CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/03/18

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03003276
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
September 20, 2019
Document Release Date: 
September 26, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
March 18, 1955
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15722833].pdf234.31 KB
Body: 
_ Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 /57/4 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. 5 I NO CHANGE IN CLASS g 0 DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE' P" 10 AUTH: HR 70-2 DATE: 1k, 80 REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 4114/07# 1.17 e rip 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 18 March 1955 Copy No. 88 TOP TOP SECRET #4 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 1..1-4 I *ore' *me SUM:MARY FAR EAST 1. Comment on condition of Chinese Communist air bases in Fukien (page 3). SOUTHEAST ASIA 2. Vietnamese defense minister wary of military action against sects (page 3). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 3. Iranian officials fear Soviet reaction to Iran's participation in regional defense (page 5). 4. France sees Syrian independence indispensable to Israel (page 6 WESTERN EUROPE 5. Right-wing British Laborites plan new tactics to ensure Beva,n's expulsion (page 7). * * * * 18 Mar 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for i-ele-a7e7R)T977.59/17 C03003276 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 *gee FAR EAST 1. Comment on condition of Chinese Communist air bases in Fukien: he Chinese Commu- nists have apparently not yet begun to renovate the six airfields in the coastal � area of Southeast China opposite Formosa and the Nationalist-held offshore islands (see map, p. 4). All six bases, with the possible exception of the one at Foochow, are judged unserviceable for air operations. Runways at the Foochow field, which perhaps could be used, are not long enough for jets. Chinese Communist bombers can reach the Matsus and Quemoys from existing bases outside Fukien Province, but Peiping would probably want to ready some of the Fukien fields in order to provid.e close-in jet fighter support prior to launching major attacks on the islands. Operational air bases In Fukien are considered essential for major operations against Formosa. The Chinese Communists are believed capable of readying any one of the Fukien area fields for jet opera- tions in five days' to two weeks' time. SOUTHEAST ASIA 2. Vietnamese defense minister wary of military action against sects: The Vietnamese defense minister and three other cabinet members believe an attempt to solve the sect problem by military means would result in a civil war "which Diem cannot win," 18 Mar 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 %tile11 120 32 2 24 , NANCHANG ANGSHA j' GYANG ./ ( CHANGTING *N. KWANG TUNG 00e SWATO CANTON --HONG KONG aLKJ 18 MARCH 1955 6-IUHSIEN CHIENOU QUEMOY 90 ANG0HAI CHIAHSING c, CHOUSHAN IS. 0 0�, (VC, HAIM&under construction WENCHOW o C. � MATSUS VI ! WUCHIU A, s."7. PESVDORES SOUTH CHINA COAST (incl. FORMOSA) OFF-SHORE ISLANDS !Available Airfield (jet) Available Airfield (conventional) Airfield Site p Nationalist-held Islands 0 100 290 I�1-4���� Rail (selected) Statute Mlles lb Klorneters 290 Road eoet 0414P o c 0 � .11TACHENS TAIPEI FORMOSA (TAIWAN) TAKAO elected) 116 120 a KEELUNG 50317 32 28 24 _CRC-Kg-PT� Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 � ''4111111, 44010 Premier _Diem is more worried abolit the Binh Xuyen- than about the other sects. The premier asked General Ely to request the return of two armed corvettes which the French provided the Binh Xuyen and also asked that Ely supply the Vietnamese army with tanks. The Vietnamese general staff believes the Binh Xuyen is currently capable of isolating and controlling Saigon. Comment: Diem's current tactics against the sects stress political maneuvers--for the most part the lavish distribution of bribes--rather than force. By such means, he hopes to weaken the sects as a whole to the extent that a military solution would be feasible. Such subordinate commanders as he has been able to buy off, however, are likely to stay "bought" only so long as funds are forthcoming. In the meantime, the Binh Xuyen, whose armed forces are the most effective, have not been weakened. Their lucrative holdings appear to be such as to put them beyond any price Diem could raise. NEAR EAST - AFRICA 3. Iranian officials fear Soviet reaction to Iran's participation in regional defense: Iranian government leaders are showing great concern over Soviet reactions to indications that Iran is giving favorable consideration to joining the Turkish- Iraqi pact, according to the American embassy in Tehran. Because of this concern, knowledge of the Shah's proposal for military staff talks among Iran, Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, the United States, and Britain as a step toward joining the pact is being limited to as few Iranian officials as pos- sible. romment. 18 Mar 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved7o1P-elelTe71-01-9759/17 C03003276 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 %..0�1 6.141..4�...4 114.4 I 'tem/ Recent articles in the Soviet press state that Iranian participation in a Western regional defense arrange- ment is "inadmissible" and, according to the American embassy in Moscow, a tone of "generalized threat" to Iran is developing. 4. France sees Syrian independence indispensable to Israel: Comment: Although the French have officially indicated to the United�grates that the maintenance of Syrian independence is secondary to establishment of an effective 18 Mar 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276 VII " %re Nee Middle East defense, Paris op- poses Syrian adherence to any Middle East grouping which might diminish French influence in this former mandate. Tel Aviv will view with favor this indi- cation that Paris now may take the lead in promoting new Western assurances for Israeli interests. WESTERN EUROPE 5. Right-wing British Laborites plan new tactics to ensure Bevan's expulsion: The narrow majority (141-112) by which Aneurin Bevan's Labor Party status in parliament was removed may make it necessary for the right-wing elements adoptnew tactics n order to ensure his expulsion from the party, according to the American embassy in London. Right-wing leaders, including the former chancellor of the exchequer and the heads of three of Britain's top trade unions, are considering "cornering" Bevan before the Na- tional Executive Committee meets on 23 March. An "abject apology" Is being prepared which, it is expected, Bevan will refuse to sign. He could then be expelled without greatly endangering party unity. According to the embassy, the closeness of the 16 March vote is explained by Attlee's deliberate failure to make the issue a test of confidence. He refused to state that the "shadow cabinet" would resign if its motion were defeated. Comment: Identification of the right-wing leaders confirms the impression that trade union leaders are re- sponsible for the determined effort to purge Bevan. Their determi- nation contrasts sharply with Attlee's continued vacillation, and may presage growing criticism of his leadership. 18 Mar 55 CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 Approved for Release: 2019/09/17 C03003276