CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/12/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03192688
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: December 4, 1957

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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
4 December 1957
Copy No. 13
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
DECLASSIFIED
CLA3S. CHANCED TO:
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AI
DIAT4.q.46_ REVIEWER:
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
rrsorzio,47A
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NNW Nov,
27,6,1
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CONTENTS
CONTENTS
1. USSR MAY BE STIMULATING PRESSURE TO REOPEN
DISARMAMENT ISSUE IN UN (page 3).
2. POSSIBLE SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE SITES IN SOVIET
FAR EAST (page 4).
3. VIEWS OF THE SOVIET INTELLIGENTSIA ON REGIME
POLICIES (page 5).
4. PARIS TAKES STEPS TO FORESTALL COUP IN ALGERIA
(page 6).
5. SITUATION IN INDONESIA
(page 7).
6.rR7T PLANNED AGAINST HAITIAN GOVERNMENT
(page 8).
4 Dec 57
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Novi Nue
1. USSR MAY BE STIMULATING PRESSURE TO REOPEN
DISARMAMENT ISSUE IN UN
Comment on:
The Soviet delegation to the United
Nations is apparently stimulating ru-
mors that the disarmament question
may be reopened in the General As-
sembly after the Christmas recess. Soviet Deputy For-
eign Minister Kuznetsov recently stated that another move
on disarmament could be made in two months. He had an
appointment to discuss disarmament with General Assem-
bly President Munro on 3 December.
Members of the Indian delegation have
expressed the opinion that there is "great pressure" to
conclude some agreement during the current session of
the General Assembly.
Soviet stimulation of efforts to reopen
the disarmament question in the UN--a move for which a
two-thirds approval is needed--probably is aimed primar-
ily at placing the West in the position of frustrating neutral-
ist desires to overcome the Soviet boycott. An increasing
number of UN members will probably be willing to accept
Soviet demands for a representation on the Disarmament
Commission "balanced" between the West on the one hand
and neutralists and Communist states on the other.
The Soviet position, as expressed most
recently by Khrushchev to the French ambassador in Moscow
on 30 November, is that the USSR will not participate in fur-
ther sessions of the Disarmament Commission until its mem-
bership is "balanced." Khrushchev has stated on several oc-
casions that the Soviet Union is strong and can afford to wait
out the disarmament question. Soviet officials have stated
privately that the Soviet Union is ready to boycott further dis-
armament talks for a year in the belief that pressure would
force the West to make concessions to Moscow.
4 Dec 57
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CONFIDENTIAL
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2. POSSIBLE SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE SITES
IN SOVIET FAR EAST
A number of air defense exercises which
may have involved surface-to-air mis-
siles have been detected in the Khabarovsk/
Komsomolsk area of the Soviet Far East
during 1957
During an exercise in May, all the
intruders seem to have been "shot down" when 25 to 80 miles
distant with no interceptor aircraft reported active.
Comment
The absence of Soviet interceptor aircraft
in these exercises and the long range at
which the invading aircraft were reported shot down indicate
the use or simulated use of surface-to-air missiles. Avail-
able information is not sufficient to indicate whether surface-
to-air missiles are actually deployed in this area or whether
such missiles have characteristics similar to those in the Mos-
cow surface-to-air sites.
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3. VIEWS OF THE SOVIET INTELLIGENTSIA ON
REGIME POLICIES
Members of the Soviet intelligentsia
that a return to Stalinism is
ssible in the USSR and that the re-
gime will find it necessary graduall
to permit greater freedom and democratization,
Further top-level changes are not ex-
pected as Khrushchev appears to be firmly in control and
he is not generally thought of as "another Stalin." Malenkov
is credited with post-Stalin liberalization and is still exremely
popular with the technical intelligentsia. His removal was a
far greater shock to this group than the downfall of Zhukov.
The intelligentsia is fully aware of the low
standard of living as compared to that of the West, but the re-
gime's emphasis on heavy industry is not questioned.
In academic fields, frank discussions oc-
cur among small groups of students and instructors. There
is intense interest and curiosity in things foreign, and the of-
ficial campaign to increase outside contacts has been received
enthusiastically. This segment of the population is generally
well informed concerning life in the West and frequently holds
views not in accord with the official propaganda line.
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SEefig-E-T
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IWO
4. PARIS TAKES STEPS TO FORESTALL COUP IN ALGERIA
he French government has apparently
ecognized the possibility of a military
oup originating in Algeria and has taken
series of preventive measures. Sev-
eral reported transfers of key military personnel and units
in Algeria and the recent institution of close military-civilian
liaison at the "departemant" level in France itself may be part
of such an effort.
The principal shift involved General Massu,
commander of the 10th Airborne Division, who was recently
relieved unobtrusively of his responsibility for security of the
city of Algiers and ordered to a Sahara post, possibly because
of his increasingly critical attitude toward Minister for Algeria
Lacoste.
Extreme rightists are a major obstacle to
a satisfactory political-military settlement which would enable
the army to extricate itself from the Algerian stalemate.
rightist elements
are continuing plans for a coup attempt to follow mid-December
demonstrations against the basic statute for Algeria. Plans al-
legedly include using first Massu and later Jacques Chevallier,
the liberal mayor of Algiers, as leaders of an Algerian republic
still dominated by Frenchmen.
There have been other reports of growing
military dissatisfaction with what is regarded as inept political
handling of the Algerian situation, and a spokesman for Lacoste
warned on 25 November of the possibility of the army getting
"beyond the control of the civilian authority." Some of this dis-
content has found an outlet through ultranationalist movements
and plots, such as one last winter in which a general was im-
plicated. It is unlikely, however, that men such as Massu and
Chevallier would lend themselves to a rightist plot, and there
are no reports of military disaffection in France itself, which
would be essential to success of a coup in Algeria.
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5. SITUATION IN INDONESIA
Comment on:
he Indonesian government has taken
nusual security precautions since the
ssassination attempt against President
ukarno to forestall other incidents.
uards have been increased at the homes
f former Vice President Hatta, Prime
mister Djuanda, and army Chief of
taff Nasution, and government forces
re continuing to round up suspects. Al-
hough the local military commander
claims to have obtained confessions to
the crime, he has refused to name the
group or individuals responsible.
The Communists, however, have lost no
time in accusing American and Dutch "imperialists" of com-
plicity in the plot, and the American embassy reports "om-
inous signs" that this may become the official line.
The campaign of harassment against
Dutch individuals and firms continues, and the severance of
diplomatic relations is expected. The seizure of the offices
of two large Dutch shipping companies by Communist labor
union members is evidence of the Communists intention to ex-
ploit the government's program of applying economic sanc-
tions against the Netherlands in the dispute over Netherlands
New Guinea. Although the government has denied authoriza-
tion for the seizure, it is unlikely to take action against Com-
munist moves which are in line with its own program and
popular sentiment.
4 Dec 57
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6. REVOLT PLANNED AGAINST HAITIAN GOVERNMENT
Comment on:
Ihe followers of defeated Haitian pres-
idential candidate Louis Dejoie are
planning a revolt against the govern-
ment of President Francois Duvalier
in the immediate future,
Any attempted coup whether successful or not would result
in serious disorders.
The plotters hope to divert the army,
whose support is essential to the government, by instigating
mass disturbances in Port-au-Prince. They would then at-
tempt to capture army headquarters.
Dejoie is believed to oppose such pre-
cipitous action but is probably incapable of restraining his
followers.
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