CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/04/26

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03190719
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 17
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: April 26, 1958

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26 April 1958
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26 APRIL 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Activities associated with Tyura Tam
missile test range and other reports
indicate preparations for launching,
possibly of third Soviet space vehicle.
USSR may shift tactics on summit
meeting and take more threatening
line toward Western powers.
First phase of Chinese Communist
troop withdrawal from North Korea
completed.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia - Central government
pressing plans for military
operations against dissidents in
North Celebes.
Pakistan - Army Commander in
Chief Ayub, due to arrive in
Washington shortly, is deeply
concerned over deterioration in
his country's political stability.
� Communist underground has plans
to assassinate American general
officers in Saigon; South Vietnamese
security officials informed.
III. THE WEST
0 French defense minister openly
disavows first priority for
international defense obligations,
including NATO.
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Colombia - Pro-American Lleras
Csunargo faces slight opposition in
4 May presidential election.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
26 April 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet missile activity: The following statement has
been approved by the Guided Missiles Intelligence Committee:
Recent activities associated with the Tyura Tam
thissile test range and other reports indicate prepara-
tions for a forthcoming launching, possibly of the third
Soviet space vehicle.
Nearly six monthshave elapsed since the last ESV
launching. a
forthcoming earth satellite of a more spectacular na-
ture, such a launching may be attempted soon to pro-
vide maximum propaganda for the May Day celebration.
Aircraft activity continues to indicate preparation
for a forthcoming launching. Some of the air activity
is unusual and includes aircraft which in the past were
associated only with ESV operations.
Some calculations indicate that conditions would
be favorable between now and 3 May for a lunar at-
tempt from Tyura Tam.
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TO CHET 014
*USSR--Summit tactics: Ambassador Thompson re-
ports there is some evidence that the USSR has changed
its tactics, if not its policies, toward a summit confer-
ence, and that Moscow now doubts the possibility of
forcing a meeting at an early date. The Soviet leaders
may now feel that their inability to divide the Western
governments on the timing issue has lessened any chance
of holding a conference on terms satisfactory to the
Kremlin. Thompson believes that, while continuing to
press for a conference on its own terms, Moscow may
now adopt a more threatening line in the hope of "soft-
ening" the NATO powers.
Communist China - Korea: The withdrawal of six
Chinese Communist divisions completes the first phase
of Peiping's announced intentions to retire from North
Korea. Elements of two North Korean army corps are
occupying the positions in the central sector of the
4t6 demilitarized zone vacated by two Chinese armies.
The withdrawal of the troops would reduce total Com-
munist ground force strength in North Korea from
653,700 to 561,700 (224,300 Chinese Communists and
337,400 North Koreans.) (Page 1)
(Map)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia: With the Central Sumatran campaign in
its final stages, the central government is rapidly shift-
ing its attention to North Celebes.
the Celebes area before the end of April. An attack on
Gorontalo is planned, probably in coordination with am-
phibious attacks along the northern coast with Menado as
an ultimate ubjective. Djakarta has ordered the quick
26 Apr 58
DAILY BRIEF ii
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return of the commander of the naval commando corps from
Central Sumatra, almost certainly in connection with opera-
tional planning for the Celebes campaign.
(Page 2) (Map)
Pakistan: Army Commander in Chief Ayub, who is
scheduled to arrive in the United States about 29 April,
is apparently deeply concerned over maneuvering within
political and military circles in Pakistan. He has made
some efforts to ensure that the situation remains stable
during his absence and has said the Pakistani Army would
not tolerate any policy change which would endanger the .
receipt of American military aid. Ayub is known to have
been considering for some time the problems which might
be created if further deterioration in Pakistan's internal
political situation caused President Mirza to assume dic-
tatorial powers. (Page 3)
South Vietnam: The Communist Viet Minh underground
apparatus in Saigon has made plans for assassination at-
tempts against American general officers there,
Viet Minh terrorist
activities, which have been at a high level since last fall,
have been directed primarily against Vietnamese provincial
officials but included bombings of American military per-
sonnel in Saigon on 22 October. (Page 4)
I I I. THE WEST
France-NATO: Defense Minister Chaban-Delmas' 17
April presentation of the order of priority of French armed
forces missions publicly dropped the long-standing first
place accorded to "respect for international engagements,"
including NATO. Now heading the list as two "nearly
simultaneous" missions are "assuring the French presence
overseas for a long period" and "equipping France with
'total' weapons." The significance of this statement for
26 Apr 58
DAILY BRIEF
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future French policy may be considerable if Chaban-Delmas'
successor shares these views and if the firmly pro-NATO
chief of the Armed Forces Staff, General Ely, is replaced
by an officer who supports the view that Algeria must be
saved at all costs. Ely is due to retire this summer.
Colombia: Liberal leader Lleras Camargo's final
acceptance--after protracted negotiations--of the joint
Liberal-Conservative nomination for the 4 May presi-
dential election virtually assures Colombia's return to
constitutional rule as agreed by the military junta which
ousted the Rojas dictatorship last May. Lleras, one of
the most highly respected statesmen of Latin America,
is considered pro-US and anti-Communist.
(Page 5)
26 Apr 58
DAILY BRIEF iv
EGRET
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LOCATIONS AND TROOP STRENSTHS:
North Koran limy shown in harem
Chinese Communist Army shown in red
"Peoples Volunteers" shown in green
Army group .1:�I Army ff] Corps
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UNLOCATFS
�Chinchou
Dairen
Port Arthur
Chefoo
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NORTH KOREA
Sinuiju Hulung
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KOREA BAY
YELLOW
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n n rn
SEA OF JAPAN
DEMILITARIZED ZONE
Pusan
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Chinese Communists Complete First Stage of Withdrawals
From North Korea
The 23rd Chinese Communist Army has left North
Korea under Peipin.g's announced plan to withdraw its forces
by the end of the year, and there are indications that the
16th Chinese Communist Army has followed the 23rd across
the Yalu. Both of these armies occupied positions in the cen-
tral sector of the demilitarized zone. The positions vacated
by the 23rd Army have been taken over by elements of the
North Korean VII Corps, and it is believed that North
Korean V Corps units may have moved into the 16th Chinese
Communist Army area. Other units, probably Chinese Peo-
ple's Volunteers headquarters service and support elements,
may also have withdrawn.
Although the numerical superiority of the United Nations
Command forces has been decidedly increased by the reduc-
tion of Communist forces in North Korea, the Communists
have a strong reinforcement capability inasmuch as 300,000
Chinese Communist troops now are deployed in North and
Northeast China.
Available information does not indicate the ultimate
destination of the wi � se Communist forces.
26 Apr 58 rCIUTD A I IkITCI I inckiec Di II CTIAI Page I
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IL ASIA- AFRICA
Situation in Indonesia
Now that the Central Sumatran campaign appears to
be nearing conclusion, preparations are proceeding rapid-
ly for government operations against North Celebes. Army
units from East Java were expected to leave Surabaya on
24 April aboard four ships,
An-
other battalion is to leave Surabaya for Poso in North Celebes
on 30 April.
there is to be reinforced. The commander of the naval
commando corps, now in Central Sumatra, has been ordered
to return to Djakarta "as quickly as possible," probably in
connection with planning for the Celebes campaign.
A Djakarta newspaperman told an American Embassy
official that even dissident sources admit the local popula-
tion in North Celebes is dissatisfied with the dissident re-
gime there. He stated, however, that government troops
so far engaged in North Celebes have met more resistance
than had been encountered in Sumatra. According to a For-
eign Ministry spokesman, "negotiations" for a settlement
with the dissidents will not take place until North Celebes
is defeated.
TOP RET
26 Apr 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2
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411%,
Current Attitudes of Pakistan's Army Commander in Chief
General Ayub, commander in chief of Pakistan's army,
has recently shown anxiety lest the success of his forth-
coming mission to Washington be jeopardized by some
irresponsible action in Pakistan suggesting that Karachi
is rethinking its ties with the United States. Ayub's mis -
sion seems mainly designed to press for the early delivery
of light bombers under the US military aid program.
Ayub has stressed
to Pakistani officials the advantages and extent of US military
aid and has emphasized that the army would condone no policy
change which might endanger continued receipt of such aid.
He has urged that there should be no exacerbation of relations
with India.
Ayub also seems to have desired to ensure that Paki-
stan's internal political situation remain stable in his absence.
He probably recognizes that President Mirza's growing isola-
tion from other Pakistani politicians will cause difficulty when
Mirza seeks re-election. With elections promised for next
November, Mirza is approaching the day when he may have
to assume dictatorial powers or face the possibility of an
electoral defeat. Ayub, who would probably only reluctantly
support a dictatorial Mirza, can foresee possible disruption
of US military aid and training programs and a weakening of
Pakistan's national defense capabilities if the army is com-
mitted to internal security duties.
Ayub may also have heard reports that Mirza intends
to replace him as commander in chief in the relatively near
future. Since he has criticized Mirza's handling of the polit-
ical situation recently, Ayub may feel that he will be under-
cut I:191I* his month's absence abroad.
26 Apr 58 rckITD A I 11,1/41TNI I ICZPkIrP RI III PTIKI page 3
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Communist Plans to Assassinate High-ranking MAAG
Officers in South Vietnam
The Communists have in readiness plans for the as-
Sassination of American MAAG general officers in South
Vietnam, and implementation orders are expected shortly
Viet Minh ter-
rorists reportedly have been instructed to avoid incidents
such as the destruction of American military installations
and billets which would involve lower ranking personnel.
The fostering of anti-American sentiment among the
South Vietnamese masses and disruption of MAAG training
of the Vietnamese armed forces are major Viet Minh ob-
jectives. Following the Communist bombings in Saigon
last October, in which 13 American military personnel
were injured, the Viet Minh underground
have been instructed to prepare for additional at-
tacks "whenever conditions are favorable." Meanwhile,
Communist terrorism and assassination of Vietnamese
officials continue at a high rate in the rural areas.
Unusually virulent anti-American propaganda has been
unleashed by Hanoi recently in connection with a stepped-
up campaign for national unification on Communist terms.
Hanoi has stressed that the fundamental task of the entire
Vietnamese people is to "end US interference in South
Vietnam, the main obstacle to reunification."
Hanoi's more aggressive attitude may in part be linked
to the rise in power in the Hanoi politburo of Le Duan, until
fairly recently the Communist party boss for South Viet-
nam, and now considered second onl
Communist hierarchy.
26 Apr 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
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CONWIIL4L Ak
III. THE WEST
Colombian Presidential Candidate Laeras Camargo Assured
Of Election
Liberal leader Alberto Lleras Camargo, who has finally
gained the support of almost all organized Colombian polit-
ical groups, accepted the joint Liberal-Conservative nomina-
tion on 24 April less than two weeks before the 4 May presi-
dential election date. The nomination is tantamount to elec-
tion. Lleras is pro-US and anti-Communist, and his
prestige is such as greatly to strengthen the possibility of
bipartisan political cooperation and the prospects for sta-
bility.
Lleras, who was secretary general of the Organization
of American States from 1948 to 1954, is the driving force
behind a political pact which provides for the sharing of all
political offices for the next 12 to 16 years on a 50-50 basis
and the selection of joint presidential candidates. Partisan
feuding and political turmoil between Colombia's two tradi-
tional parties resulted in 100,000 deaths in the past ten years.
While Lleras may still face some opposition from a
minority faction of extreme right-wing Conservatives op-
posed to bipartisan government, has greatest difficulties
after the 7 August inauguration will probably be economic.
During the past year, growing inflation has driven the peso
down from 2.50 to 7:04 while prices for Colombia's coffee
have fallen about 20 percent. In addition the new govern-
ment will inherit sizable debts from the regime of former
dictator Rojas Pinilla.
26 Apr 58 rckiTO AI IKITFI I ir.FNICE RULLETIN Page 5
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Nome
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
26 April 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet missile activity: The following statement has
been approved by the Guided Missiles Intelligence Committee:
Recent activities associated with the Tyura Tam
.thissile test range and other reports indicate prepara-
tions for a forthcoming launching, possibly of the third
Soviet space vehicle.
I
Nearly six months have elapsed since the last E�V
launching.
forthcoming earth satellite of a more spectacular na-
ture, such a launching may be attempted soon to pro-
vide maximum propaganda for the May Day celebration.
Aircraft activity continues to indicate preparation
for a forthcoming launching. Some of the air activity
is unusual and includes aircraft which in the past were
associated only with ESV operations.
Some calculations indicate that conditions would
be favorable between now and 3 May for a lunar at-
tempt from Tyura Tam. (TOP SECRET EIDER).
TOP RET
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C03190719,
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Communist China -orea.: The withdrawal of six
Chinese Communist divisions completes the first phase
of Peiping's announced Intotions to retire from North
Korea. Elements of two North Korean army corps are
occupying the positions in the central sector of the
demilitarized zone vacated by two Chinese armies.
The withdrawal of the troops would reduce total Com-
munist ground force strength in North Korea from
653,700 to 561,700 (224,300 Chinese Communists and
337,400 North Koreans.) (Page 1)
(Map)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Indonesia: With the Central Sumatran campaign in
its final stages, the central government is rapidly shift-
ing its attention to North Celebes
"N.
An attack on
uorontaio is planned, probably in coordination with am-
phibious attacks along the northern coast with Menado as
-
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--..
rettrrn of the catxtrawader_of tb.e_aavais-Drnmarvto corps from
Central Sumatra, almost certainly in connection with opera-
tional planning for the Celebes campaign.
(Page 2 11apj___
nce-NATO: Defense TVEniger Chaban-Delmae 17
pri presentation of the order of priority of French armed
forces missions publicly dropped the long-standing first
place accorded to "respect for international engagements,"
including NATO. Now heading the list as two "nearly
simultanebus" missions are "assuring the French presence
overseas for a long period" and "equipping France with
itotaX weapons." The significance of this statement for
- �
may be consicit rable if Chaban-Delmas'
� . 6
or s ares lese views and if the firmly pro-NATO
chief of the Armed Forces Staff, General Ely, is replaced
by an officer who supports the view that Algeria must be
saved at all costs. Ely is rue to retire this summer.
Colombia: Liberal leader Lleras Camargo's final
acceptance--after protracted negotiations--of the joint
Liberal-Conservative nomination for the 4 May presi-
dential election virtually assures Colombia's return to
constitutional rule as agreed by the military junta which
ousted the Rojas dictatorship last May. Lleras, one of
he most highly respected statesmen of Latin America,
.6 considered pro-US and anti-Communist.
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