NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY (CABLE) SATURDAY 17 MARCH 1984 - 1984/03/17

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Argentina Declassification Project - The "Dirty War" (1976-83)
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05314783
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: April 3, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 12, 2019
• Publication Date: March 17, 1984

Director of
Central
Intelligence
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EO 13526 3.5(c)
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National Intelligence Daily
(Cable)
Saturday
17 March 1984
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CPAS NIDC 84-064C
17 March 1984
Copy 425
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Contents
Argentina: Opposition to Alfonsin 4
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ARGENTINA: Opposition to Alfonsin
//President Alfonsin faces growing discontent in the military and
more determined opposition from key civilian groups.
//Officers reportedly are upset about organizational changes and
proposed budget cuts, as well as press attacks on the military for
human rights abuses. Several retired generals recently have been
punished, and a commander on active duty has been retired for
criticizina aovernment policies
Alfonsin is sufficiently
disturbed to try to reduce tensions. He is primarily concerned about
getting the cooperation of judges who oppose his reform of the
military code of justice, a key to ensuring his ability to limit human
rights investigations.
On the labor front, Alfonsin's proposal for reforming the unions
was defeated in the Senate by a coalition of Peronists and
conservatives, according to press reports. The proposal would have
forced the heads of the Peronist-dominated unions to face new
internal elections.
Comment: Opposition to Alfonsin is beginning to coalesce as
indictments and trials of officers accused of human rights violations
move forward, reforms are debated, and summer vacations end. The
President probably realizes that the euphoria from his election victory
is dissipating and that the success of future legislative initiatives will
require greater concessions. The Peronists are encouraged by the
defeat of the labor reform bill, and they are likely to take a strong
stand in congressional debates, the budqet IMF negotiations, and
other sensitive issues.
//In the military, the service chiefs and most officers remain
committed to civilian rule. As a result, they probaby will countenance
convictions of the 12 or so former commanders under investigation or
detention. Unrest will spread among the military, however, unless the
President can ease public criticism and prevent human rights
investigations from reaching the middle-level officers.
4
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