CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/12/11

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03007357
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: December 11, 1959

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BULLETIN
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11 DECEMBER 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR may be helping Communist China
produce Tupolev turbojet bomber or
transport.
Bloc nations raying groundwork to seek
diplomatic exchanges when Cyprus be-
comes independent.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Algerian rebel leadership meeting to dis-
cuss talks with French imminent.
Nigerian general elections Saturday con-
sidered crucial by rival tribes.
Yemen claims to have decided on pro-
Western policy.
Fiji Islands�Attempt to suppress oil
strike touches off anti-European riots. 0
III. THE WEST
�British inclined to compromise at Geneva
for early agreement on atom test cessa-
tion treaty.
()Brazil, USSR complete negotiations for
three-year trade increase.
0 Soviet exhibit now in Mexico to open in
Cuba in February.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGEN IN
0
11 December 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China - USSR:
the Soviet Union is assisting. ommums
the production of a Tupolev-designed aircraft and a turbojet
engine for this aircraft. This production may involve Badger
(TU-16) jet medium bombers or possibly Camel (TU-104) trans-
ports. the Soviet Union is appar-
ently continuing to help Commanist China modernize its air-
craft and its aircraft industry. (Page 1)
Cyprus - Communist Bloc: r/F4e Soviet bloc apparently is
preparing to bid for diplomatic representation when Cyprus be-
comes Polish and East German offi-
cials are reliably reported to have visited the island recently,
Hungary has asked permission to open a consulate, and,
the Soviet ambassador in
Athens is planning a trip to Nicosia. While Moscow propaganda
has criticized the London and Zurich agreements providing for
the independence of Cyprus, bloc countries can be expected to
extend prompt recognition and to concentrate their efforts on
stimulating Cypriot opposition to remaining British base rights.
In mid-1959 Moscow and Peiping indicated to a delegation of lo-
cal Cypriot officilQ flu:dr wi Ilinannqg tn give economic aid to
+ha maw raniihlirrl
II,
Algeria: an
important meeting of the rebels' policy-ratifying group, the
Revolutionary Council, is scheduled to be held shortly. The
meeting may result in one or two cabinet shifts, but will prob
ably concern itself mainly with discussion of rebel policy con-
cerning contacts with the French, in the light of the UN debate
on Algeria. The source said that rebel military commanders)
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gemain critical of the rebels' political leadership, and question
whether it can secure from the French satisfactory guarantees
concerning Algerian self-determination. Defeat of the UN res-
olution on Algeria would probably weaken the position of rebel
moderates at the forthcoming meeting.)
0 (Page 2)
Nigeria: Ni eria's general parliamentary election on 12
December is expected to determine the make-up of the federal
government which will be in power when the country�with an
estimated 35,000,000 people--becomes independent next Octo-
ber. The election is therefore regarded as crucial by Nigeria's
three major parties--each of which is largely tribal in compo-
sition and controls one of the federation's three self-governing
regions. One of these, the party of the conservative Moslem
rulers of the north, is especially determined to secure a con-
trolling voice in the new federal government. Should it fail to
achieve this, its adherents may react violently and possibly at-
tempt to secede-4 (Page 3) (Map)
Yemen: Yemeniofficials have told the American charge
that the recent economic agreements with the United States and
a private American firm result from a definite Yemeni policy
decision "in favor of the West." They are now urging prompt
American action to prove the wisdom of this decision. Yemeni
assurances have often been unreliable, but the agreements cited
by the Yemenis, together with other recent actions, reflect the
Imam's growing suspicion of Soviet and Chinese Communist mo-
tives. (Page 4)
Fiji Islands: The American consul in Suva, on Viti Levu
Island, reports riots and anti-European violence have resulted
from efforts by the British government of the islands to suppress
an oil workers' strike now spreading to other industries. He
suggests that evacuation of Americans may become necessary.
There is basic antagonism between Fijians and the Indians who
comprise more than half the islands' nnn1finn
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III. THE WEST
Britain-Geneva: rfac Foreign Office Minister of State
Ormsby-Gore, sent to-Geneva to examine the atmosphere
of negotiations at the conference on cessation of nuclear tests,
believes that the political need to achieve agreement has be-
come so great that it may be necessary "to deviate slightly
from our traditional position of 'no disarmament without thor-
oughly effective control.'" Ormsby-Gore told US Ambassador
Wadsworth that international political pressures for an agree-
ment have doubled in the past year, and that a special session
of the UN General Assembly will be convened if the conference
breaks down without any treaty. Ormsby-Gore proposes that
"comparatively minor" issues be cleared away quickly in or-
der to focus attention on the major questions of on-site inspec-
tion and the phasina of the control swrl-pm-)
Brazil-USSR: The Brazilian-Soviet trade agreement of
9 December calls for the exchange of goods, mainly coffee
and petroleum products, projected at $107,000,000 each way
over a period of three years. It is still subject to approval
by both governments and requires
further negotiations
over the
fri0
composition of deliveries.
ther Moscow's plan to send
This could fur-
Brazil in hopes
a traae mission to
I�
of opening the way for renewed diplomatic relations. The agree-
ment may have exceeded Brazil's expectations, especially by
the USSR's offer to triple its annual coffee imports. I
(Page 5)
Cuba: The Soviet technical and cultural exhibit now show-
ing in Mexico will open in Havana on 5 February, according to
Moscow radio. Mikoyan publicly offered the exhibit to any
Latin American country when he visited Mexico to inaugurate
the fair. The Cuban showing gives the Castro government
further occasion to invite a high-ranking Soviet official to the
opening, and might serve as a prelude to an offer to me
diplomatic relations with the USSR.
II Dec 59
DAILY BRIEF
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IV. SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding week)
Prospects for Indonesia. NIE 62-2-59. 8 Dec 59,
Short-term Prospects for Ecuador. SNIE 95-59, 8 Dec 59.
11 Dec 59 DAILY BRIEF iv
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China May Produce Tupolev-Designed Aircraft
the
Soviet Union is assisting Communist China in preparing for the
production of a Tupolev-designed aircraft and a turbojet engine
for this aircraft.
similar to those observed
before Communist China began making the Fresco (MIG-17)
jet fighter, the Colt (AN-2) piston transport, and the Hound
(MI-4) helicopter. Therefore the Chinese may be preparing to
produce the Badger (TU-16), the Camel (TU-104), or some
other unidentified aircraft of Tupolev design. The Badger seems
more likely, as China recently received a small number of Coot
(I14-18) turboprop transports, which suggests that it has less im-
mediate need for the Camel.
China's medium bomber force now consists of approximately
20 Bull (TU-4) piston-engine aircraft and possibly two TU-16s
which may have been turned over to it early in 1959. No other
bloc country is known to have been provided with TU-16s by the
USSR.
gfffIttObetween the two
coun ries9 the Soviet Union is apparently continuing to assist Com-
munist China to modernize its aircraft and its aircraft industry.
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11 Dec 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENcF RI II I PTIKI
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
Algerian Rebels Schedule Policy Conclave
an im-
por po cy-ra y ng group, the
Revolutionary Council, is scheduled for 12 December in
Tunis. Among topics to be discussed is a reorganization of
the provisional government and the ouster of Foreign Minis-
ter Lamine-Debaghine and Minister of Armament and Supply
Mahmoud Cherif. Lamine-Debaghine has long been at odds
with his cabinet colleagues, and the likelihood of his ouster
has periodically been a topic for speculation. The planned
ouster of Cherif suggests that the rebels may require a scape-
goat for the serious supply and ammunition shortages which
have plagued their units in Algeria.
an
inpurtant rebel meeting is to be held shortly, but cited Tripoli
rather than Tunis as the likely location. The rebels' holding
of such a conclave outside of their headquarters in Tunis
would reflect irritation at President Bourguiba's recent curb-
ing of their supply operations in Tunisia. It would also be in-
terpreted as a move away from Bour iba's moderate council
on the issue of a cease-fire.
Rebel military commanders continue critical of the provi-
sional government leadership and of its ability to secure from
the French satisfactory assurances concerning Algerian self-
determination. The UN General Assembly is scheduled to vote
on 11 December on a resolution endorsing talks between the
rebels and the French. The provisional government hopes that
passage of this resolution would strengthen its hand for an ap-
proach to De Gaulle. Defeat of the Algerian resolution in the
UNwoii1cLtnd to weaken the position of rebel moderates...?
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11 Dec 59
CENTRAL INTELLIGENICF RI HI FTIKI
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