CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/04/22

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03003309
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
13
Document Creation Date: 
February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 22, 1959
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULL[15787556].pdf584.94 KB
Body: 
wzrzzrzz,zzzzz wz/z v Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 NNW' 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 22 April 1959 Copy No. C CENTRAL IVIELLIGENCE BULLETIN Z DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN rd sc3)C ! DECLASc:i",EL CLAS:.-3. CHANGED TO: .f S NEXT REVIEW DAIL!: _ _ DAAUT14!..42:91;2011EVIELVER: -TOP-SEE-RR- Ap .......... R"eieEse: k-2.0702/21 �05350-33-01/ Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 tionw _ _ _ 0111k �E'ES ES All!__.91r_ Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 � � Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 �10 I ital., 22 APRIL 1959 L THE COMMUNIST BLOC Chinese Communists pressing rebels hard in southeastern Tibet; large group of Tibetans hopes to enter India. 0 Communist China may be preparing to produce n-Ig fiahtar with Orwi t assistance. IL ASIA-AFRICA Cairo to receive three more de- stroye s vid minp quippnpra USSR Indonesian Army continuing efforts to strengthen political position and to acquire more arms from West- ern and bloc sources. Japan - ICey gubernatorial and mu- nicipal elections on 23 April. - LATE ITEM Soviet note protesting nuclear arms for West Germany further move to soften Western position in forthcom- ing negotiations. Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 ' / / Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Olz, CEA1RAL INTELLIGENCE BUrrETIN e7.4 i_ ,,y.0 �oi -, ,,- :-,-1/4' . 2 A 7::,,,,, /7,,,,../,�,,,/ , S ,(. / / i 4 z"//, - / / .':';,:;.':2;..'vzz!, ,,--.7.4. ';1 4 ,, ,� .4,/,� ,4 wz w/ 22 April 1959 DAILY BRIEF L THE COMMUNIST BLOC *Tibet: Rebels in southeastern Tibet are being hard pressed byLCOmmunist forces using aircraft and artillery. rebel forces consider most of the southeast area lost. A large group of armed Khamba tribesmen and other Tibetans are reported to be camped near the Indian border. They are short of food and ammunition and are said to be under con- stant Chinese Communist attack. They hope to obtain per to proceed into India near the point where the Dalai Lama entered) ommunist unina: uommunist umna may r)e preparing to produce the FARMER (MIG-19) twin-jet interceptor with Soviet assistance. Soviet fighter production experts, known to be in China, are affiliated with a department of the Soviet Engineering Directorate which has accounted for some of the sharp increase noted recently in Soviet military deliveries to China. Some of the Soviet production experts have been associated with a FARMER engine factory in the USSR. (Page 1) IL ASIA-AFRICA *USSR-UAR: Cairo agreed on 14 April to accept delivery from the Soviet Union of two destroyers in the second quarter of 1959 and one destroyer in the third quarter. Cairo is also to receive delivery of some Soviet mine sweepers--probably four--at once, These deliveries apparently are to be made under a new Soviet-UAR arms deal recently completed. De- tails of this agreement are not known. The Soviet Union has already provided the UAR with two destroyers, nine sura- rines, six mine sweepers, and 37 motor toroedo boats. 1 TOP SECRET / AApproved for !Release: 2020/02/21 CO3003309 / A / A / / / 7 .-eICLASIM et en 111, WO If% Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 / %NV 1 Indonesia: The Indonesian Army is continuing its efforts to strengthen its political position and is exploring ways of curtailing the influence of the Indonesian Communist party. The army, meanwhile, continues to approach b9,th Western and Soviet bloc sources for military supplies. (prime Min- ister Djuanda is expected to discuss present and fut aid ro rams when he visits Moscow this summer) (Page 2) Japan: The contests between the ruling conservatives and the Socialists for the governorships of Tokyo, Osaka, Hok- kaido,and Fukuoka in Japan's local elections on 23 April will provide a measure of relative conservative and Socialist strength. Prime Minister Kishi regards a conservative vic- tory as essential. The results will have an impact on the position of Kishi's Liberal Democratic party in the June upper- house elections. (Page 4) III. CONCLUSIONS OF SPECIAL USIB COMMITTEE ON BERLIN SITUATION The USIB has taken note of the following conclusions reached by it special committee on the Berlin situation. The committee pointed out that its conclusions were to be used in context with SNIE 100-2-59 (24 February 1959) and with ye review of that es- timate in SNIE 100-2/1-59 (17 March 1959): (1_1. There are as yet no clear indications of spe- cific Soviet tactics at Geneva, but there have been sev- eral recent indications that the USSR will be prepared to discuss some issues other than a German peace treaty and Berlins, particularly security and disengagement pro- posals.) � 2. The fact that the United States went ahead with a sec d C-130 high-altitude flight in spite of British rep- resentations has probably impressed Moscow as to the seriousness of US intentions on questions affecting air? 22 Apr 59 DAILY BRIEF ii Top SECRET %Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 ' , ���:�.�./ � , ,/ , ?��,/ AApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309, Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Noe (a.ccess rights. Moscow's propaganda reaction was sharper than over the first flight. However, its total handling of the matter still suggests the USSR will seek to avoid serious incidents in the air corridors in the near future while endeavoring to extract the maximum propaganda advantage.) 3. The USSR will not turn over access controls to tile GDR in the near future. However, the physical transfer of access controls could be accomplished with little or no advance warning) 4. Indications of Soviet responses to possible Western actions in the event of turnover, harassment, or blockade remain colistent with the judgments stated in SNIE 100-2-59 5. There were no major intelligence indications of Wes ern allied diplomatic� intentions, apart from )in- formation obtai ed through official contacts with US representatives. 6. There are no significant changes in the West Berftn situation.) DAILY BRIEF TOP SECRET 22 Apr 59 iii LATE ITEM *USSR: Moscow's note of 21 April to Bonn, charging that measures to equip West German forces with nuclear weapons are designed to confront forthcoming East-West negotiations with a fait accompli, is a further Soviet move to discredit the Adenauer government and set the stage for Soviet proposals for a nuclear-free zone in Europe in the talks. The warning that negotiations will be doomed to failure if Bonn persists in Its rearmament program is another step in Moscow's effort to establish in advance the rationale and justification for unilat- eral actions regarding Berlin and a separate peace treaty with East Germany in the event the talks fail. By focusing atten- tion on the controversial issue of arming West Germany with modern weapons, the Soviet leaders are seeking to sharpen differences among the Western allies on the eve of the foreign ministers' conference. 22 Apr 59 DAILY BRIEF iv -eerffteest � Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Nese I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Communist China M.ay Be Preparing to Produce MIG-19s Communist China, with Soviet assistance, is preparing to produce the FARMER (MIG-19) twin-jet interceptor. Soviet personnel from Aircraft Engine Plant 26 in Ufa, which has been pro- ducing FARMER engines, now are in China. They are prob- ably at Plant 410 in Mukden, which has been producing engines for the MIG-17. Preparation may have been under way for a considerable time; Plant 410 was developing a "new tech- nology." A possible production site for airframes is Plant 112 in Mukden, which produces the MIG-17 and is known to be produc- ing a "new article." Another possibility is the Sian area, where there are several little-known plants connected with the air- craft industry and where Soviet technicians familiar with MIG- type aircraft have been identified. At least three of the Soviet specialists involved have been sent to China by the department of the Soviet Engineering Di- rectorate that has accounted for most of the sharp increase noted recently in Soviet military deliveries to China. This suggests that at least part of these increased shipments are plant equipment for production of FARMERS, The USSR no longer produces the FARMER, but Czecho- slovakia is believed to have started serial production recently. About one and a half to two years would be required from the inception of the program until the Chinese could begin produc- ing the FARMER in significant quantities. �170P---SfeRE-T 22 Apr 59 CFNTPAI 11�ITFI I inFwe.F RUH ETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Page 1 Approved for Release: 2050/02/21 C03003309 Name vim? IL ASIA-AFRICA Indonesia The expected departure of President Sukarno on 23 April for a two-month tour of Europe and Latin America has given rise to new rumors of political changes and maneuvers. the orthodox M�I�ndIttffiJIarna withdraw from the cabinet, thereby precipitating its collapse and paving the way for the formation of a new army-dominated cabinet and the banning of the Communist party. Army Chief of Staff General Nasu- tion has not yet decided to cooperate. Other speculation has been advanced as to possible army moves during Sukarno's absence, most of it, however, strongly implying Sukarno's prior knowledge or even his instructions. Nasution, in fact, has indicated to American officials that he is still working closely with Sukarno and has no plans for an early move against the Communists. Prime Minister Djuanda plans to visit the Soviet Union in la. e June or early July at the invitation of Moscow. Although this initially appeared to be a courtesy visit, Djuanda is now reported planning to discuss present and future aid programs with emphasis on arms) Meanwhile, an Indonesian Army purchasing mission, which has been shopping in Yugoslavia and the West since early March, is now believed in Czechoslovakia. Since the mission probably could not obtain in the West either the liberal credit terms or the quantities of materiel it was instructed to request, the bulk of its purchases are likely to come from Yugoslavia, Czecho- slovakia, and Poland. Ninety more Indonesian Air Force cadets are scheduled to leave soon for Czechoslovakia for two years' pilot training, Some 70 to 150 air force personnel 22 Apr 59 rrMTDAi INTFI I InFt\WF RtILLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Nwie are reported already there undergoing pilot and technical training. An Indonesian mission will leave for Peiping on 21 April to discuss utilization of $20�000,000 of a $40,000,000 credit extended by China last year. Approximately $11,500,000 of the loan has been spent for a textile mill, and the amount now under negotiation has also been earmarked for the textile in- dustry. -SEC-RE-T-- 22 Apr 59 CENTRAL INTFI I inFkirp RI iii criki Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Page 3 Approved for-"4-1;.;s77-io76/577i1-603003309 N4109 Japanese Elections Japan's top political leaders have injected national issues into the election campaign for important gubernatorial and municipal offices on 23 April. These issues include the Social- ist leadership's recent identification of the party generally with the Chinese Communist position on Asian questions and the con- servatives' policy of cooperation with the United States. This will be the first such contest between the ruling Liberal-Demo- cratic party and the Socialist party since they were organized in 1955, and the outcome may have a band-wagon effect in the important June upper-house elections. Primary political interest is centered on the campaigns for the governorships of the Tokyo metropolitan area, the island of Hokkaido, and Osaka and Fukuoka prefectures. The elections will hinge largely on personalities and local issues, and the outcome is likely to be close. Conservative defeats, especially in Tokyo and to a lesser extent in Osaka or Hokkaido, could have an adverse effect on Prime Minister Kishi's personal position, and probably would encourage Party dissiden s to renew their attacks on his leader- ship. CONFIDENTIAL 22 Apr 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 003003309 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2-0-20/-02/1 C03003309 Noe Ng", THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director reotrririrporr A Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03003309 Zp