CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/06/29

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03015170
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RIPPUB
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U
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15
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Publication Date: 
June 29, 1956
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15740231].pdf424.61 KB
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/Approved Tfoor RpelesasEe:C20R19E/10T/21 Fr, CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 29 June 1956 Copy No. i 3 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) DOCUNIENT f NO CHANCE IN CLASS I DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S NEXT REVIEW DATE: CA) LIA 214 H 2, $13EvIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY z Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 0.4pproved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 � Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 I Ur iuri ear CONTENTS 1. RIOTS IN POLAND (page 3). 2. TITO REITERATES CRITICISM OF CERTAIN SATELLITE LEADERS (page 4). 3. SHEPILOV'S TALKS WITH THE LEBANESE (page 5). 4. CHOU EN-LAI MAKES NEW OFFER TO NEGOTIATE WITH NATIONALISTS (page 6). 5. BURMESE RESENTMENT TOWARD PEIPING STIRRED BY CHOU EN-LAI THREAT (page 7). 6. MAGSAYSAY MAKES PUBLIC STATEMENT ON AMERICAN BASES (page 8). 7. STRONG TURKISH OPPOSITION HALTS NEW BRITISH PLAN FOR CYPRUS SETTLEMENT (page 9). 8. POST-ELECTION COMPLICATIONS IN ICELAND (page 10). 9. THE SITUATION IN GUATEMALA 10, DEVELOPMENTS IN PERU (page 11). (page 12). 11. REVOLUTION MA y BE BREWING IN EL SALVADOR (page 13). 29 June 56 THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page 14) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 SECRET '441.9` 1. RIOTS RIOTS IN POLAND Press reports of rioting which paralyzed the Polish city of Poznan throughout 28 June have been confirmed by a Polish government broadcast which states in part that "Enemy agents succeeded today (28 June) in provoking street riots. Certain public buildings were attacked and this led to casualties." There has been no confirma- tion of rumors that similar riots have brok- en out in other Polish cities. The disturbances in Poznan apparently started early in the morning on a limited scale as a protest by factory workers against low wages, lack of food, and poor working conditions. _According to eyewitnesses, a mass demon- stration rapidly developed and took on political overtones when the headquarters of the Polish United Workers (Communist) Party was attacked. Soviet flags were torn down, and the crowds began calling for the Russians to leave Poland. The workers probably were stimulated to demonstrate at this time by the fact that the 25th International Trade Fair is now being held in Poznan. They shouted in Ger- man and French to visiting foreigners: "Tell the outside world what you have seen. We want things to become better, and we want the Soviets to disappear." The regime has stated that order has been re- stored. According to eyewitness reports, the armed forces, in- cluding tank units, were used to curb the demonstration. Local police are reported to have stood by passively until the arrival of the armed forces. Despite the current liberalization program in Poland, it seems likely that the regime will carry out its threat to punish those responsible "with all the severity of the law" and will use whatever force is necessary to keep the riots from spreading. The demonstrations will be considered by the Communist leaders an example of the dangers of proceeding too rapidly with the liber- alization program. The liberal forces within the Polish party are probably alarmed by the demonstrations and will be more cautious than in the past in pressing their view that further reforms are desirable. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approvedifor Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 NNW* Nur' 2. TITO REITERATES CRITICISM OF CERTAIN SATELLITE LEADERS President Tito in a speech on his return to Belgrade on 27 June said further self- criticism on the part of "individual lead- ers" in some of the East European countries was necessary before Yugoslavia could conclude agreements similar to those signed with the USSR and Rumania. He alluded in particular to a "certain reserve" on the part of the individual Eastern European leaders, who "find it hard to say what must be said and who think that their prestige will su,ffer if they say it." Comment Tito's remarks are presumably directed at the Communist leaders of Hungary, Bulgaria and Albania who, in the Yugoslav view, still have not made ade- quate accommodation to Belgrade's new relationship with Moscow. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 CONFIDENTIAL- Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 SECRET 3. SHEPILOV'S TALKS WITH THE LEBANESE The talks between Lerganese leaders and Soviet foreign minister Shepilov, who ended his visit to the Arab states on 28 June, apparently were inconclusive and reports suggest some disagreement. Possibly to strengthen their hand in turn- ing down Soviet offers, Lebanese officials made a big issue out of Shepilov's unwilling- ness to come out for Arab demands regarding Palestine. A formal note to Shepilov from the parliament asked clarifica- tion of the Soviet position on Palestine. The Lebanese press noted that the USSR recognized and helped establish Israel and urged Shepilov to state whether the USSR still adhered to a Palestine settlement "on a mutually acceptable basis." Shepilov made no statement on Palestine. Shepilov, made generous offers of economic aia, arms ana mcreasea trade and pressed for a Soviet-Lebanese cultural agreement. However, none of the offers was specific. Lebanese officials, bolstered by the recent announcement of American aid, adopted oncommittal attitude and agreed only to study the proposals. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Nue -'4100 4. CHOU EN-LAI MAKES NEW OFFER TO NEGOTIATE WITH NATIONALISTS Chou En-lal, in a speech to the Commu- nist Chinese National People's Congress on 28 June, reaffirmed Peiping's posi- tion that Taiwan must be "liberated" and claimed that the possibility of a peaceful solution "is increasinr Expanding on his offer of July 1955 to negotiate with the "Taiwan authorities," Chou invited the Nationalists to name the time and place for talks about "spe- cific steps and conditions" for "peaceful liberation." He re- peated earlier promises of good treatment for "meritorious" Nationalists. Chou's appeal is unlikely to influence the Nationalist government, which has vigorously rejected pre- vious Communist overtures, but his mild tone will probably draw a favorable reaction from neutralist countries, many of which already support Peiping's claims to Taiwan. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 ur ..)tuct 5. BURMESE RESENTMENT TOWARD PEIPING STIRRED BY CHOU EN-LAI THREAT Feeling against the Chinese Commu- nists, which has been growing among Burmese officials in the last few months, will undoubtedly be intensi- fied as a result of a threat by Chou En-lai to link the Sino-Burma border problem with the con- tinued presence of Chinese Nationalist forces in Burma. As long as the Chinese Communists delay settlement of such troublesome matters as the undemar- cated border, Chinese Communist harboring of Burmese ren- egades, and the citizenship of Overseas Chinese, Peiping will have an increasingly difficult time in convincing the Burmese of its "friendly" intentions. Fear of Chinese Communist interven- tion to eliminate the Nationalist troops has, ,for a number of years, led Rangoon to deploy large military forces against the Nationalists at the expense of the effort to suppress in- digenous Communist insurgents. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Page 7 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Now' impo MAGSAYSAY MAKES PUBLIC STATEMENT ON AMERICAN BASES Philippine president Magsaysay com- mented to the press on 26 June that he personally favored expansion of American bases in the Philippines be- cause "more bases, more radar sta- tions, more naval installations normally would mean better security for our country." He added, however, that any de- cision on expansion of the bases must await resolution of the fundamental questions of ownership, delimitation, and jurisdiction. Comment Magsaysay's remarks are probably aimed at obtaining Philippine congressional ap- proval for the furnishing of additional base lands during the coming negotiations with the United States. At the same time, he is pointing up the view that Philippine ownership of the bases must be recognized prior to renegotiation of the pres- ent base agreement. While there is some Philippine congres- sional support for expanding the present base lands, Magsay- say's remarks may be expected to draw fire from extremists like Senator Recto, whose apparent aim is to reduce the num- ber and size of the bases to a minimum. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 i (Jr .c.L.ra. 1 Niue vgio 7. STRONG TURKISH OPPOSITION HALTS NEW BRITISH PLAN FOR CYPRUS SETTLEMENT British plans to announce a new pro- posal for settling the Cyprus dispute, providing for a decision by NATO on self-determination ten years hence, have been halted by Turkish represen- tations to London. In a demarche to British foreign secre- tary Selwyn Lloyd on 18 June, Ankara opposed reopening negotiations with the Cypriots and rejected any suggestion of eventual self-determi- nation for Cyprus which it believes would lead to Greek annex- ation. Ankara warned that it would issue a "vehement answer" to the alleged British plan which, in its view, indicated London's willingness to sacrifice Turkey in favor a Greece. In response to the protest, Lloyd tried to assure the Turks that the British plan merely attempted to suspend the Cyprus issue and "was not in fact sell-determina- tion," as any vote in NATO even ten years hence would support the British position. As a result of this demarche, the For- eign Office has apparently postponed announcement of its plan while it investigates ways of making the proposals acceptable to Turkey. Ankara's inflexible attitude will make it difficult for London to make any progress on this subject. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Page 9 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 IINT 11J.C.Pli I 1. IAL, Nor' *ape 8. POST-ELECTION COMPLICATIONS IN ICELAND The inconclusive outcome of the Icelandic parliamentary elections of 24 June has resulted in a "chaotic" political situation and negotiations ernment are likely to be protracted, according to the American embassy in Reykjavik. A situation could arise in which new elections might become necessary. The embassy believes that Herman Jonasson, chairman of the Progressive Party, one of the groups which campaigned against the American-manned NATO base at Keflavik, will probably try to form a new government. If he is unable to reach agreement with the Conservatives, he may content himself with a minority government of the Progressives and their election allies, the Social Democrats. In such a situation, the life of the government would depend on either Conservative or Com- munist parliamentary support. A new complicating factor is the possi- bility that the Conservatives may challenge in parliament the legality of four seats gained by the Social Democrats in their election alliance with the Progressives. If successful, this move might necessitate new elections and raise some question as to the competence of an interim government to negotiate a revision of the 1951 defense agreement with the United States in the talks scheduled to begin on 1 August. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 FIDENTI-AL- Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 *me 9. THE SITUATION IN GUATEMALA even ng By 28 June the Guatemalan government with army support appeared to have the situation in the country under control. No serious disorders since the students' demonstration on the ve been reported. The major threat to Castillo's regime continues to be possible disaffection on the part of his rightist support. The government, however, continues to stress the theme that students who caused the recent disturbances were acting on behalf of Communism. It seems unlikely that this support will shift unless a general revulsion is brought about by a repetition of such stern repressive measures as the shoot- ing of students. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin SECRET- Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Page 11 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 N�S %Nei 10. DEVELOPMENTS IN PERU The Peruvian government on 27 June arrested Ramiro Priale, leader of the outlawed leftist but non-Communist APRA party. The move may have been provoked by a post-election announce- ment of the apparently victorious presi- dential candidate, Manuel Prado, that Ile planned to give APRA legal status. The government also for the first time in several months has failed to support workers' demands0 it urged American petroleum company officials not to grant wage rises to striking petroleum workers and asrred the comoanv of firm Sinvort against the wage demands. reported on 26 June that the government would allow the strikes to continue for several days and then move against the strikers with armed force. The government's simultaneous action against both labor and the popular APRA party is likely to lead to further disturbances. The attach�elieves such dis- turbances would provoke the military to take over the govern- ment. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin SERET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Page 12 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 4.11 Ire 11. REVOLUTION MAY BE BREWING IN EL SALVADOR A plot is under way in El Salvador to capture President Osorio as the first stpn in a military revolt a majority of military officials desire a change and cannot endure the administration of the incumbent Revolutionary Party of Democratic Unification. Street rumors of a military uprising persist, and there is some talk of a strike movement. Comment Any unrest in the country has probably been heightened by the troubled atmosphere in neighboring Guatemala. Elections are scheduled for 1 July for mayors and other officers of about 260 municipalities. Disturbances may occur in con- nection with the elections. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170 Page 13 � Approved for Release: 201,9/10/21 C03015170 LUIVPiIitJIVIwoe THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 28 June) The Israeli border police are pre rin fnr in inerpasp in Jordanian-Israeli border incidents,Lj e srae thissffO�IdbtOttse carefully organized and augmented border police units which would ambush and eliminate Jordanian terrorist infiltrators. There would be no "retaliatory� action. Even if this tactic is tried by the Israelis, the difficulty they have met in the past in preventing terrorists from entering and leaving the country suggests that Tel Aviv would fall back on "retaliation" fairly soon if terrorist depredations were resumed on a large scale. 29 June 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 14 rONFIDENT-1-24-17 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03015170