CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/03/06

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03179152
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
10
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Publication Date: 
March 6, 1956
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15740161].pdf292.86 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 /4z CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN TOP SECRET DOCUMENT NO 6 March 1956 Copy No 103 NO CHANGE IN CLASS El DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: 7-010 AUTH; HR 70-2 DATE:44 " 37:k o REVIEWER: OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET ift/r/ 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 APIK 404 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 J CONTENTS 1. FRANCE REPORTED PLANNING "FULL MOBILIZATION" TO MEET ALGERIAN CRISIS (page 3). 2. PEIPING STATEMENT INO-AMERICAN NEGO- TIATIONS AT GENEV page 4). 3. IRAQI OFFICIAL DISSATISFIED WITH BAGHDAD PACT MILITARY PLANNINO (page 5). 4. YI KI-PUNG NOMINATED FOR VICE PRESIDENT OF SOUTH KORE (page 6). 5. BURMA AGAIN ASKS PEIPING TO SET UP JOINT BOUNDARY COMMISSION (page '7). 6. THE GENERAL STRIKE IN FINLAND 6 Mar 56 * * * * (page 8). THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page $) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TD C L'ef D r"7", Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 LA-1(L. I 6 1. FRANCE REPORTED PLANNING "FULL MOBILIZATION" TO MEET ALGERIAN CRISIS there is reason to believe "full mobilization" (pre- sumably of the ready reserve) is immi- nent in France. General Jean Valluy, French representative to the NATO Stand- ing Group, told the attach�n 1 March that 500,000 men are required to restore order in Algeria. He added that he feels the situation there is so explosive that there might not be time to train the men for guerrilla warfare. Gen,eral Augustin Guillaume, who re- cently resigned as chairman of the French Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee, asserted to Ambassador Dillon on 1 March that France has two alternatives in North Africa: to raise more troops for Algeria or evacuate the area. Comment While some newspapers are reportedly demanding "full mobilization," such a move is impractical in terms of equipment available. The French army maintains a reserve, subject to immediate recall without parliamentary consent, composed of all conscripts who have completed their mili- tary service within the past three years. This reserve is believed to total 420,000, and, although it has already been levied on, it should be adequate to cover a call-up of as many as 300,000. It is unlikely that Mollet would initiate a massive recall, however, until the assembly votes on his request for extraordinary powers to deal with Algeria. The assembly is scheduled to discuss the granting of such powers on 8 and 9 March, and Mollet is expected to make the issue a vote of confidence. 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 L'IrD r Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 taLLAAXI:. 1 PEIPING'S STATEMENT ON THE SINO-AMERICAN NEGOTIATIONS AT GENEVA The statement Peiping's Ministry of Foreign Affairs made on 4 March on the Sib-American negotiations at Geneva is more belligerent in tone than its statement of 18 January in declaring that Peiping cannot acquiesce in "dragging out" the talks and using them "as a tool to prevent China from exercising its sov- ereign rights." The 4 March statement contains a threat to use military action in its reference to the off- shore islands. At five points in the statement, Peiping asserts its sovereign rights over or intention to "liberate" Taiwan and the offshore islands. On 18 January, Peiping merely referred to its rights in Taiwan or the Taiwan area. For the past year, Communist China has refrained from efforts to seize any more offshore islands and has generally de-emphasized the offshore islands in comments on the Sino- American talks. The belligerent tone of the statement seems designed primarily to force US agreement to a Dulles- Chou meeting. In timing the statement to coincide with Secretary Dulles' visit to Asia, Peiping undoubtedly hopes Asian leaders, especially Nehru, will bring personal pres- sure on him for direct talks with Chou En-lai. At the time of the Khrushchev and Bulganin visit to India, Nehru ex- pressed the hope that the current Sino-American ambassa- dorial talks at Geneva would lead to meetin7s "at higher levels!' 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 eirei Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 a 3. IRAQI OFFICIAL DISSATISFIED WITH BAGHDAD PACT MILITARY PLANNING General Daghestani--the Iraqi chair- man of the Military Deputies Committee of the Baghdad pact and the deputy chief of the Iraqi army--is strongly critical of the progress being made by the pact's military planners and by the "lack of faith" of some members, according to the American army attach�n Baghdad. Daghestani says the Iranians insist on planning for the defense of their Elburz Mountain line, which is beyond the present capabilities of the pact, and the British refuse to disclose their capabilities in the area on security grounds. He said he would ask both Iran and Britain at the 15 March meeting of the military committee if their member- ship in the pact is sincere and, if so, he would insist on more realistic planning. If the replies are not satisfactory, Daghe- stani stated he will "turn in a hell of a report to his govern- ment!' Comment Iraq apparently feels rapid progress is necessary to justify its break with the other Arab states in joining the pact. Discouragement over what Iraq believes to be lack of progress and failure to persuade other Arab states to join the pact might lead Baghdad to recon- sider the usefulness of continued membership. 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 rcr UV" P Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 NSIA SA, A \ 4. YI KI-PUNG NOMINATED FOR VICE PRESIDENT OF SOUTH KOREA Comment on: The Liberal Party's nomination of party chairman Yi Ki-pung for vice president of South Korea climaxes a long period of intense political maneuvering and places Yi in position to succeed the 80-year-old Rhee in the presidency. Yi has proved gen- erally co-operative with American officials and is be- lieved to favor a normalization of relations with Japan. Although Rhee has not publicly en- dorsed Yi's candidacy, the nomination indicates that he at least did not interpose any objections. The president's continued prestige and the strength of the Liberal Party organization, combined with the disunity of the opposition, virtually assure the election of Rhee and Yi by an over- whelming majority this spring, possibly in May. Rhee's statement on 5 March that he is not a candidate for re-election is probably only a politi- cal gesture. In 1952 he also at first refused renomination. but agreed to bow to "the will of the people.' 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 ur J.LAA(1., I 5. BURMA AGAIN ASKS PEIPING TO SET UP JOINT BOUNDARY COMMISSION Burmese premier Nu has again asked Chinese Communist premier Chou En-lai to establish a Sino-Burmese boundary commission, Nu accompanied a request for extradition of the Kachin renegade Naw Seng, whose crimes, Nu said, left little justification for granting him political asylum. Comment During the past year, the Burmese government has moved vigorously to assert its authority in areas of the Sino-Burmese frontier which have long been in dispute. On 7 and 8 February 1956, the Burmese government held a "loyalty meeting" of tribes- men from both sides of the disputed border between China and Burma. Peiping raised no objection to this Burmese demonstration of intent to assert sovereignty in the area. Burma is now probably eager for early negotiations on the boundary question, hoping to capitalize on Peiping's current campaign to convince Burma of its peaceful intentions. The Chinese Communists, however, will probably continue to stall in order to avoid commitments regarding large areas which they claim. Naw Seng, whose presence in China has been admitted by Peiping authorities, has been variously re- ported as dead or under arrest. At one time he reportedly commanded a guerrilla force of 1,500 Kachins trained and equipped by the Chinese Communists. 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 rry Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 ��� ���� a � a a������ NUAT AAA. /La 6. THE GENERAL STRIKE IN FINLAND Comment on: The success of Social Democratic Party leader Fagerholm in forming a coalition government on 3 March considerably brightens prospects for an early settlement of the five-day-old general strike, which continues to spread. Since the government is a coalition of the Social Democrats and Agrarians, who represent the opposing interests in the strike, Fagerholm would probably not have accepted the responsibility of the premiership unless he felt reasonably sure of achieving a settlement. The Communists do not appear to be playing any significant role in the strike, although there have been some reports of clashes between police and Communist demonstrators. The militancy demonstrated by the Socialist-controlled trade union federation in its demand for higher wages is likely to strengthen the Social- ists' position among the workers and upset any Communist attempts to play a major role in the strike. 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 (VINTrinr"rrli A r Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152 101 - 1 THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 5 March) Syrian antiaircraft batteries on 5 March fired at and damaged a light Israeli plane. Israel claims the plane was over Israeli territory; Syria claims it was flying over Syrian territory. The pilot was injured and the plane made an emergency landing in Israel. Exchanges of fire occurred be- tween Egyptian and Israeli forces near the Gaza strip. Israel charges that Jordanian infiltrators attemnted to derail the Jeru- salem-Tel Aviv train. The American army attach�n Tel Aviv reports an accelerated mobilization of Israeli personnel and vehicles over the week end. He said that military vehicle traf- fic was very heavy, but no directional trend was noted. He adds that the Israeli defense force is in a high state of readi- ness. the Egyptian army is requisitioning large amounts of surgical dressings and antiseptics and stocking large supplies of canned foods. The American army attache in Amman, Jordan, in commenting on the dismissal of General Glubb and other British officers, stated that most Jordanian units are with- out effective leadership, and that morale and capabilities of the Arab Legion are certain to suffer. He said the fact that three out of four top officers are police officials will weaken the top com- mand. 6 Mar 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 " T", #v Ir. "TV Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03179152