FOIA
MONTHLY WARNING ASSESSMENT: LATIN AMERICA DECEMBER 1981[SANITIZED] - 1981/12/24
Document Type:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
05092409
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
4
Document Creation Date:
April 3, 2019
Document Release Date:
April 12, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
December 24, 1981
File:
| Attachment | Size |
|---|---|
 MONTHLY WARNING ASSESSMEN[15499892].pdf | 104.78 KB |
Body:
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THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE
WASHINGTON, D. C. 20505
National Intelligence Officers
NIO/W
NFAC-8429-81
24 December 1 981
MEMORANDUM FOR: Director of Central Intelligence
Deputy Director of Central Intelligence
THROUGH �
National Intelligence Officer for Warning
FROM National Intelligence Officer for Latin America
SUBJECT Monthly Warning Assessment: Latin America
EO
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41,
7. Argentina
The advent of General Galtieri, who replaces the relatively conciliatory
General Viola as President, has potential effects on several fronts.. The Chileans
probably will see it as an indication the Argentines will take an even firmer line
in the longstanding Beagle Channel dispute. We do not, however, see any near�term
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prospects for hostilities. The ascendance of Galtieri could also signal a
further slowing of the already modest political normalization, with a consequent
sharpening of civil-military tensions. Finally, Galtieri may initially have the
power to make economic policy more coherent, but over time may have to devote
more and more time to political problems and watching potential military rivals
to the detriment of economic strategy.
Consta(�4 ne
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