CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/06/19

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03015165
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: June 19, 1956

pproved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015165,
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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
19 June 1956
LuPY I"' 103
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CHANCJir) TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
GAUTTE140:C)9115 REVIEWER:
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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CONTENTS
1. SOUTH VIETNAMESE EXPECT INCREASE IN COMMUNIST
AGITATION (page 3).
2. FRENCH OFFICER IN TAIPEI PREDICTS EARLY RECOG-
NITION OF PEIPING BY PARIS
(page 4).
3. SPLIT DEVELOPING IN BURMESE GOVERNMENT COALITION
(page 5).
4. SOVIET INTEREST IN WEST GERMAN
SOCIALIST PLAN FOR UNIFICATION (page 6).
19 June 56
* * * *
� THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(page 7)
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*yr
1. SOUTH VIETNAMESE EXPECT INCREASE IN
COMMUNIST AGITATION
the Viet Minh will order protest
demonstrations against postponement of
the unification elections originally sched-
uled for 20 July. instructions
to the Viet Minh underground in the south continue to urge an
all-out agitation and propaganda effort to force South Vietnam
into election consultations. South Vietnamese security offi-
cials are convinced the Viet Minh has built up its troop strength
north of the 17th parallel and expect some of the demonstra-
tions for unification to occur in the vicinity of the demarcation
line.
Comment
While recent Viet Minh propaganda con-
tinues to stress the need for peaceful
unification, Hanoi may well be planning to promote violent
demonstrations and terrorism in support of its demands for
unification. On 13 June, for instance, the official Viet Minh
Communist newspaper stated, "The Diem government is op-
posing our good will with such intense stubbornness as may
result in disastrous consequences:'
19 June 56
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Fel-i--ggEreRELT
NOW.
2. FRENCH OFFICER IN TAIPEI PREDICTS EARLY
RECOGNITION OF PEIPING BY PARIS
The French military attach�n Taipei
told the assistant US military attach�
on 17 June that "from what I have seen,
I know my country is going to recognize
Red China soon, certainly before the
end of this year." He said other Frenchmen in Taiwan be-
lieve recognition will be accorded before the end of July
because the French minister to Taipei has been ordered
to delay his departure to his next assignment until then0
The tion is that the minister will not be replaced.
Comment
France's willingness to
exchange of commer-
cial representatives was a first step" toward resumption of
diplomatic relations.
Considerable pressure for recognition
of Communist China continues to be exerted on the French
government by public opinion, particularly commercial in-
terests, but successive cabinets have taken the position that
while they favor recognition, it should be in agreement with
France's major allies.
19 June 56
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3. SPLIT DEVELOPING IN BURMESE GOVERNMENT
COALITION
rormer premier Nu, bitter over the
Burma Socialist Party's acceptance of
his resignation, is determined to end
the party's domination of the Anti-
Fascist People's Freedom League (AFPFL),
Serious friction between Nu and the Socialists
would threaten the breakup of the coalition which has gov-
erned Burma, with gradually increasing stability, since in-
dependence.
Premier Ba Swe and Minister of the
National Economy Kyaw Nyein are reportedly determined
to eliminate Nu in the interest of preserving Socialist in-
fluence. They are even said to be considering the possibility
of bringing him before a court on charges of undermining
Burma's economy, particularly as a result of the "disastrous"
barter agreements he promoted with the Communist bloc.
In his resignation announcement, Nu said
he planned to devote full time as AFPFL president to purg-
ing the organization of corruption and Communist elements.
The Socialists would be the chief target of any drive against
corruption.
The pro-Communist National United Front,
which registered important gains in the recent elections, would
undoubtedly move to exploit the situation by offering to com-
bine with one or more of the fragments that might emerge from
the disintegration of the AFPFL.
19 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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"trire �Ime
4. SOVIET INTEREST IN WEST GERMAN
SOCIALIST PLAN FOR UNIFICATION J
that Soviet foreign
minister Shepilov considered the Social
Democratic plan for European security "one of the main com-
ponents of a policy encompassina eventual German unifica-
tion:'
Shepilov convinced Khrushchev of this after a bitter
argument with Molotov. Bezmensky,
said that a reunified Germany under a collective
security system would be "more useful" to the USSR than a
divided Germany with West Germany rearmed, which might
possibly lead to establishment of a "national liberation army"
backed by the United States, he said.
Comment
The SPD collective security plan calls for
the replacement of NATO and the Warsaw
pact by a European security system with the United States, the
USSR, and a united Germany among its members.
Khrushchev told French leaders last month
the USSR would rather have 50,000,000 Germans against it and
20,000,000 where they are now than have 70,000,000 Germans
united against it. Despite such recent assertions, the USSR,
with an eye on the 1957 elections in West Germany, apparently
intends to keep encouraging Social Democratic hopes that a
basis for agreement on unification and neutrality can be found.
In doing this, Moscow's objective is to strengthen the SPD's
efforts to develop a convincing alternative to Chancellor Ade-
nauer's policy on unification.
19 June 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin .Pag.e 6
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Itarl Nissv
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 18 June)
at
least some of the 20 MIG-15's recently purchased by Syria from
Czechoslovakia will arrive in Egypt shortly, where Syrian pilots
will receive their MIG training. Some Syrian pilots are already
engaged in jet training in Egypt. Egyptian
authorities have asked whether the training of Syrian pilots is to
be undertaken by Egyptian or Czech instructors. On 7 May, two
U-MIG-15's purchased by Syria arrived in Alexandria and are ap-
parently being used to train Syrian pilots.
(Prepared by ORR)
19 June 56
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