CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/02/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03184156
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: March 17, 2020
• Document Release Date: March 26, 2020
• Publication Date: February 3, 1960

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3 February 1960
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CENTRAL
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BULLETIN
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LATE ITEM
*Non-radiating Satellite Detected
The US space radar surveillance facilities have detected
a non-radiating (dark) satellite which is circling the earth in
a near polar orbit, i, e., approximately 800 inclination. Five
positive radar contacts have been made between 31 January
and 3 February 1960. The period of the satellite orbit is about
104.5 minutes. It appears fairly certain that this object is not
one of the previously identified satellites either Soviet or US.
Preliminary analysis does not allow identification of time or
place of launchings but the satellite is almost certainly of Soviet
origin.
3 Feb 60
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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3 FEBRUARY 1960
I, THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Warsaw Pact meeting in Moscow on 4
February, probably on armed force re-
ductions; may also warn of countermeas-
ures to Bonn's alleged nuclear rearma-
ment.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Israel moving additional troops toward
Syrian border on 1 February; UAR troop
movements into Sinai considered pri-
marily a propaganda gesture.
III. THE WEST
Continued failure to reach agreement on
British bases threatens to delay Cypriot
independence.
Cuban President again attacks US; Cubans
increasingly aroused over incendiary at-
tacks by aircraft they believe come from
the US.
LATE ITEM
0 India--Anti-Communist coalition scores
victory over Communists in Kerala
State elections but will have difficulty
in coping with Kerala's chronic eco-
nomic problems.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3 February 1960
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Warsaw Pact Meeting: The principal purpose of the
meeting of Warsaw. Pact foreign and defense ministers in
MOSCOW on 4 February may be to endorse the USSR's recent
decision on unilateral force reduction, to consider plans for
reductions of Soviet forces in Eastern Europe, and possibly
to announce cuts in European satellite forces. The confer-
ence probably will also issue a warning that the bloc will be
compelled to take military countermeasures in Eastern Europe
to offset Bonn's alleged policy of nuclear rearmament. East
German party chief Ulbricht threatened in his letter of 23 Jan-
uary to Adenauer that unless West Germany "discontinues its
atomic armament within a short time," East Germany will be
forced "to request its allies to place rocket weapons at its dis-
posal." (Page 1)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Israel-UAR: Israeli troops,
plus
some armor and heavy artillery, were moving northward into
the Israeli-Syrian border area north of Lake Tiberias on 1 Feb-
ED, ruary. Except for an air patrol over Syrian territory on 1 Feb-
ruary, there appears to have been a general stand-down of the
Israeli Air Force. There apparently has been some local mobili-
zation of civilians in Syria. UAR troops in Egypt are moving
into the Sinai Peninsula, but the publicity given this movement
suggests that it is primarily for propaganda purposes. Israeli
Foreign Minister Meir has implied that the Israeli "punitive"
raid on 31 January - 1 February was aimed as much against the
authority of the United Nations officials as against the Syrians.
(Page 3)
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III. THE WEST
Britain-Cyprus: fypriot independence will have to be post-
poned from March unfil May, if�as now appears possible--
there is still no agreement by 7 February on the size of the
sovereign British base areas. Britain claims it cannot furthei
reduce the size of its bases and is putting heavy pressure on
all parties to agree to its terms. Foreign Secretary Lloyd
might call a new conference to reopenthe
whole question oi tile island's future status, thus abrogating the
February 1959 Cyprus Agreernent1D
(Page 4)
Cuba: Oswaldo Dorticos, figurehead president of the Castro
regime, delivered his strongest anti-American speech on 30 Jan-
uary. This contrasts with his assurances earlier last week that
the Cuban Government desires improved relations with the United
States. Meanwhile, the public is becoming increasingly aroused
at the number and boldness of unidentified aircraft flying over Cuba
and setting fire to sizable quantities of sugar cane. The Cuban
public is convinced that the aircraft come from the US, and pub-
lic resentirent could auicklv erupt into serious anti-US demon-
Qtrationgs
LATE ITEM
*India: The coalition of anti-Communist parties in Kerala
State has scored a decisive victory over the Communists. Final
results will not be announced until late on 3 February, but returns
from a majority of the constituencies indicate the coalition is win-
ning around 75 percent of the state assembly seats. The Congress
party may gain enough seats to try to form a government independ-
ently, although a coalition with the Praja Socialist party is a more
likely prospect. These two groups, long bitter rivals, probably
V., will be unable to maintain the same degree of cooperation while in
power as they have in opposition. Kerala's chronic economic prob-
lems also make it unlikely that the new government can improve on
the performance of previous regimes without massive financial aid
from the national government.
3 Feb �6-
DAILli BRIEF ii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Moscow Meeting of Warsaw Pact Foreign
And Defense Ministers
The meeting of the Warsaw Pact "Political Consultative
Committee" in Moscow on 4 February probably will be used
as a forum to demonstrate bloc solidarity and support for
Soviet proposals on disarmament, Berlin, and a German
peace treaty in the pre-summit period. Bloc leaders prob-
ably will also use this opportunity to underline their readi-
ness to take appropriate military countermeasures in Eastern
Europe to offset Bonn's alleged policy of nuclear rearmament.
The pact ministers can be expected to endorse the USSR's
recent decision to reduce its armed forces by one third and to
consider plans for what Khrushchev has termed "proportionate"
reductions in Soviet forces in Eastern Europe. The conference
may also announce cuts in European satellite forces.
Bloc leaders used a pact meeting in May 1958 to announce
the withdrawal of all Soviet forces from Rumania and one Soviet
division from Hungary, as well as troop reductions by the satel-
lites: 55,000 for Rumania, 23,000 for Bulgaria, 20,000 for Poland,
20,000 for Czechoslovakia, and 1,000 for Albania. The 1958 ses-
sion of the "Political Consultative Committee" called on the West
to follow suit and thus "prove by deeds" its professed desire for
peace.
The meeting on 4 February may also renew such earlier pro-
posals as a NATO - Warsaw Pact nonaggression pact. Such
"peaceful moves" probably will be accompanied by a strong warn-
ing of countermeasures if West Germany pursues its alleged
policy of nuclear rearmament and refuses to join East Germany
in an arms limitation agreement for Germany. A warning along
these lines was foreshadowed in East German party chief Ul-
bricht's letter of 23 January to Chancellor Adenauer, which stated
that unless Bonn discontinues atomic armaments "within a short
CONFIDENTIAL
3 Feb 60
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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CONFIDENTIA L
time," East Germany will be forced to "request its allies to
place rocket weapons at its disposal."
The last explicit warning that NATO policy might oblige
the Warsaw Pact to station missiles in East Germany, Poland,
and Czechoslovakia was made by Khrushchev in his speech to
the "Political Consultative Committee" session in May 1958.
Peiping sent high-ranking officials to attend previous meet-
ings of the "Political Consultative Committee" as observers.
In contrast to the 4 February meeting, which will be an official
Warsaw Pact conference, the meeting in April 1959 was billed
as a "conference of the foreign ministers of the Warsaw Pact
organization axxd the Chinese People's Republic " which enabled
Peiping to participate fully in the proceedings.
-e-ONFIDENTIltr
3 Feb 60
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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vftri II. ASIA-AFRICA vitie
Israeli-Syrian Border Situation
Sporadic outbreaks of firing continue along the Israeli-
Syrian border. Arab farmers were not molested when they
resuired plowing in the disputed area of the southern demil-
itarized zone on 1 February, but Israeli Prime Minister Ben-
Gurion has announced that if the UN Truce Supervision Organ-
ization (UNTSO) again fails to "expel" Syrian soldiers who
enter the demilitarized zone, the Israelis themselves will be
"compelled" to drive them out. Israeli Foreign Minister Meir
claims the Arab "farmers" are in fact Syrian soldiers, and
she described the destruction by Israeli forces of the abandoned
Arab village of Tawafin on ,31 January - 1 February as an oper-
ation to "clean up" an alleged Syrian military base within the
demilitarized zone. She said "the UN is more to blame than
the Syrians" for the lengthy history of trouble in the zone.
Israel claims sovereignty over the demilitarized zone despite
the UNTSO's contrary interpretation of the 1949 General Armi-
stice Agreement.
Meanwhile Israeli troops,
plus some
armor and heavy artillery, were observed moving into the
Israeli-Syrian border area on 1 February. In the Syrian re-
gion of the UAR, there apparently has been some civilian
mobilization--possibly of civil defense units--to augment a
general military alert. UAR troops in Egypt are continuing
to move into the Sinai Peninsula. The publicity attending this
movement, however, suggests that the deployment is pri-
marily for propaganda purposes.
3 Feb 60
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Cyprus Disagreement Persists
tCypriot independence will have to be postponed from March
until May if--as now appears possible--agreement is not reached
by 7 February on the size of the sovereign British base areas.
Other scheduled parliamentary business will prevent British con-
sideration of the necessary legislation for two additional months
unless it is presented shortlij
ritain is therefore exerting heavy pressure to obtain agree-
ment on its terms, stating that defense requirements preclude
any further reduction of the base areas. During the 16-19 Janu-
ary conference in London, Secretary Lloyd even threatened to
cancel the Zurich-London agreements of February 1959.
asic agreement has been reached on facilities to be pro-
vided outside the base enclaves. Although the British are will-
ing to delegate--but not transfer--most of the civil administra-
tion to the Cypriots, Archbishop Makarios continues to insist on
smaller bases and full transfer of civil authority. London is of-
fering $22,400,000 in economic aid over the next five years as an
inducement but opposes the Cypriot demand for "rent" for the
bas es7
ilakarios, aware that the future of his conservative polit-
ical party on Cyprus is at stake in the negotiations, has taken a
firm stand which has been approved by all segments of the press
in Nicosia. Any sign of weakness in the face of British pressure
would expose him to criticism from both Communists and Greek
nationalists on the island, which could be reflected in increased
support for extremist candidates in the Cypriot parliamentary
elections. Frustration and anger in Cyprus over failure to secure
concessions on the base issue at this time could lead to future
difficulties between Britain and a potentially unfriendly Cypriot
government)
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
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III 1.41 7 j jel.A4
NOW
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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