after failure to negotiate an air agreement at government level. 4. Poles French for Joint declaration on western border�US Ambassa- 3.3(h)(2) dor Caffery"TPi1� that the Poles are again pressing the French to maite some torm ot - "joint declaration," apparently having in mind a guarantee for Poland's western frontier. The Foreign Ministry does not wish to make any "firm declaration" prior to the Moscow Conference, but after the British and Czech pacts are signed, it "will probably" work out an agreement with the Poles. Document No. 04() NO CHANGE in Class. 0 Ei DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 2 7,4.7/ 78 By: 009 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 ILIA-SPORE4P-. EUROPE 5. USSR: Soviets to relax censorship on "conference matters" only-- Soviet Deputy Foreign Minister Vyshinski has informed US Ambassador Smith that there would be no censorship on "conference matters" dur- ing the Moscow CFM meeting. In Smith's opinion, the USSR has no intention of relaxing general censorship for the visiting correspondents. B. GREECE: Ethridermain u rmanent frontier commission--Mark Ethridge, US member 11 St Investigating Commission, has reiterated his belief that the establishment of a permanent Balkan frontier com- mission is essential to the preservation of Greek independence (see Weekly Summary of 7 February, page 4) and that a detailed proposal for such a commission should be prepared by the US delegation to the Investigating Commission. Ethridge reports that such a proposal would be acceptable to the majority of delegates on the Commission. The State Department has informed Ethridge that it may be difficult for It to formulate more than preliminary views on these sub- jects until receipt of facts disclosed by the Commission's investigation. FAR EAST 7. JAPAN: US Adviser OD sesSoviet r.s2.--The Acting US Political Adviser to SCAP has expressed tds opposition to a Soviet proposal that a Far Eastern Commission draft paper on assured mini- mum production capacity levels for Japan be amended so as to require that SCAP consult with the Allied Council in the designation of individual plants for retention. The Adviser considers that the proposed amend- ment would violate the FEC's terms of reference and would constitute an unwarranted assumption by the Far Eastern Commission of executive authority over SCAP. The Adviser believes it to be a move toward the establishment of a direct relationship between the Allied Council and the FEC. (When the Soviet delegate introduced the proposal at the 6 February FEC meeting, none of the other delegates supported it.) 8 CHINA: Private holdinss removed from Shansrhai bstakia. -2 4 rti I Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 (tau Comment: The broad financial regulations announced on Th February did not include nationalization of gold or foreign currencies, probably because the Government realized that such action would be im- pxucticable.) THE AMERICAS 9. BOLIVIA: New plea forWh.21.L. t4Rxrice--ITS Ambassador Flack reports that both presidential candidates have informed him that, in their opinion (a) an increase in the price of tin is the key to the new government s ability to succeed; (b) if the increased price is not obtained, both extreme leftist and Communist elements may join the MNR Party (principal sup- porters of the late President Villarroel) in attempting to create chaos; and (c) without XIS aid, conditions in Bolivia would become worse than they were under Villarroel. The candidates declared that Bolivia prefers not to limit its freedom of action by accepting a loan from Argentina. -3 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 1 5 FEB 1947 38 Document No. 03-9 NO CHANGE in Class. E] 0 DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Date: 27/.577-43 Bi: 0C9 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 14 FEB 1947 305 1. Soviet tactics to retain contra in occu countadinThe g 3.3(h)(2) General US Forces in Austria has learnec 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) that 12,961 of the ouvact Lroops awns:comma in austria up to ii uecember 1946 have been placed as follows: 4,207 in industrial plants In Austria under Soviet control, 312 on Austrian farms likewise under Soviet control, and 3,120 in the MVD (Soviet Secret Police) in Austria. The remainder (5,322) were sent by the Soviet Transportation Office to Hungary and Saxony. The Commanding General comments that while these are the first specific figures, a number of simi/ar reports have indicated that the Soviets would use methods of this kind in an effort to retain control in Austria after the occupation. a has learne that a transition trom ooviet mmtary to pouttcat and economic control is indicated by the arrival in Bulgaria of Soviet officers and civil dependents, and by the Increased number of Soviet officers appearing in civilian clothes. (CIO Comment: This evidence is consistent with a number of previous reportsindicating the methods by which the 'USSR may seek to retain control of occupied areas after the "withdrawal" of Soviet troops. It is believed that similar tactics are being employed in Rumania, Hungary and Poland.) FAR EAST 3. JAPAN: MacArthur opposes V.IFTU visit to Japan.--Cancelling his offer of last August to admit a World Federation of Trade Unions' delegation to Japan, General MacArthur declares that changed conditions in the Japanese labor movement make this visit "extremely undesirable at this time." He believes that current unrest of Japanese labor under Communist influence would only be aggravatedpoeument No. (33 NO CHANGE in Class. 0 17] DECLASSIFIED Class, CHANGED TO: TS S lier"Stheittif DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 VIM" Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863aZ1,317-(5_ By 0 09 - 1 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 2$ FEe , 304 THE C.I.A. HAS NO OBJECTION TO THE DECLASSIFICATION OV THIS DOCUMENT. No. QO 1. Clark's comments on 03.1...s.Lnieeting - -General Clark reports that he does not recommend continuing the work of the Deputies' Coun- cil beyond 25 February as "no worthwhile results will be obtained" (see Daily Summary of 11 February, item 2). He adds that any conces- sions to be obtained from the USSR "will be more readily forthcoming In Moscow than here." Clark believes that the Soviets have "sabotaged progress on the Treaty from the outset" and that they want a treaty which will "sanction their interference at any time in the internal affairs of Austria." NEAR EAST-AFRICA 2. IRAN: Apparent Soviet retrenchment--US Ambassador Allen reports as significantrea-Ei�es oftwriactics in Iran: (a) the closing of the Soviet Consulate General at Shiraz, capital of Fars Province; (b) the apparent discontinuance of activities by the pro-Soviet Tudeh Party In Fars; and (c) the markedly friendly attitude which Soviet diplomats have recently adopted towards Iranians and foreigners alike (see Daily Summary of 6 February, item 5). (CIG Comment: The Consulate General at Shiraz has long been the USSR's principal post in southern Iran. Its closing may presage Soviet withdrawal from the south as a conciliatory gesture to the British In the hope of obtaining a freer hand in the north.) FAR EAST 3, CHINA: Embassy stresses gravity of Chinese situation�Commenting on the Central Government 's request for US economic aid (see Daily Summary of 8 February, item 7), US Embassy Nanking notes that the speed of China's economic and political disintegration will increase with the continuation of hyperinflation. While an UNRRA or Exim Bank loan would be "of immediate psychological and political assistance," the Embassy emphasizes that such loans would give only temporary support to China's fast-dwindling foreign exchange assets, and would "not make a significant dent" on internal inflation accompairring the -1 Document No. Off 7 40 CHANGE in Class. o ID DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS Verr'Sreit�FriF DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 onrt uth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO299-6863.3/78 BY: 0 0.9 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Pt;! civil conflict. In the Embassy's opinion, the "gravest political aspect" of China's situation is the decline in the power of the Central Govern- ment which will find it increasingly difficult to command allegiance of its military forces and government personnel. Moreover, the Embassy adds, the Communists can force an insoluble economic situation upon the Government by continuing to disrupt communications and by com- pelling the Government to make excessive military expenditures. 4. FRENCH INDOCHINA: Im Mations in recall of D'A Con- sul Saigon believes that L reciaThrgh Commissioner D'Argenlieu probably means that the French are abandoning a solution by force and the policy of divide and rule. The new High Commissioner will probably not have the same powers as D'Argenlieu and will be guided to a greater degree by policy decisions of the Government in France. D'Argenlieu's departure will be welcomed by a "great majority" because no real pro- gress toward a settlement of the Vietnam question was possible under his administration. 5. N.E.I.: lautnitEr_silver impasse In negotiations--US Consul General Batavia reports that pessimism is increasing over the impasse in Dutch-Indonesian negotiations which was brought about by Indonesian rejection of Dutch interpretations of the Agreement of 15 November 1946. The Commander In Chief of the Indonesian Army has issued orders to prepare for a campaign of destruction and sabotage, and the belief is growing that President Soekarno either does not desire a general agreement or that he cannot control his military command- ers. Dutch business and governmental circles feel that the signing of the November Agreement will only mark the beginning of the real trou- bles. THE AMERICAS 6. ARGENTINA: State Department's views on Argentine tments-- In reply to US Ambassador Messersmitlie recent comments on Argen- tina's Chapultepec commitments (see Daily Summary of 10 February, item 7), the State Department has advised Embassy Buenos Aires that the Department (a) does not understand that Argentina has "yet met the test", and (b) will "accordingly await developments." - 2 - 1? SECRET Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 .01149?"9E18+1.E.T....01 7. PANAMA: Secret note rocedure on defense site criticized--Accord- ing to the US Commanding General Caribbean, Panama' proposal to embody parts of the new defense sites agreement in secret notes would lay the US Army open to attack by persons not aware of contents of such secret notes (see Daily Summary of 5 February, Item 7). - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 12 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 12 FEB 1947 303 1. US su rt ur ed for Polish claims to Western Territory--US Embassy Warsaw disagrees wi US mbassy oscow s recommendation that the US adopt a "firm stand on principle" for the return to Germany of at least part of the Polish-administered Western Territory (see Daily Summary of-5 February, item 1). Embassy Warsaw feels that the US would lose the support of the Polish people (90% of whom are now pro-US), and that from a long-range view the US must continue to support them in their struggle against Communism. The Embassy agrees that the US will fail to prevent retention of this area by Poland, but with reference to the matter of Embassy Moscow's prediction that US support of Germany would "cut the ground out from under the Ger- man Communists" expresses its belief that, on the contrary, apparent Inability of the US to enforce its views would be interpreted by the Germans as a sign of weakness. 2. Progress of Sino-Soviet negotiations on Dairen and Changchun RR-- US Consul General Miltden reports evidence that both Soviets and Chinese in Mukden have received indi- cations of an early arrival of Soviet personnel for the Chinese C chun Railway. US Embassy Nanking states, however. tha deni�hat any agreement with the USSR concerning the railway has been reached or is exp ripe] nnrin negotiations are now in progre s regarcung !Omen tsee uatiy summary of 2 January, item 3), rio but gave the impression that the Chinese Government will attempt to get the port openbefore settling other questions connected with the Sino-Soviet treaty of August 1945. 3. China's ppitsy_toward'Indochina�US Ambassador Stuart estimates that Chinese policy toward Indochina is directed basically toward a regime under either the influence or direct control of the Chinese Central Government, and is motivated by the ICuomintang's fear of encirclement by Communist states and its desire to appear as a leader of Asiatic peoples. In the implementation of this policy, China would prefer either a trusteeship in which it would have the ruling voice, or a regime headed by a Chinese nominee with only formal - 1 - 741131,TECREc I LA Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 Document No. (13 6- NO CHANGE in ClasS. 0 D DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 . 66.66686373/76 By: �C1-9 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 French connections. Reference of the case to the UN might prevent such Chinese control, though it would discredit France and the Vietnam Communists. If the present Chinese Government attains some measure of Internal stability, Stuart expects a Chinese-inspired campaign for the protection of "oppressed' Chinese in southern areas, followed by developments on the 1938 Sudetenland pattern. 4. Remt_ed revo.Litis_aina 1.9.t wt Cuba and Venezuela According to US Ambassador Norweb, the US Military Attache Havana of a plot of Cuban exiles and others, including ex-President Lopez Contreras of Venezuela, which is allegedly being organized in Miami against the governments of Cuba and Venezuela. The first action pre- dicted by the informant would be an invasion of Venezuela by revolution- ary forces within four to ten days, after which Lopez Contreras would enter Venezuela from Colombia. (CIG Comment: A revolutionary movement against the Govern- ment of Venezuela has been in the organizational stage for several months.) EUROPE 5. SPAIN: Troops reduced on Pyrenees frontier--US Embassy Madrid has learned hat Spanish troops on the kyrenees rrontier are being reduced from 160-180,000 to 110,000 men. In the Embassy's opinion, this reduction is intended (a) to reduce the economic burden of the Government, (b) to improve Army morale, and (c) to justify a request for some reciprocal gesture by the French. 6. GREECE: flamers involved in case of_filLanslasol_lappis--US Ambassa- dor MacVeagh reports that the Porter Economic Mission is concerned with fundamentally the same external threat to Greece as is the SC Border Commission. The Soviets are completely aware that, even if the SC Commission thwarts their aims in northern Greece, a financial collapse would bring about a revolution led or dominated by Commu- nists. Such a revolution would lead to Soviet control of Greece and - 2 - Li Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 7 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 subsequently of the entire Near East. Ma.cVeagh says that to prevent a financial collapse "a premium of not only five but of many_ times five million dollars would seem cheap insurance for the US." NEAR EAST-AFRICA 8, PALESTINE: Arabs a Embassy London reports door on future negotiations ear will to continue n otiations�US rab e egates have not closed the FAR EAST 9. CHINA: Communist del tion asked to leave N. � -US Embassy Nanking reports that the Governments notified e ommunist delegation that its presence is no longer desired in Nanking. THE AMERICAS 10. PERU:Lreds fears civil war�President Bustama.nte has told US Ambassador Cooper that (a) rightists and members of Peru's left-wing - 3 - 1 L. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 -+Eif-Steitt4F�, Apra Party (increasingly at odds with each other) are preparing for a showdown and may provoke at any time an incident which could develop into civil war; (b) in spite of the increasing influence of both groups in the Army and Air Corps, top ranking Army officers could maintain discipline and would be loyal to the Government in the event of crisis; and (c) in order to obtain needed US credits, he hopes to submit a debt formula in the near future providing for the liquidation of Peru's outstanding dollar debt. Triati4 Approved for Release: 2018/09%26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 11 FEB 1947 302 1. USSR-France wish drastic Ausialans�General Clark reports that France and the USSR are insisting that military and air restrictions more drastic than those included in the "satellite" treaties be written into the Austrian Treaty. These restrictions are intended to prevent Germany from using Austria as an "experimental laboratory" for the development of new weapons. ihe US, which opposes the French and Soviet proposals, is decidedly in the minority. Clark notes that "such restrictions will facilitate exertion of Soviet pressure and war of nerves against future Austria." 2. Slow progress on Austrian Draftylrjaq.�The State Department has advised General Clark that in view of the shortness of time remaining before the 25 February deadline when the Austrian Treaty will be due, and the slow rate of progress being made, it may become desirable to leave important issues open for discussion by the Foreign Ministers, or even to postpone the Treaty. The Department states that present haste should not be allowed to jeopardize Austria's basic independence, sovereignty, or chance of economic survival. 3. Evidence of lar -scale Soviet withdrawals from Austria�US Military Attache Prague has received reports, which he has every reason to believe" are accurate, of large-scale Soviet troop movements from Vienna toward the USSR via Budapest and the Carpatho-Ukraine. The scheduled withdrawal reportedly calls for seven passenger express trains and twenty troop trains between 4 February and 20 February. A total of 3,000 Soviet military vehicles will travel the highway paralleling the above route, between 15 February and I May. EUROPE 4. YUGOSLAVIA: UNRRA extension discouraged�Commenting on its "understanding" that UNRRA liemay be extended thirty days, US Embassy Belgrade recommends that no additional rehabilitation assistance be furnished Yugoslavia, because all regional and branch offices of UNRRA have been closed and there would, therefore, be no Document NO CHANGE in Clan. - I - E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 DDA REG. 77/1763 W4914-SeeitEPT thie 0 Auth: Date: 271-1/73' By: ()09 Approved for Release: 2018709/26 CO2996863 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 wormisitiLigtetririo adequate system for observation and control of distribution. (The Embassy previously reported that the Yugoslav Government has not satisfactorily accounted for profits received from sale of UNRRA goods, nor for the distribution of UNRRA supplies processed in Yugo- slav factories; see Daily Summary of 4 February, item 4.) 5. ALBANIA: Withdrawal of tro_om--Former Actin US Renresentative Henderson, has received a report t (a) the Albanian Army is rapidly being demobilized; ulk of troops along the Greek border are being withdrawn; (c) many troops have been sent home on indefinite leave. Henderson concludes that these moves are unquestionably in preparation for the UN investigating commission. 3.3(h)(2) 6 Novi NEAR EAST-AFRICA 7. BURMA: A_walan's reactions to London Conference--US Consul General Rangoon reports that in a recent interview Aung San appeared less confident than he had been before the London Conference, Aung San regards the conclusion of an agreement with the hill states and the convening of a Constituent Assembly as the two most important problems facing the Government of Burma. With reference to the military provisions in the Burmese-British agreement, Aung San de- clared that British troops might be stationed in Burma "for a long time to come." - 2 - rt:22 Approved for Release: 2618/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 10 FEB n4/ 301 GENERAL EUROPE 2. FRANCE: Bidault loom on #ro..sal for German -Foreign Minister Bidault has to m assa..r a erg, a a iscussion of French views on a German settlement, that he realized neither the US, UK nor USSR would approve the French position. Mulct added that France is a defeated country whose "dream of restoring her power and glory at this juncture seems far from reality." 3. UK: Effects of coal crisis�US Embassy London considers that (a) coal- stock exhaustion th� ut the UK is now such that the country can only "limp through" until mid-April, even with improved weather; and (b) although rumors of a Government crisis or attempt to form a Coalition are to be discounted, the Labor Government is facing its "first real loss" of public support. 4. CZECHOSLOVAKIA: Reported infiltration by Soviets�General McNarney reports from Frankfurt that, according to "independent sources," Soviet troops in civilian clothes infiltrated during December "on a consider- able scale" from Germany into Czechoslovakia. McNarney comments that "there may be some connection" between this reported infiltration Document No. VO CHANGE in Class. 0 Aggdiggi - 1 - E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 ate;7',/,7/7c4 By; 009 ' Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 A Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 and the intense Soviet exploitation of possible sources of uranium- bearing ores in northern Czechoslovakia. According to US Military Attache Stockholm, a prominent Slovak geologist recently asserted in Sweden that the Soviets have "completely excluded" all Czechoslovaks from the uranium-deposit areas along the German border. FAR EAST 5. CHINA: ChiAnt " ovemment reorganization-President Chiang has told US Ambassador Stuart he lth actively exploring the details of government reorganization. Chiang tends to favor the estab- lishment of a State Council with "real authority" for the interim period, together "with changes elsewhere in the Government, except in the Executive Yuan where considerations of practical administration are more acute." The Generalissimo described the financial position as "acute" and expressed strongly the hope that a loan from the US could be promptly approved (see Daily Summary of 8 February, item 7). 'Gross inepMtude" shown in announcing elmr..Lsjasiiktel--US Treasury Attache Nanking reports that the manner in which the Central Government announced its export subsidy and import surchare pro- gram on 5 February was "characterized by gross Ineptitude.' In prior discussions (see Daily Summary of 7 February, item 5), this program was considered as an alternative to adjusting the official exchange rate, but when the program was announced, the Government failed to assure the public that no change in the exchange rate was contemplated. There- fore, the Chinese people naturally view the new program as a prelude to exchange adjustment. (CIG Comment: In the few days since the program was announced, open market prices for commodities, gold, and foreign currencies in Shanghai have risen so violently that the bulk of the benefits that might accrue from the export subsidy plan already have been eliminated.) 6. NEW ZEALAND: Forces 1zJpan Military Attache Wellington believes that the current drive to recruit 4,000 volunteers to replace the New Zealand occupation force in japan will fail because of publicity given poor conditions in Japan and because of the demand for labor in industry. If it does, the MA adds, New Zealand will seek a reduction in the size of its occupation force. - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 THE AMERICAS 7. ARGENTINA: Messersmith r � PN:: on A tine "tom iliance"--U8 Ambassador Messersm repo tt e Argentine .-rnment has (a) fully complied with its obligations respecting schools, institutions, and propaganda tainted with Nazi or Fascist doctrines; (b) taken such "thoroughgoing" action with regard to enemy property as to cover all firms of any importance in which the UI( and US "found any reason to believe there was any enemy interest," and (c) instituted "extraordinary steps" to apprehend those enemy aliens included in a recent decree who have not yet been arrested, so that at least the "principal persons" among them will, "it is hoped," be sent to Germany on "an Argentine vessel which it is expected will leave within a maximum of several weeks." With the deportation of this "further group," Messersmith adds, "the moment will have arrived for the US to recognize that the Argentine has substantially and reasonably complied with its obligations respecting enemy aliens," and to etate that "the way is open to the hold- ire of the Rio meet:lug." -3 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 EUROPE 8 FEB 1947 300 1. USSR: EmiaatjAto_stat_nts on Soviet demobilization�US Embassy Moscow believes that one of the reasons for the recently-decreed fifth phase of Soviet demobilization is the serious manpower shortage in industry and agriculture. 2. RUMANIA: Food shipments to the USSR--US Representative Berry has been informe hat during the period 8-28 Janu- ary !Rumania delivered 21,975 metric tons of cereals to the USSR under the Armistice agreement (Rumania has appealed to the International Emergency rood Council for relief shipments of 1,000,000 tons of corn, and near starvation prevails in many areas of the country; see Daily Summaries of 27 January, item 6, and of 6 February, item 4.) 3. FRANCE: "Conciliatory" policy toward Indochina�Foreign Minister Bidault has told US Ambassador Caffery that the trench Government "would without question be generous and conciliatory" in Indochina and is "more than anxious to find a peaceful, liberal solution" as soon as possible. 4. GREECE: Soviet SC Dele_mt. ago_m_intunal_arik--Ambassador MacVeagh reports that the Soviet delegate on the UN commission investigating alleged violations of the Greek border is attempting to focus attention on Greek internal strife. MacVeagh adds that the Greek Foreign Minister has addressed an "excited protest" to the UN, and that the Greek press has been erroneously informed that the SC com- mission has "formally intervened" in asking the Greek Government to postpone certain executions. Mark Ethridge, the US delegate, notes an apparent tendency on the part of the UN representative on the com- mission, Lund, to cooperate with the Soviets. Document No: � 0 3,3 NO CHANGE in Class. ID DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 tete: 27737/78 By; (209,, Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 s. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 NEAR EAST-AFRICA 6. IRAN: Qavam hones for international oil agreement�US Ambassador Allen reports that � avam his expressed the hope that some kind of international agreement in the field of petroleum will be reached in time to furnish a basis for him to insist upon provisions in the Soviet concession which adequately protect Iranian interests. Qavam also. told Allen that although he does not wish to retire he realizes the force of arguments presented to the Shah by his opponents that someone not personally committed to the Soviet oil agreement, which was obtained from him under pressure, should be allowed to take over. (See following pages) 2 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 FAR EAST 7. CHINA: Central Government enters new lea for US aid--On 5 Febru- ary, T.V.,Soong handed US Ambassador Stuart a memorandum giving statistical support to the Chinese claim that their economic and finan- cial situation had abruptly deteriorated in recent weeks (see Daily Summary of 5 February, item 6). In an accompanying aide-memoire, Soong stated that, although the Central Government had hoped to re- organize the State Council and Executive Yuan before asking for US financial aid, the economic situation has forced its hand. Be therefore suggested an immediate credit of US $150 million for imports of cotton (and possibly wheat), and proposed that John Blandford, American adviser to the Executive Yuan on budget and governmental reorganiza- tion, visit the United States "before General Marshall leaves for Mos- cow" to explore the possibilities of further US assistance. On the previous day, Blandford had discussed the entire pro- blem with US Embassy Nanking and had pointed out that without US support, the Central Government's efforts toward democratic reorgan- ization were jeopardized because (a) "groups and individuals were afraid to be associated with it;" and (b) "Soong could not carry on his fight" with Kuomintang reactionaries and militarists. Blandford added that in its present weakened position, with dwindling foreign exchange resources, the Government could not plan a reasonable course of eco- nomic and financial action until it obtained more information on US will- ingness to offer aid. , The Embassy, while not minimizing China's "current acute difficulties and the eventual gravity of the situation," believes that "Soong and his entourage are showing all the symptoms of an incipient and partly self-engendered panic." Soviet Folic in Manchuria and Daireli--Ambassador Stuart also reports that Ch nese officials appear pessimistic regarding access to Dairen because local negotiations between Chinese and Soviet Military Commanders in Manchuria have achieved no results. In Stuart's opinion, Soviet looting in Manchuria and the denial of the port of Dairen tc Chinese National authorities has had the effect of stalling Nationalist nolitical control and economic rehabilitation, thus perpetuating condi- tions which discredit the Central Government and further Soviet efforts to integrate Manchurian economy with that of eastern Siberia. Stuart believes that the Central Government will probably be unable to reduce - � _ Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Soviet economic control over Manchuria and Dairen and that such control is likely to become more stringent in the immediate future. Stuart considers that the US should prevent the Soviet Union from exploiting its position in Manchuria to the disadvantage of both China and the US. 8. NEI: Dutch im ,ose stri ent trade controls on Re lican ports-- According to US Consul eneral Batavia, it is expected that the Dutch Navy will be "very strict" in enforcing the recent Netherlands Indies Government decrees on import and export trade through Republican ports. Ships bound for such ports will have to stop first at Dutch ports and the Dutch will seize as contraband (a) all goods of direct or indirect military use; (b) all transportation, radio and telephone equip- ment; and (c) gold, silver and currencies. On out-bound ships, the Dutch may confiscate, as the produce of European-owned estates, such Important exports as tea, palm oil, Javanese coffee and cane sugar, and Javanese and North Sumatran rubber, tobacco, and fibers. THE AMERICAS 9. BOLIVIA: Serious Indian uprate--US Ambassador Flack reports that an Indian urrising o serious proportions broke out on 5 February, but that army and rolice troops are believed to have the situation under control. He adds that the uprising appears to have been (a) instigated by the MNR party which supported the late rresident Villarroel, and (b) supported by pro-MNIZ miners who furnished dynamite to the Indians (see Daily Summaries of 25 January, item 8Iand 31 January, item 6). T4iP�SEeltfilia Approved for Release: 201'8/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 1 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 7 FEB 1947 299 EUROPE 2. USSR: Annual_peacetime inductions to average to --US Military Attache Moscow has learnec that Chief of the Soviet General Staff Vassilevsky recently told Field Marshal Montgomery that peacetime inductions into the Soviet armed forces would average between 750,000 and 1,000,000 men yearly. Soviet press blasts conditions in western Germalm--According to US Embassy Moscow, the Soviet press recently has erupted with a series of particularly violent attacks on conditions in the Western Zones of Germany, obviously in preparation for the Moscow Conference. Chief among the charges are that: (a) the USSR has complied with the Potsdam Agreement by eradicating the German war potential in the Soviet one but in the Western Zones the US and UK have not done so; (b) formation of trade unions has been obstructed in the Western Zones; (c) the US and the UK have hindered the payment of reparations from their Zones; (d) the unification of the US and British Zones results in the splitting up of the German economy, and creates an Anglo-US monopoly which aims at preventing joint allied management of the Ruhr; and (e) this unification is connected with Churchill's plan for a united Europe. 3, BULGARIA: Government moves to eliminate Opposition--US Repre- sentative Barnes reports cancellation of Parliamentary immunity and subsequent arrest of an Opposition deputy in the Grand National Assembly as "evidence of Communist designs that might render early US recog- nition difficult, if not impossible. Barnes believes that the Communist- Document No. - 1 - NO CHANGE in ClasS. 0 fl DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Approved for Release 2018/09/26 CO299686T 7/....V.761 By: (30 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 dominated Government is determined to drive all Opposition leaders from the Assembly and to impose police sanctions which will eliminate any effective opposition to the Communist Party (see Weekly Summary of 7 February, rage 1). 4. ITALY: Ambassador Pleatpotentiamto skn peace tr_Egy--US Ambassa- dor Dunn has been informed by the Secretary General of the Foreign Office that an Ambassador Plenipotentiary has been designated to sign the peace treaty on behalf of Italy. (CIG Comment: The Cabinet has apparently finally assumed responsibility for signing the tre, after an unsuccessful effort to shift the burden to the Constituent Assembly.) FAR EAST 5 CHINA: Foreign exche bankrupcy_mected in six months�US Treasury Attache Adler reports that at a 4 February conference (attended by T.V. Soong, Governor Pet of the Central Hank of China, their advisers, and himself), concerning the alternatives of either depreciating the official exchange value of the CN dollar further or placing subsidies on exports and surcharges on certain imports, the atmosphere was "one of deep pessimism. The Chinese stated that their foreign exchange assets would last "only six mnnths nr sn and ... anything could happen then." the alternative of depreciation was rejected mainly because of .!'inevitability of military demand for increased appropriations in case of a general mark-up of prices." Adler comments that "it is to be feared that such a demand will ensue in any case." -2 1,1! 11177.74 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 � Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 6 FEB 1947 798 1. pitjtislyli UN disarmament commission.--US Delegate to the UN Austin reports thatin a meeting of the Security Council's sub-com- mittee concerned with armament reduction, Soviet Delegate Gromyko refused to incorporate in the resolution a statement that the new UN committee on reduction of armaments "shall not infringe upon the competence" of the Atomic Energy Commission. As a result, Austin adds, the other members of the sub-committee have become increas- ingly suspicious of Gromyko's intentions on the entire proposal for a disarmament commission. EUROPE 2. SPAIN: Extremist pressure /or deal with USSR--US Embassy Madrid believes that "certain extremist Falangists" are urging Franco to "make a deal with the Kremlin" as the only way to overcome Spain's present international difficulties. (For at least six months rumors of secret Soviet-Spanish negotiations have been repeatedly reported and denied.) 3. 4. RUMANIA: Groza "yearns" to res--According to US Representa- tive Berry, Prime Minister Groza recently told a former cabinet member representing the Opposition that "diminishing success" in impeding Soviet and Rumanian Communist extremism made him "yearn" to resign, but that he could not do so except by Soviet order. Groza added that the Communists are making plans to capitalize upon any popular outbreaks resulting from the food shortage to request the reten- tion of Soviet troops after the peace treaty becomes effective. Pocument NO: Oil NO CHANGE in Class. E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26Z02-9-96363 /r6 BY: Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Food situation deteriorating�According to US Delegate Allied Control Commission, a recent survey of economic conditions in Bucha- rest by a group of US welfare experts indicates that (a) starvation in Bucharest may be expected after 1 March unless food stocks are exten- sively augmented; (b) the Government's forced collection program is rapidly transforming a regional problem into a national calamity; and (c) even if the US makes substantial food shipments, the lack of storage and transportation facilities will probably prevent any improvement in the situation. NEAR EAST-AFRICA 5. IRAN: SAILetatnerosi " towards Iran�US Ambassador Allen reports that the willingness of the Soviets to return to Iran trucks carried across the border by retreating Azerbaijanis has surprised the Iranians who are unable to understand the motive behind this "generosity." Allen adds that most commentators connect it with Soviet desires to act correctly during the period prior to discussion of the oil concession In the Majlis. The US Military Attache Tehran reports further evidence of such "generosity" in the recall from Iran of certain Soviet consuls who were closely associated with the Azerbaijan Democrats. - 2 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 5 FEB 1947 297 1. US 2pmgit1on urged to Polish claims to reste_ml_aerrito --US Embassy Moscow, while conceding that there is no way of inducing the Polish and Soviet Governments to relinquish to Germany the Polish-administered Western Territory if they decide to remain there, nevertheless favors a "firm stand on principle" for the return of at least a part of this area to Germany. The Embassy notes that the Itreralin's main objective is the domination of Germany through the Socialist Unity Party (SED), and believes that US counter-strategy should be to support German claims to this much-needed agricultural area, thereby cutting the ground from under the German Communists. 2. EUROPE 3. SPAIN: Possible Monarchlst-.Democrattc Affiance agreement Charge Madrid has been advised that Monarchist groups may "possibly" reach agreemunx witrin a few days with the Democratic Alliance, a group made up chiefly of non-Communist leftists. (CIG Comment: Because of many internal conflicts on both sides, an effective alliance between Monarchists and moderate leftists is un- likely soon.) 4. AUSTRIA: 12ilecilatrAnns seen as major obstacle to treaty--Gener- al Clark reports that the Df's in Atiitiiii�e�Far one of the major obstacles to successful conclusion of the Austrian treaty." Re believes that the majority will find no asylum anywhere but in Germany. Document No� NO CHANGE in Class. 0 - 1 - E] DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS PPEWINISEeRTIP�mo DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 Auth: DDA REG. 77/1763 , CAUnidiefftTi, /7c9 BY: 009 - Approved for Release: 2016/09/26 CO2996863 � Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 5. BULGARIA: Government rem...110 unlike' to can out trea terms-- US Representative Barnes reports that he has yet to hear any person In Sofia," either Bulgarian or foreign, express a belief that the Bulgar- ians will carry out any treaty terms that a Soviet-supported government considers onerous, or that they will diminish their efforts to regain Western Thrace and to implement creation of a South Slav Federation which will include Greek Macedonian territory. FAR EAST 6. CHINA: US economic aid so ht Central Government--T.V. Soong has expressed to US Embassy Nanking his extreme concern over the abrupt deterioration in China's economic and financial situation, and claims that if US aid is not forthcoming very soon, "the organized Communists, who had armed forces to back them, . . would take power." By way of constructive political proposals, Soong said that he favored (a) immediate constitution of the State Council (reserving seats for the Communists) with very substantial powers and policy responsibilities, and (b) formation of a coalition Executive Yuan. The Embassy, however, believes that the main danger in China is not a "dramatic economic collapse" but an "insidious economic and political disintegration," which will progressively weaken the de facto authority of the Central Government, lead to a revival of regionalism and warlordism, and increase the Communists' activities. The Embassy considers that the Communists are more likely to spread their influence and heighten unsettlement in Central Government areas, than to take over the whole country. The Embassy adds that both Chiang Kai-shek and Soong seem "unsure as to what the next move should be." THE AMERICAS 7. PANAMA: "Executive a eement" for sites iro � osed--According to US AmbassaWms, e anarnan an ore ice now proposes an "executive agreement" on the defense sites couched in general terms and designed for public consumption, which would give the impression that the occupation of the sites would be a joint undertaking of the two Governments. The legal specifications of the agreement, however, would - 2 - IrrsTreRFArrummimd Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 rinpr taji be contained in an exchange of notes not to be made public. Hines states that the President and Cabinet appear to have decided to make no further Issue of (a) Interpretation of the 1942 agreement; (b) return,or symbolic return, of sites presently held; or (c) request for an interim agreement. 8. PERU: Reguest for new US loan--The Peruvian Foreign Minister has appealed to US AMbassador Cooper for aid in obtaining from the Export- Import Bank a loan without which, the Foreign Minister asserts, the Bustamante Government "might fall." Cooper replied that (a) no loan would be forthcoming until a satisfactory settlement of Peru's dollar debt had been reached,and (b) if President Bustamante would sponsor such a settlement, the Peruvian Senate would promptly pass it. -3 Tors-80�44.R.T.0 _nip! itteir,nti Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 1 2. Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL OP 4 FEB 1947 296 EUROPE 3. GERMANY: S_pyletrerermamsIxonomic uni Soviet Zone Deputy for Economics, has asked the Economic Director In the US Office of Military Government for US economic-unity pro- posals "in writing" in order to avoid an "unexpected proposal" at the Moscow Conference. He stated Soviet prerequisites for economic unifi- cation to be: (a) satisfaction of Soviet reparations demands; and (b) settlement of certain political questions involving the creation of a pro- visional central government. 4. YUGOSLAVIA: Intigi...9Aal i_zIsi.ilt_ht.E9A-UNRALLeltdr-US Charge Hickok, in a comment on the $68,200,000 Yugoslav relief estimate approved by the UN Committee on post-UNRRA Relief, states his be- lief that "on exclusively economic grounds" no further relief grants to Yugoslavia should be made unless the Yugoslav Government: (a) Justifies the maintenance of an army which drains 51% of the national budget and takes relief supplies and men away from reconstruction work; (b) satisfactorily accounts for profits from sale of UNRRA goods, now Document No. 029 - 1 NO CHANGE in Class. El - LI DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 ituth: DDA REG. 77/1763 ..71....717...c9 By: 005 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 estimated at over $350,000,000; (c) accounts for the distribution of all UNRRA supplies processed in Yugoslav factories; and (d) presents foreign trade data and explains its heavy export balance to the USSR. THE AMERICAS 6. NICARAGUA: AimeHo "victory" considered rigged--US Embassy Managua reports its belief that the Somoza administration "has made effective use of its control over the ballot boxes to have Arguello declared the victor" in the Presidential elections. The Embassy adds that, while the populace is sullen, the Opposition apparently is not ready for violence now. -2 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 1 2 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL FEB 1947 295 3. Possible French deal with USSR on Gernian_y�US Ambassador Caffery has gained the impression that the French Ambassador to Moscow has been instructed to tell Stalin that France will agree to Germany's present eastern frontier with Poland and to the USSR's position on reparations from current production, if the USSR in return will agree to economic union of the Saar with France and to a satisfactory internationalization of the Ruhr. EUROPE 4. GERMANY: Soviet Intransigence in Kommandatura�Acting US Political Adviser Mucci� reports from Berlin that in Kommandatura meetings the Soviet, member has continued his unilateral actions in regard to (a) the Document NO: COC, mm.mammi NO CHANGE in Class. fl DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS S DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 � 1 - Auth: DDA REG.. 77/1783 sat" ItY/ 78 BY: 0 0.3, TAU Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 seating of new members of the Magistrat councillors and (b) the distri- bution of electrical power in Berlin. Mucci� states that the Soviet mem- ber remained "obstructive and provocative" until "stopped" by the US member,who said the Soviet member's remarks were "bordering on the Insulting and had strained his tolerance"; and that the Kommandatura had "degenerated into a dog fight." NEAR EAST-AFRICA 5, INDIA: Situation deteriorates--US Embassy New Delhi reports that (a) the majority of Congress Party members appear determined to pro- ceed with the Constituent Assembly regardless of the Moslem League's refusal to participate, as was decided at the League Working Committee's recent meeting; (b) champs of the Assembly's materializing as envisaged in the British Cabinet Mission plan have been further reduced by the Indian Princes' annoyance over passage by the Assembly of Nehru's "objectives resolution" (that India shall become a sovereign, independent republic); and (c) the Viceroy himself is undecided as to what steps can now be taken to resolve the impasse. � FAR EAST PHILIPPINES: �Aps_e_me Court rules on collaborationists--US Ambassa- dor McNutt reports that on 31 January the Philippine Supreme Court, by a vote of 9 to 2, rejected the argument that Filipinos, because of "sus- pended sovereignty," could not have committed treason during the Japa- nese occupation (see Daily Summary of 29 January, item 7). McNutt adds that this decision is particularly important because the People's Court (which is trying the collaboration cases) has been given a "new lease of life." 1. CHINA: Soviet plans to open Dairen hinted- a Soviet newspaper publisher, who is connected with Soviet intelligence, has stated that Dairen will be opened to foreigners this summer and has tentatively offered jobs there to Russian detectives in the Shanghai Municipal Police. - 2 - 74916�43r,tAtr, r Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 THE AMERICAS 8. MEXICO: possible attepl�ad cattle disease to US--US Ambassa- dor Thurston reports that although in his opinion there will be no "exten- sive, organized' effort on Mexico's part to spread foot-and-mouth disease to the US, "small radical groups," if foot-and-mouth control causes theta financial loss, might attempt to do so. He declares that a Mexican news service has implied that Mexico has "been selected to serve as a springboard" for irdectina US stock so that "all countries would ha nn the same plane." U us authorities insist upon the slaughter of pre- sent fighting-bull stock, Mexican breeders "will insure that the disease spreads to the US." 9. NICARAGUA: AivelloAci.orill_eclaration exust_ed--According to US Ambassador Warren, President Somoza has announced that incomplete returns give Arguello, the Liberal Party (Government) candidate for president approximately a two-to-one majority in all districts. "Indi- cations are, Warren adds, that Aguado, the Conservative (Opposition) candidate, got the larger vote in certain places where official returns show Arguello leading, Warren comments, however, that Somoza's statement shows that Arguello will be declared the winner. - 3 - Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 GENERAL 1 FEB 1947 29'4 1. A comment on Communism in French North Africa--US Consul General Tangier reports that in all three North African countries under French control (Tunisia, Algeria, Morocco) "one observes" the same pattern of Communist penetration through flirtation with, and apparent support of, local Nationalist groups. Re adds, however, that some French, na- tive, and US officials believe Communist influence in North Africa is waning. The Consul General "does not entirely discount" the possibi- lity that if the French hold the Arabs in check "too tightly or too long," Nationalists may reluctantly accept Communist aid. He considers that the best means of preventing Communism in North Africa would be for the French to accelerate the tempo of "liberalizing" the colonial govern- ments there. (CIG Comment: The above views correspond with those elabo- rated in "Arab Nationalism in North Africa"; Weekly Summary of 31 January.) 2. French consider Peron "serious" about seizing_German assets--US Embassy Paris has been informed by the Foreign Office that French Embassy Buenos Aires has wired that Peron "now appears to be serious" about the business of taking over German external assets there, 3. EUROPE 4. ITALY: Manner of Pola evacuation responsen_g../...a.lfsst ic; treaty-- According to US Political Adviser Byington, De Gasperi has told the Supreme Allied Commander that all Italians attach great importance to the problem of evacuating the inhabitants of Pola prior to Yugoslav D"unlent No. .....a1021^ftwommimmimmi NO CHANGE in Class. El - DECLASSIFIED Class. CHANGED TO: TS DDA Memo, 4 Apr 77 wir.sreRsir Auth: DDA, REG. 77)1763 CAi Date; _________ By: G 9 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 occupation (see Daily Summary of 25 January, Item 4), and "even went so far" as to say that the manner in which the evacuation is performed will affect the Italian people's reaction to the signing of the peace treaty. FAR EAST KOREA: Possible Soviet intentions in Korea--General Hodge reports that recent intelligence confirms previous reports that the Soviets, while making material reductions in their forces in North Korea, are arming and training a large Korean force for the eventual purpose of "liberating" South Korea for "Democracy." Considerable evidence indicates that Soviet authorities are transferring all governmental functions to Koreans but are controlling the administration from well In the background. General Hodge believes that, following a possible Soviet withdrawal in the spring, the US may be faced with a Korean de- mand for the evacuation of US forces or even immediate action by the "armed forces of North Korea" to expel the "reactionary imperialistic Americans." In this event, the US could be discredited throughout the Orient, by representing US forces either as an obstacle to "liberation" or as too weak to protect those who support US policy. THE AMERICAS 6. CHILE: Bowers comments on Washington "leak"--US Ambassador Bowers, commenting on a locally published Associated Press dispatch quoting "US Government officials' in Washington as saying that "ob- jectionable features" of the Argentine-Chilean trade agreement were eliminated "as a result of US representation to Chile," observes that (a) Chile asked the US not to give the impression that representations had led to modifications of the treaty, and (b) such leaks "seriously complicate and embarrass" the Embassy's position. - 2 - Terl"SECT kti11 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 7, 7111111111 Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863 ea Approved for Release: 2018/09/26 CO2996863