CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/01/21

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03182295
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RIPPUB
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U
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11
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January 27, 2020
Document Release Date: 
January 30, 2020
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Publication Date: 
January 21, 1958
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f Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 3.3(h)(2) 0� Ujr'=�� KC 3.5(c) / NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS CONTINUED CONTROL 21 January 1958 SC No. 00042/58 Copy No. /37 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DCIC!IMENT NO r.;;HANGE :11 CLASS. OECLASSINED C .ACS. C I -1ANGED ro IS�S 1 k. NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR 70-2 DATE nEVIEWER: 372044 THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS CODE WORD MATERIAL Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C031822957//WWWZZZIWZ 04pproved� � a for Release7g)79/08/20 C03182295 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 � Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 �iwe 21 JANUARY 1958 Russians say East Germans must clear US envoy's plane. Tito supporting "summit meeting" of neutralist powers. France negotiating $48 million loan to India. Soviet Union asks Britain to discuss Indochina situation. Guatemala - Early returns suggest no candidate won absolute majority in presidential election. OTHER ITEMS Turkey sends negative reply to Bulganin letter. Turkey will ask for US membership in Baghdad Pact. Egyptian financial position worsening. Soviet-Afghan oil agreement limited to exploration. Ethiopia eager for US assistance for air force. SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 Negri N N N CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 21 January 1958 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Tito% attempts to promote a more influential role for neutralist states in reducing international tensions are making progress. He appears to have gained the support of Sukarno, Quwatli, and Nasir for a possible "summit meeting" of leading neutralist powers for a joint effort to effect a world heads-of-government meet- ing. Sukarno will probably try to line up additional sup- port among Asian neutralists during his homeward trip. Bulganin's latest round of letters urged the incluslon of neutralist representatives in any East-West heads-of- government meeting. (CONFIDENTIAL) Russian officials in Berlin insist that clearance of Ambassador Thompson's aircraft from Moscow to Berlin and return this week is the business of East Germany. They are willing to refer the flight request to the East Germans for action if the Americans agree. Ambassa- dor Bruce in Bonn believes that protests will not affect the Soviet position, which is part of a continuing attempt to force recognition of East Germany. (CONFIDENTIAL) II. ASIA-AFRICA Egypt's foreign exchange position is steadily worsen- ing. Egypt recently sold about $14,500,000 of its gold re- serves�some 7.5 percent of its total--and now has only a negligible amount of foreign currency. Further sales will have to be at the expense of the currency cover, thereby Top SECRET k. X X Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 \N. Nas / Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 NS' � � � � *NO "s1 \\I \\\ , further weakening the Egyptian pound. In the absence of successful conclusion of a financial settlement with the VI UK, Egypt's only important source of foreign exchange kl Zwill be Suez Canal receipts. Economic problems alone are not likely to lead Nasir to make major political con- cessions in the near future. (SECRET NOFORN) (Page 1) Turkey's response to Bulganin's letter of 22 Novem- ber, in line with Turkey's previous attitude toward such approaches, is firm and forthright. While containing a tS\\ sharp rejoinder to Moscow, it was also designed to win a favorable reaction from the Arab states. The latest ^ Soviet letter, warning Turkey not to permit NATO mis- sile bases, will probably draw a similar tough reaction. ,,, (SECRET) \\ ti The Turkish Government, supported by Iran and Pak- A istan, intends to "demand" formal American membership '\\A and sufficient economic and military support to counter the Soviet threat. (SECRET NOFORN) 1:, , , ,:�,,,,, i�l, 0 N in the Baghdad Pact at the forthcoming meeting at Ankara, t..\\'''\'S --, NI 71, \\: ..i, \ �Tee-SECRET-- , N. N. N, 'V. N. vokpproved for Release: 2019/08/20 k \ The $15,000,000 Afghan-Soviet oil exploration agree- ment signed on 7 January is expected to cover only surveys and experimental drilling. Equipment will be bought from the USSR for $8,000,000. The Soviet, Czech, and Rumanian technicians to be employed over the four-year period will probably total nearly 500. (SECRET NOFORN) Ethiopia is showing increased impatience over lack of response to its request for United States assistance for the Ethiopian Air Force. A shift toward the USSR as a pri- mary source of military support does not appear to be im- minent, although the defense minister is apparently urging such a step. The Soviet Union has proposed a meeting with Britain, the other cochairman under the 1954 Geneva Agreement on 21 Jan 58 DAILY BRIEF ii \ \\N Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 %or �141 111101 Indochina, on various financial and political aspects of the present situation. With settlements achieved in Cam- bodia and Laos, Moscow may now wish to spotlight the lack of progress toward the reunification of Vietnam and to undermine American efforts to strengthen South Vietnam. (CONFIDENTIAL) (Page 2) III. THE WEST France is negotiating a loan to India of approximately $48,000,000, apparently to be used for ships, fertilizer plants, and irrigation machinery in connection with India's Second Five-Year Plan. This would be the first French loan to India. (CONFIDENTIAL) Unofficial returns indicate that none of the contenders in the 19 January Guatemalan presidential race is likely to win a majority. The election will thus probably be re- ferred to congress, where control by moderates virtually assures the selection of the center candidate, Jose Luis Cruz Salazar. The evident determination of President Flores and the army to preserve order has thus far dis- couraged violence, but disorders are possible, particu- larly if Cruz Salazar is declared the winner without hav- ing won a plurality. (CONFIDENTIAL) 21 Jan 58 DAILY BRIEF iii S\\' TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295k Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 Nue I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC No back-up material. ct4-- IL ASIA-AFRICA Egyptian Financial Situation The economic restrictions by the United States, the United Kingdom, and France have resulted in a marked deterioration of Egypt's usable foreign exchange reserves and an acute shortage of necessary spare parts and raw materials, which the Communists have not been able to supply. In June 1956, the last month before the Western re- strictions came into force, Egypt's working foreign ex- change balances amounted to over $150,000,000. By 15 January 1958, when a payment of more than $6,000,000 was due Germany, these had declined to less than $6,000,- 000. Cairo has begun selling its gold reserves, estimated to be about $1881000,000. The first sale, amounting to about $14,500,000, or some 7.5 percent, was apparently made within the past week. Additional sales from the cur- rency cover will further weaken the Egyptian pound. The crisis might be postponed at least temporarily if Cairo and London reach agreement in negotiations scheduled to begin on 30 January. Subject to certain conditions, London apparently now is willing to release over $50,000,000 of Egypt's blocked sterling balances. Otherwise, Egypt's only important source of foreign ex- change will be Suez Canal receipts. Disagreement between experienced advisers and rad- ical members of the Nasir regime who are responsible for financial policies has become acute. However, the crisis is not now likely to lead to any major political changes, either in personnel or policy. (SECRET NOFORN) 21 Jan 58 -SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 Page 1 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 Noe 042--Moscow Bids to Reopen Talks on Indochina The Soviet Union has proposed a meeting of the 1954 Geneva Agreement cochairmen--Britain and the USSR--to discuss certain aspects of the Indochina armistice. With political settlements envisaged under the 1954 agreement now a reality in Cambodia and Laos, Moscow may wish to spotlight the lack of progress toward reunification of Viet- nam as well as attempt to undermine American efforts to strengthen the Diem government in South Vietnam. The USSR may, in part, be responding to the pressure of Viet Minh leader Ho Chi Minh, who recently paid an extended visit to Moscow. The Soviet Union specifically requested discussion of the complicated problem of financial support for the truce mechanism in Indochina�the International Control Com- mission. It further suggested the discussion of political questions, such as South Vietnam's renunciation of the Geneva Agreement article which prohibits retaliation against "former combatants" by either side. Moscow may also ex- ploit any such talks to attack the US military aid program to South Vietnam, or it might use the occasion to request the convening of a second Geneva conference on Indochina. S The British Foreign Office is inclined to approve the holding of purely financial talks, but wishes to avoid consid- eration of political issues. (CONFIDENTIAL) III. THE WEST No back-up material. CONFIDENTIAL 21 Jan 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 --Approve-d-Vr-Release72019/5872.6 C03182295 'SOF DISTRIBUTION THE PRESIDENT The Vice-President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense Mobilization Operations Coordinating Board Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under-Secretary of State The Counselor The Deputy Under-Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under-Secretary for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under-Secretary for Administration Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander-in-Chief, Pacific Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director -P-000271111041717 AY Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 \ % Approved TOT "'Wei-ease: 279T68720 C03182295 N\7 s \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ N � \N\ Russian officials in Berli.n insist that clearance of Ambassador Thompson's aircraft from Moscow to Berlin and return this week is the business of East Germany. k They are willing to refer the flight request to the East Germans for action if the Americans agree. Ambassa- dor Bruce in Bonn believes that protests will not affect to force recognition of East Germany. (CONFIDENTIAL) the Soviet position, which is part of a continuing attempt key's response to Bulganin's letter of 22 Novem- \-,.\\ ber, n me �with Turkey's previous attitude toward such ;.7,'` approaches, is firm and forthright. While containing a 2, sharp rejoinder to Moscow, it was also designed to win a favorable reaction from the Arab states. The latest Soviet letter, warning Turkey not to permit NATO mis- sile bases, will probably draw a similar tough reaction. (SECRET) k\ 4 ' \ , \ \ \ , , \ \ CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 21 January 1958 DAILY BRIEF THE COMMUNIST BLOC Tito' attempts to promote a more influential role for neutralist stateS'iii reducing international tensions are making progress. He appears to have gained the support of Sukarno, Quwatli, and Nasir for a possible "summit meeting" of leading neutralist powers for a joint effort to effect a world heads-of-government meet- ing. Sulam� will probably try to line up additional sup- port among-Asian neutralists during his homeward trip. Bulganin's latest round of letters urged the inclusion of neutralist representatives in any East-West heads-of- government meeting. (CONFIDENTIAL) France is _negotiating a loan to 'India or approximately $48,000,000, apparently to be used for ships, fertilizer plants, and irrigation machinery in connection with India's Second Five-Year Plan. This would be the first French loan to India. (CONFIDENTIAL) Unofficial returns indicate that none of the contenders in the 19 January Guatemalan presidential race is likely to win a majority. The election will thus probably be re- ferred to congress, where control by moderates virtually assures the selection of the center candidate, Jose Luis Cruz Salazar. The evident determination of President Flores and the army to preserve order has thus far dis- couraged violence, but disorders are possible, particu- larly if Cruz Salazar is declared the winner without tr.! WrTA lug won a pluApproved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295 d Continues toPush a&packi 161 The Poiab amb Q,..S1.2.3Eaet >17,(.1� 4.2)/CZ: 9 Volo, United States has privately stated. that and would be will4RKJ0 accept "the most rigorous possible inspection proceduresr INGSWtbs Sapacki plan for a'auclear4ree zone in central- . Wove, fully recognizing that many _atomic weapons are qnite small and easily owealed. /be Poles have also explained that it does not necessarily entail West German dealings with Mast Germany. Foreign Minister Repack/ has stated privately, that withdrawal of all troops from Murope and the concept of a neutralized, reunified Germany are utopian ideas and has indicated that he did not expect his own plan to be acceptable to the West. The Polish amhumador in Washington indicated that Poland advanced the plan to prevent West Germany from gaining nuclear arms. The Poles also probably hope to gain prestige by authoring a first step to broader disarmament schemes, and to avoid Soviet demands for basing nuclear weapons in Poland,. - ST Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03182295