CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/01/27

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03179136
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: September 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: September 26, 2019
• Publication Date: January 27, 1955

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27 January 1955
Copy No. 7, ,
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT N.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
FAR EAST
2. Five to seven days needed for Tachens evacuation (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Indian Congress Party fears Communist election victory in
Andhra state (page 4).
4. Pakistan reported making top-level effort to resolve disputes
with India (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Comment on replacement of French governor general in
Algeria (page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Comment on Yugoslav optimism regarding Satellite "independence"
(page 6).
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Nese Noe
GENERAL
1.
FAR EAST
2. Five to seven days needed for Tachens evacuation:
At least five to seven days will be re-
quired for the planned evacuation of the
two main islands of the Tachens group,
according to American navy estimates.
Present plans prepared by MAAG call
for vacuation of the 12,000 Nationalist regulars and guerrillas
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Noe 1.101
on the islands, 10,800 tons of supplies and equipment, and those
of the 14,600 civilians who want to go.
Evacuation of the outlying Yushan and
Pishan islands is to be the responsibility of the Nationalists.
Comment: Concentrations of evacuation
vessels and embarking troops wo�uid provide tempting targets for
Communist air and artillery attacks. The possibility of a serious
incident cannot be excluded, although it is believed unlikely that
the Communists would deliberately attack American forces en-
gaged in assisting the evacuation.
SOUTH ASIA
3. Indian Congress Party fears Communist election victory in Andhra
state:
According to the American consulate gen-
eral in Madras, the tactics used in the
political campaign prior to the important
Andhra state elections beginning on 11
February may be the roughest used in post-independence India.
Intimidation and physical violence are already being used by both
the Congress Party and its strongest opposition, the Communists.
S. K. Patil, one of the Congress' ablest
organizers, who is running the Congress campaign in Andhra, has
given Prime Minister Nehru a pessimistic report on the partyt
prospects, according to Andhra state delegates to the recent an-
nual convention of the Congress. As a result, Nehru has given
Patil full powers over the faction-ridden local party organization
and authority to raise funds elsewhere, and in the end the elec-
tions may be rigged�
Comment: The point at issue is whether
New Delhi can prevent the formal-Ion of the first Communist-
controlled state government in India if, as seems possible, the
Communists win a majority. Indications are that the Congress
Party will adopt extreme measures rather than permit the state
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to go Communist, or that direct rule from New Delhi will be ex-
tended in the state in the event of a Communist victory. The
Andhra area has always been one of the centers of Communist
strength in India.
4. Pakistan reported making top-level effort to resolve disputes with
India:
The high-ranking Pakistani officials
currently in New Delhi plan to make extra-
ordinary efforts to settle outstanding dis-
putes between the two countries during
this visit, according to the American embassy in Karachi. The
embassy believes that if the strong team--headed by Governor
General Ghulam Mohammad and including the ablest members of
the Pakistani cabinet--is rebuffed in New Delhi, there will be lit-
tle chance for a settlement in the foreseeable future.
Comment: Pakistan's present leaders
are probably anxious to settle ouTitanding disputes with India so�
that they can deal more effectively with their domestic problems.
They may therefore make better offers than those made by previ-
ous negotiators. However, India has not yet shown a willingness
to make the concessions on major issues necessary to settlement,
such as the Kashmir and water disputes.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Comment on replacement of French governor general in Algeria:
The replacement of Algeria's governor
general, Roger Leonard, by Jacques
Soustelle on 26 January seems to have
been dictated by the immediate need
to bolster the parliamentary position
of the Mendes-France government. The
appointment may improve the premier's
chances, which had been considered
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Y..lie
little better than even, of surviving the vote of confidence he is
expected to face during the North African debate scheduled to
start on 2 February.
Soustelle is a spokesman of the hard-
core Gaullist group which has been strongly critical of Mendes-
France's North African policies. The replacement is also a
concession to the powerful group of reactionary French settlers
in Algeria who have long urged that Leonard be ousted.
This change may conciliate Mendes-
France's parliamentary opposition sufficiently to perratt him to
reach an agreement with the Tunisians as well as reassure
French Algerians, but it is likely to embitter native Moslems
and intensify nationalist opposition in Algeria. An upsurge of
isolated terrorist attacks is therefore probable.
An overwhelming majority of the native
deputies in the Algerian Assembly are reported to have threat-
ened to resign, and they may be stimulated by this appointment
to organize direct and effective leadership for overt opposition
to the French government.
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Comment on Yugoslav optimism regarding Satellite "independence":
Yugoslav officials have recently expressed
what appears to be Belgrade's view, that
the Satellites' position in the Orbit is con-
tinuing to evolve toward increasing inde-
pendence. The Yugoslays have for months considered that the clue
to Moscow's aims in its relations with Belgrade is to be found in
the degree of real independence it is willing to grant to the Satel-
lites.
In a talk on 19 January with American
officials, Foreign Under Secretary Bebler stated that the USSR
had given the Satellites considerable latitude in their internal poli-
cies. He said that despite the firm control the USSR is retaining
in foreign policy, the Satellites have been permitted to differ con-
siderably in their implementation of the directives for "normalization"
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of relations with Yugoslavia. Vice President Kardelj told a
Western magazine editor in December that there are various
pressures working for the lessening of Soviet authority over
the Satellites just as there are pressures within the Soviet
Union against the bureaucratic mode of government there.
The Yugoslav attitude on Satellite
"independence" appears to be colored by wishful thinking.
Yugoslavia wishes to reduce its isolation as a Communist
power outside the Orbit, and considers that it has a "unique
historical role" in attempting to make the Satellites as inde-
pendent as itself.
The Yugoslav statements are designed
in part to reassure the West as to Belgrade's motives in improv-
ing relations with the Orbit.
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